April 19, 2014

“The Hunger Games” stays strong and tops $350m Weekend Box Office

HollywoodNews.com: It was an ‘everybody wins’ weekend at the box office as all three openers outperformed even the most optimistic expectations. The number one film of the weekend was not The Hunger Games but rather Think Like A Man. The all-star romantic comedy based off of Steve Harvey’s best-selling relationship self-help book grossed a somewhat surprising $33 million on just over 2000 screens. The Screen Gems film was notable in that the small studio made a real effort to market the African-American-centric rom-com both to black males and white audiences (Vulture has a detailed article about the marketing campaign). Racial demographics aren’t available yet, but the film played 63% female and 62% over 30. For what it’s worth, it earned an A from Cinemascore, including an A+ from audiences under 25. Even more impressive is that the film achieved a near-3x, including a token increase on Saturday (from $12 million to $13 million). The film has a ton of ‘would probably be a bigger star in a color-blind society’ actors, including Gabrielle Union, Meagan Good, Michael Ealy, Steve Harvey, and Taraji P. Henson. But the secret weapon may have been comedian Kevin Hart, who powered his stand-up concert film, Laugh At My Pain to $7 million last September despite playing on less than 300 screens. Pay no attention to this large opening folks, nothing to see about an under-served audience demographic delivering near-blockbuster numbers on a $13 million budget. Just move along and keep putting Anthony Mackie in fourth-billed supporting roles.

There will be lots of talk comparing this film to the Tyler Perry cannon, but know this: If the estimates hold up, Tim Story’s decidely secular romantic comedy will have opened higher than every Perry feature save the $41 million debut of Madea Goes To Jail. In fact, aside from that Perry release, I can’t think of another African-American comedy or drama that opened as high as this one perhaps ever. How well the film holds up over the long haul is an open question, and arguably *that’s* where the attempt at cross-racial outreach come into play. If Screen Gems can convince white audiences that this isn’t so much a ‘black film’ as much as it’s a Valentine’s Day-type ensemble piece that happens to star actors of color, it may have strong legs as its sampled by general moviegoers of all races for the next month (What To Expect When You’re Expecting debuts May 18th). Tim Story’s 2002 Barbershop parlayed a $20 million debut into a $75 million total while Screen Gems opened Obsessed to $28 million and finished with $68 million just over three years ago this weekend. A multiplier right in-between those two will net a $100 million domestic total for the $13 million picture. Next weekend will tell the tale. The African American moviegoing demographic is a consistently starved one, so there is obviously big profit to be made with mainstream popcorn entertainment that just happens to star actors of color. We’ll see whether Hollywood takes notice *this time* or whether its success is written off yet again as a fluke while they greenlight John Carter 2: The Quickening.

The next big opener of the weekend was The Lucky One. Starring Zack Efron and based on a Nicolas Sparks novel, the picture debuted with a rock-solid $22 million. That’s pretty much tied with the $23.7 million debut for Efron’s more comedic 17 Again which opened exactly three years ago this weekend. It will basically eclipses the $31 million domestic total for Efron’s last vehicle, the dark and somber romantic drama Charlie St. Cloud, which debuted with $12 million late-July 2010. Among recent romantic drama debuts, it’s obviously a lower opening than the $30 million debut of Dear John and the $41 million debut of The Vow. It’s obviously superior to the $16 million debuts of The Last Song and Water For Elephants. 17 Again ended up with $64 million and that’s a reasonable ending point for The Lucky One as well (the film earned a B+ from Cinemascore, for whatever that’s worth). Warner Bros sold its two key trump cards, Efron and Sparks, and fans of both showed up in solid numbers. Point being, it’s proof-positive that a movie star can open unappealing films to $10-15 million but a movie star can open genuinely appealing films to $20-25 million.

The final wide release was Disney’s nature documentary Chimpanzees. The film earned a surprisingly large $10.2 million, far more than any of the previous openings for the annual Earth Day-centric documentary series. To its advantage was the fact that Earth Day falls today, on a Sunday, meaning the film wasn’t as front-loaded as prior entries (last year’s African Cats has the most front-loaded opening weekend in history, with a 1.81x multiplier). Oceans and African Cats debuted with $6 million in 2010 and 2011 while Earth kicked off the series this weekend in 2009 with $8.8 million. Earth ended with $32 million, Oceans grossed $19 million, and African Cats ended its brief run with $15 million. So expect Chimpanzees to pretty much match the $32 million gross of Earth and another one of these well-intentioned and, kid-friendly narration aside, impressive projects coming down the pike this time next year.

In holdover news, The Hunger Games held strong despite the whole ‘not being number one’ thing, grossing a solid $14.5 million in weekend five. That gives the picture the ninth-biggest weekend five-gross in history and a domestic cume of $356 million. In overseas news, Battleship continued to pull in cash in various foreign markets. The film is opening pretty much everywhere prior to its May 18th US debut, and the strategy seems to be working. It’s pulled in $129 million thus far and should have $200 million in the bank by the time it enters US shores. Opening next weekend in America, Sony’s Pirates: Band of Misfits has been building a steady audience overseas for the last three weeks and has grossed $55 million thus far.The best film of 2012 held on better than expected with second-weekend drop of just 47% (low for a horror film), as The Cabin in the Woods earned $7.7 million in weekend two for a ten-day total of $26 million. Despite the mediocre audience polling, the genre fans who ate this film up apparently convinced their friends to sample it and/or went back for seconds.

Titanic 3D has $52 million in US ticket sales while it (once again) burns up the international waters to the tune of $175 million and counting (international numbers to be updated later). The top new release of last weekend, The Three Stooges, earned $9.2 million on its second weekend (-45%) bringing its ten-day total to $29 million. It’s pacing slightly ahead of the Farrelly Bros’ last three films (Hall Pass, The Heartbreak Kid, and Fever Pitch) and is still looking like a $50 million finisher. American Reunion has $48 million (with an inexplicably high $56 million overseas to boot) while 21 Jump Street has $127 million thus far. Wrath of the Titans has $77 million domestic as it nears $275 million worldwide and Mirror Mirror has $55 million on our shores and $120 million worldwide. Finally, Lockout dropped an okay 50% off a lousy $6 million opening weekend, grossing $3 million and earning $11 million in ten days.

That’s it for this weekend. Join us next time for the pre-summer dump, as four (!) new wide releases enter the fray. The Raven casts John Cusack as Edgar Allen Poe solving murder mysteries, the aforementioned Pirates: Band of Misfits debuts domestically, Lionsgate releases another Jason Statham vehicle in Safe and Universal debuts the Jason Segel/Emily Blunt romantic comedy The Five-Year Engagement.

To read more go to Mendelson’s Memo

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About Scott Mendelson

Mendelson's Memos: The basics - 30 years old, married with one child, currently residing in Woodland Hills, CA. I am simply a longtime film critic and pundit of sorts, especially in the realm of box office. The main content will be film reviews, trailer reviews, essays, and box office analysis and comparison. I also syndicate myself at The Huffington Post and Open Salon. I will update as often as my schedule allows. Yes, I'm on Facebook/Twitter/LinkIn, so feel free to find me there. All comments are appreciated, just be civil and try to keep a level discourse, as I will make every effort to do the same. Read more at Mendelson's Memos:

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