"Get Out" leads the Gotham Award nominations                'Blade Runner 2049,' 'The Disaster Artist' to be Honored at Hollywood Film Awards                Hollywood Contenders – Looking at Best Original Screenplay hopefuls                Todd Haynes explores the world of children with "Wonderstruck"                MUDBOUND and COCO to be Honored at Hollywood Film Awards                "The Killing of a Sacred Deer" pairs Colin Farrell and Nicole Kidman once again                "Wonder Wheel" closes NYFF with a commanding Kate Winslet turn                Sam Rockwell and Allison Janney to Receive Hollywood Supporting Actor and Hollywood Supporting Actress Awards at "Hollywood Film Awards"                Hollywood Contenders – Looking at Best Adapted Screenplay hopefuls                "Breathe" aims to return Andrew Garfield to Oscar contention                Mary J. Blige, Timothée Chalamet and the Cast of "I, Tonya" - Margot Robbie, Allison Janney, Sebastian Stan, Paul Walter Hauser to be honored at the 21st Annual "Hollywood Film Awards."                New Trailer drops for "Star Wars: The Last Jedi"                "Goodbye Christopher Robin" reveals the origins of Winnie the Pooh                Hollywood Contenders – Looking at Best Supporting Actress hopefuls                "The Florida Project" is one of the year's best films        

A September Oscar Predictions Update

Oscar nominations 2013 600x 192
It’s that time again folks. Since we’re now into September, it’s time for me to come to you all once again with some new and (hopefully) even more up to date than ever Oscar predictions. As usual ladies and gents, I hope they’ll represent another bit of a change from overt speculation onward towards educated guesswork now that awards season is basically upon us (Telluride and Venice are in the books, with Toronto currently going on). We still have a long way to go in the season overall, as you probably can guess, and these new predictions will likely still be mostly wrong in the end anyway, but with each passing update (at least two a month now) I’m trying to figure it all out and get more and more confident in backing particular horses as opposed to others. If that sounds a bit repetitive to you, well…it’s still kind of the nature of the beast for this thing. If nothing else, this endeavor continues to sort of show where I’m coming from as the months pass and the race begins to change and evolve into something truly competitive and quantifiable, especially when precursor season kicks into gear.

Continuing on with the trend that I’ve had all year so far (including last month), you can see certain films standing above the rest. This time around, you can see movies like David Fincher’s Gone Girl, Alejandro González Iñárritu’s Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance, Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken, Richard Linklater’s Boyhood, Bennett Miller’s Foxcatcher, and Jason Reitman’s Men, Women & Children are the ones that I have poised to be among the most nominated at this year’s ceremony. Overall, my predictions are only a little bit different this time around, but paying heed to some of the news I mentioned yesterday. I’m mixing and matching here now, trying to find the right match as buzz comes in on more and more contenders. It might not wind up particularly accurate yet, but until the festival season concludes and more of these movies actually screen for critics, we’re still guessing more often than not. It’s just a matter of trying to make the guesses more and more educated as the season progresses.

By now, you all must know that I could go on and on (and on and on…) about all of the changes I’ve made or considered making, but I know at this point you mostly just want to see actual predictions, so here now is just how I see the Academy Awards shaping up to look like at this particular juncture in the year:

BEST PICTURE

1. Gone Girl
2. Foxcatcher
3. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Men, Women, & Children
5. Boyhood
6. Unbroken
7. The Imitation Game
8. Rosewater
9. Nightcrawler
10. Whiplash

BEST DIRECTOR

1. David Fincher – Gone Girl
2. Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher
4. Jason Reitman – Men, Women & Children
5. Richard Linklater – Boyhood

BEST ACTOR

1. Michael Keaton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game
3. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
4. Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler
5. Ben Affleck – Gone Girl

BEST ACTRESS

1. Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
2. Amy Adams – Big Eyes
3. Reese Witherspoon – Wild
4. Jessica Chastain – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby: Them
5. Shailene Woodley – The Fault in Our Stars

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
2. Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
3. Edward Norton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Ethan Hawke – Boyhood
5. Adam Sandler – Men, Women & Children

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
2. Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything
3. Emma Stone – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game
5. Kaitlyn Dever – Men, Women & Children

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Boyhood
2. Foxcatcher
3. Mr. Turner
4. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
5. Whiplash

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Gone Girl
2. Men, Women, & Children
3. Unbroken
4. Rosewater
5. Wild

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Lego Movie
2. How to Train Your Dragon 2
3. The Boxtrolls
4. Big Hero 6
5. The Tale of Princess Kaguya

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Interstellar
2. Unbroken
3. Into the Woods
4. The Grand Budapest Hotel
5. Mr. Turner

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Gone Girl
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Unbroken
4. Interstellar
5. Foxcatcher

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Exodus: Gods and Kings
2. Into the Woods
3. Unbroken
4. Fury
5. Noah

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Gone Girl
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Foxcatcher
4. Men, Women & Children
5. Interstellar

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Foxcatcher
2. Into the Woods
3. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Into the Woods
2. Interstellar
3. Godzilla
4. Fury
5. Transformers: Age of Extinction

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Into the Woods
2. Interstellar
3. Godzilla
4. Exodus: Gods and Kings
5. Fury

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
2. Interstellar
3. Guardians of the Galaxy
4. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
5. Snowpiercer

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Gone Girl
2. Unbroken
3. Interstellar
4. Inherent Vice
5. Fury

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Begin Again
2. The Lego Movie
3. Muppets Most Wanted
4. The Fault in Our Stars
5. Joe

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Life Itself
2. Alive Inside
3. The Unknown Known
4. Ivory Tower
5. Mala Mala

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Blue is the Warmest Color
2. Mommy
3. Two Days, One Night
4. Leviathan
5. Ida

Next month I’ll have some brand new predictions up, so stay tuned as per the usual for those!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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