September 28, 2016

An Early Glimpse at some Advance Oscar Predictions

FOXCATCHER

Now that we’re officially a quarter of the way through 2014, I figured I’d debut my year in advance Academy Award predictions. These are actually the ones that I came up with back in March the night of the Oscars, so they’re not the most up to date, but they’re a good starting point for the season. I’m also excluding winners this time out, just so we can start slowly. Depending on how the season progresses, these can evolve into weekly, bi-weekly, or monthly posts, so for now we’ll play it by ear. I’m always keen to share predictions though, so it’s safe to say that this won’t be an infrequent series.

Basically, I see this season as one that could really favor Tim Burton’s Big Eyes, Bennett Miller’s Foxcatcher, David Fincher’s Gone Girl, Jason Reitman’s Men, Women, & Children, and Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken. If I had to pick way too early frontrunners, Foxcatcher and Unbroken would be the two. They seem to have potential for across the board appeal, and that’s something an early contender always wants to have in its corner. Nobody knows anything at this point, but if you had a gun to your head, those two are the ones that seem safest to back right now.

Other titles you should keep in mind are Richard Linklater’s Boyhood, Josh Boone’s The Fault in Our Stars, Paul Thomas Anderson’s Inherent Vice, and Christopher Nolan’s Interstellar, just to name a few. The vast majority of contenders are sight unseen right now though, so everything is purely speculation, and will be well until the fall. We’ll know some more soon, but all won’t be revealed for many months. That’s part of the fun of all this though, at least for me. I love seeing how it all unfolds and tracking how my predictions evolve/if any of my long shots wind up coming to fruition. It’s all educated guesswork, but I pride myself on being a decent prognosticator, so I try to keep track of it all. You’ll all get to be the judge throughout 2014, and this isn’t a bad place to begin. My final predictions rarely resemble these initial ones, but it could be fun to compare those as well too…later on, of course.

Below you can find my aforementioned initial set of predictions for the big eight categories at the Oscars. Next time I’ll do all of the categories and give you my up to date picks, along with winners, but I wanted to start off on the small side. Take a look:

steve carell foxcatcher 600x338BEST PICTURE

Big Eyes
Birdman
Boyhood
The Fault in Our Stars
Foxcatcher
Gone Girl
Inherent Vice
Interstellar
Men, Women, & Children
Unbroken

BEST DIRECTOR

David Fincher – Gone Girl
Angelina Jolie – Unbroken
Richard Linklater – Boyhood
Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher
Jason Reitman – Men, Women, & Children

BEST ACTOR

Ben Affleck – Gone Girl
Steve Carrell – Foxcatcher
Michael Keaton – Birdman
Jack O’Connell – Unbroken
Joaquin Phoenix – Inherent Vice

BEST ACTRESS

Amy Adams – Big Eyes
Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
Emma Stone – Magic in the Moonlight
Kristen Stewart – Camp X-Ray
Shailene Woodley – The Fault in Our Stars

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Ansel Elgot – The Fault in Our Stars
Edward Norton – Birdman
Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
Christoph Waltz – Big Eyes

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
Rosemarie DeWitt – Men, Women, & Children
Marcia Gay Harden – Magic in the Moonlight
Jena Malone – Inherent Vice
Vanessa Redgrave – Foxcatcher

Best Original Screenplay

Big Eyes
Boyhood
Draft Day
Foxcatcher
Interstellar

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Fault in Our Stars
Gone Girl
Inherent Vice
Men, Women, & Children
Unbroken

That’s what my first set of predictions look like. I’ll have those up to date ones for you all next week though, so stay tuned for lots more of these posts in the weeks and months to come!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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