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3 reasons why Lauren Alaina just might win “American Idol”

By Kim Palacios

hollywoodnews.com: We’ve been predicting the finalists for nearly three months, and, as always, the future seems clear. Blue-eyed teen heartthrob Scotty McCreery from Garner, North Carolina seems like a cinch to win Season 10 of “American Idol”.

The reasons are plenty—more young southern males have won “American Idol” than any other demographic, and the number of southern male runners up is also high. Yet, history dictates that Lauren Alaina might just have a shot at winning the Season 10 title:

Reason #1: Though southern men represent the top winning demographic, southern women are a close second. Ruben Studdard, Taylor Hicks, David Cook, and Kris Allen comprise four of nine “American Idol” winners and are all from the south. Yet southern women Kelly Clarkson, Fantasia Barrino, and Carrie Underwood make up a close second; Lauren Alaina could even things up.

Reason #2: Two of the four female winners so far beat out southern male contenders in the finals. Kelly Clarkson beat fellow southerner Justin Guarini and Carrie Underwood beat Bo Bice. Neither Fantasia Barrino nor Jordin Sparks went up against a southern male in the final.

Reason #3: Underdogs sometimes do well.
Scotty McCreery has sailed through the competition wholly unscathed, never having been named among the bottom two or three. Sympathy for “wild card” or underdog competitors has often seen a boost in support for contestants. If Lauren Alaina is seen as a distant second to Scotty McCreery, such an image may come to her rescue just in time.

Yet, for every reason Lauren Alaina just might be able to pull off a win, there is at least one other strike against her. For one, most “American Idol” voters are young girls whose teen hormones may dictate favor for a male contestant. And, to many, Lauren Alaina, who fared better than most, may not seem like an underdog at all.

Photo by American Idol

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About Kim Palacios

Kim Palacios is a San Francisco Bay Area transplant whose epicurean tendencies are matched only by her wanderlust. While not covering food, wine, and luxury travel for her column on Examiner.com, she guest writes for Travel Writers Exchange and a number of other varied-topic blogs. She is quadrilingual and holds an M.B.A. in Finance (neither of which she uses much these days). While not mourning the death of free markets and grumbling about the tax treatment of Californians, she enjoys film, and all things Twilight.

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  • May 21, 2011 | Permalink |

    And the reason why she wont? Scotty McCreery! I like them both but only vote for Scotty.

  • May 21, 2011 | Permalink |

    Lauren an underdog? I think that’s a stretch. Steven predicted her to win after her audition in one of the very first episodes. Those who wanted an underdog would have gotten Haley to the finale. I’ve voted Scotty all season long but I think it will be a close race. If Lauren wins, it’ll be based of sympathy- tornado home video last week, she cries more often that most, a lot of people don’t want a male to win again. Like I said, close race. I think it’ll come down to Tuesday performances to help secure the swing voters for either contestant.

  • May 21, 2011 | Permalink |

    Prediction: Scotty Wins. Reasons: number of votes 100 millions

  • May 22, 2011 | Permalink |

    Scotty has been blowing away the competition all season long because he was instantly seen as “America’s Favorite Son.” Spoiled brat Lauren has no chance. It will be the most lopsided win in Idol history for Scotty.

  • May 25, 2011 | Permalink |

    I wonder how scotty feels. It doesnt seem like the music producer picked good songs for Scotty or walked HIM down the aisle. FAVORITISM PEOPLE? America vote for Scotty. This girl is a southern snot that has been pampered and been mommas Favorite like her mom. Spoiled girl. PLUS have you noticed that her and her mom dress exactly alike in earlier performances? She has a good voice but she seems full of herself and looks like Mrs. Piggie plus a slut half the time. VOTE for mr. humble.

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