May 23, 2017

Scotty McCreery likely to win “American Idol”

By Kim Palacios The “American Idol” finale may be three weeks away, but was the competition over before it began? Reliable historical information from the first 9 seasons of the show have accurately predicted frontrunners, and maybe even the winner.

Six weeks ago, Hollywood News published a piece that predicted Scotty McCreery and Lauren Alaina as top finalists in the competition based on the overwhelming success of contestants from the southern U.S.; six eliminations later, it is clear that such a prediction turned out to be right on target.

Current standings show that contestants in underdog categories have systematically been eliminated: women (most recently, Pia Toscana) and performers without a clear or mainstream musical genre (e.g., Casey Abrams, Jacob Lusk, and Paul McDonald). In alignment with the advantage historically enjoyed by men, Intrade predicts Scotty McReery as the winner, with James Durbin and not Lauren Alaina, as a top two finalist.

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About Kim Palacios

Kim Palacios is a San Francisco Bay Area transplant whose epicurean tendencies are matched only by her wanderlust. While not covering food, wine, and luxury travel for her column on, she guest writes for Travel Writers Exchange and a number of other varied-topic blogs. She is quadrilingual and holds an M.B.A. in Finance (neither of which she uses much these days). While not mourning the death of free markets and grumbling about the tax treatment of Californians, she enjoys film, and all things Twilight.

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