October 28, 2016
        Ten Contenders will compete for Best Documentary Short Subject                "The Circle" and "The Lost City of Z": Which potential 2016 contenders got bumped to 2017?                Natalie Portman, Janelle Monáe, Matthew McConaughey, Bryce Dallas Howard, Edgar Ramirez, Stacy Keach at Hollywood Film Awards                Viola Davis will be campaigned in Best Supporting Actress for "Fences"                Mel Gibson to be Honored with the Hollywood Director Award at the 20th Annual Hollywood Film Awards                Michael Moore drops a surprise new film with "Michael Moore in TrumpLand"                Hollywood Contenders: New Oscar Predictions for October                Nicole Kidman, Hugh Grant, Naomie Harris, Lily Collins get Honors at 20th Annual Hollywood Film Awards                "Manchester by the Sea" leads the Gotham Award nominations                Tom Ford, Marc Platt and Kenneth Lonergan to be Honored at 20th Annual Hollywood Film Awards                Tom Cruise is in his action hero comfort zone with "Jack Reacher: Never Go Back"                "Moonlight" could be A24's big Oscar horse this year                Ewan McGregor steps behind the camera with "American Pastoral"                Hollywood Contenders: A second crack at Golden Globe predictions for 2016                "The Accountant" seeks to help give Ben Affleck another blockbuster        

Scotty McCreery likely to win “American Idol”

By Kim Palacios

hollywoodnews.com: The “American Idol” finale may be three weeks away, but was the competition over before it began? Reliable historical information from the first 9 seasons of the show have accurately predicted frontrunners, and maybe even the winner.

Six weeks ago, Hollywood News published a piece that predicted Scotty McCreery and Lauren Alaina as top finalists in the competition based on the overwhelming success of contestants from the southern U.S.; six eliminations later, it is clear that such a prediction turned out to be right on target.

Current standings show that contestants in underdog categories have systematically been eliminated: women (most recently, Pia Toscana) and performers without a clear or mainstream musical genre (e.g., Casey Abrams, Jacob Lusk, and Paul McDonald). In alignment with the advantage historically enjoyed by men, Intrade predicts Scotty McReery as the winner, with James Durbin and not Lauren Alaina, as a top two finalist.

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About Kim Palacios

Kim Palacios is a San Francisco Bay Area transplant whose epicurean tendencies are matched only by her wanderlust. While not covering food, wine, and luxury travel for her column on Examiner.com, she guest writes for Travel Writers Exchange and a number of other varied-topic blogs. She is quadrilingual and holds an M.B.A. in Finance (neither of which she uses much these days). While not mourning the death of free markets and grumbling about the tax treatment of Californians, she enjoys film, and all things Twilight.

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