October 23, 2016
        Hollywood Contenders: New Oscar Predictions for October                Nicole Kidman, Hugh Grant, Naomie Harris, Lily Collins get Honors at 20th Annual Hollywood Film Awards                "Manchester by the Sea" leads the Gotham Award nominations                Tom Ford, Marc Platt and Kenneth Lonergan to be Honored at 20th Annual Hollywood Film Awards                Tom Cruise is in his action hero comfort zone with "Jack Reacher: Never Go Back"                "Moonlight" could be A24's big Oscar horse this year                Ewan McGregor steps behind the camera with "American Pastoral"                Hollywood Contenders: A second crack at Golden Globe predictions for 2016                "The Accountant" seeks to help give Ben Affleck another blockbuster                85 countries will be competing for Best Foreign Language Feature nominations at the Oscars                Tom Hanks to receive Hollywood Actor Award for "Sully" @ Hollywood Film Awards                "Certain Women" showcases Laura Dern, Kristen Stewart, and Michelle Williams                Ben Affleck is perhaps Hollywood's biggest and most diverse superstar                "The Birth of a Nation" looks to survive controversy and contend for awards                "The Girl on the Train" hopes to transport Emily Blunt to the Oscar race        

“No Strings Attached” Leads Box Office

By Scott Mendelson

hollywoodnews.com: As the lone new wide-release of the weekend, the Ivan Reitman romantic-comedy, No Strings Attached, debuted with $20.3 million. The $25 million picture was a solid win for both Natalie Portman and Ashton Kutcher. Portman probably deserves credit, as this was the first mainstream project to capitalize on her Black Swan press, as well as her new unfortunate role as a tabloid darling (re: surprise engagement + pregnancy = no escape). But the $20 million opening falls right in Ashton Kutcher’s median average when dealing with commercial fare such as this (What Happens in Vegas, Guess Who, etc). Out of fifteen wide-release openers, seven of them opened between $17 and $23 million. Killers, with $15 million, was just as much an anomaly on his box office filmography as Valentine’s Day (where, ensemble cast aside, he and Jennifer Garner were the leads) opening with $56 million. Journalists may unfairly tag him as a flop machine, and audiences may say they hate him, but as he’s not making a $70 million spy comedy, Kutcher is a reliable draw for reasonably-budgeted pictures such as this one

Comparably, this opening is Natalie Portman’s second biggest ever outside of the Star Wars franchise. V For Vendetta pulled in $25 million five years ago, and the next highest is the $9.6 million opening for Mr. Magorium’s Wonder Emporium (which is actually pretty good, thanks to a terrifically warm supporting turn by Jason Bateman). This may indeed be the start of her career as a genuine box office draw (Black Swan is already her biggest-grossing non-Star Wars picture ever), but that remains to be seen. Her next theatrical release is a small IFC-distributed picture, The Other Woman. The next big test will be Your Highness (red-band trailer), opening on April 8th, and then Thor (trailer) on May 6th, which will likely open or not open regardless of Portman.

It’s also worth nothing that this is Ivan Reitman’s biggest opening weekend in 22 years, after Ghostbusters II, which actually set the record for opening weekend with $29 million in June 1989… if only for a single week. And, in equally useless stats, Cary Elwes is BACK! This is his second $20 million+ opener in just under three months (after his ‘buzz’-building supporting turn in Saw 3D)! Yes, I’m being sarcastic, but I’m always happy to see Elwes steadily working. Point being, the adult romantic comedy is not dead in the least, it just shouldn’t cost $70 million (The Dilemma) or $120 million (How Do You Know).

There were only two other notable releases, both in respective limited debuts. Peter Weir’s epic drama The Way Back, opened in 650 screens with just $1.4 million. The escape adventure starring Collin Ferrel, Ed Harris, Saoirse Ronan (who has a franchise of her own in April with Hanna), Mark Strong, and Jim Sturgess (remember when he was the next big thing just two years ago?) never had a chance, as it is long and brooding, with absolutely no awards heat and limited critical fuss attached to it. Weinstein Company finally debuted The Company Men into 106 theaters this weekend, after pulling it from the 2010 schedule to avoid competition with more surefire Oscar contenders. The recession drama with Ben Affleck, Kevin Costner, Tommy Lee Jones, and Chris Cooper grossed just $767,000 for a mediocre $7,000 per-screen average. It’s a shame, as I remember a time when a drama starring any two of those actors would be a major wide release…

Second place went to The Green Hornet, which held up pretty well considering it was coming off of a holiday weekend. The superhero comedy dropped 46% for a $18.1 million second weekend. That’s not a huge hold, but it’s not a major drop for a geek-friendly genre picture in today’s marketplace, and I can say from copious anecdotal evidence that it’s going to be the ‘second choice’ for general movie goers for at least the next couple weeks. The too-expensive ($120 million) but awfully fun (review) picture has a ten-day total of $63.4 million. The Dilemma had an okay hold as well, dropping 47% for a $9.4 million second weekend. Its $33 million cum would be just fine had the critically-savaged romantic comedy not cost $70 million. Country Strong has now equaled its $15 million budget in domestic grosses, while Season of the Witch lost 18% of its auditoriums (520 screens) and tumbled accordingly (-52% for a $22 million total). Laugh all you want, but when all but the biggest hits are being tossed out of multiplexes on their fifteenth day, general moviegoers are just that much more likely to wait for DVD.

The King’s Speech is holding up quite well, and will only grow stronger after its surprise win at the Producer’s Guild Awards last night (this no longer makes an Oscar win for The Social Network a sure thing). Anyway, the crowd-pleasing period piece grossed another $9.2 million (-0.2%) and it currently sits with $58.6 million. True Grit had another solid weekend, dropping just 27% and ending its fifth weekend with $138 million. The other two major Oscar contenders are holding their own as well. Black Swan (you know, the other Natalie Portman movie) dropped just 25% and now sits at $83.5 million. It would have seemed unfathomable that a hyper-sexual and oppressively grim horror film set in a ballet studio directed by Darren Aronofski would make it to $100 million, but now that seems like a foregone conclusion. David O Russel’s The Fighter may get there too, especially if Christian Bale and Melissa Leo win their respective Oscar categories, as the boxing drama has already grossed $73 million.

To read more about this article go to Mendelson Memos

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About Scott Mendelson

Mendelson's Memos: The basics - 30 years old, married with one child, currently residing in Woodland Hills, CA. I am simply a longtime film critic and pundit of sorts, especially in the realm of box office. The main content will be film reviews, trailer reviews, essays, and box office analysis and comparison. I also syndicate myself at The Huffington Post and Open Salon. I will update as often as my schedule allows. Yes, I'm on Facebook/Twitter/LinkIn, so feel free to find me there. All comments are appreciated, just be civil and try to keep a level discourse, as I will make every effort to do the same. Read more at Mendelson's Memos:

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