"What They Had" finds welcome humor in a tragic setting                Glenn Close, Hugh Jackman and Director Damien Chazelle to Receive Hollywood Film Awards                Ben Foster continues a hot streak with “Galveston”                Paul Dano and Zoe Kazan have captured brilliance with "Wildlife"                Amandla Stenberg, John David Washington, Yalitza Aparicio, Felix Van Groeningen & Crazy Rich Asians To Receive Hollywood Film Awards                David Gordon Green puts his stamp on "Halloween" and crafts a terrific sequel                "Can You Ever Forgive Me?" deliciously pairs Richard E. Grant with Melissa McCarthy                "22 July" sees Paul Greengrass effectively depict another tragic historical event                Timothée Chalamet and Rachel Weisz to be Honored at Hollywood Film Awards                Steve Carell and Timothée Chalamet are gunning for awards with "Beautiful Boy"                "Bad Times At The El Royale" is overstuffed yet pulpy fun from Drew Goddard                87 films will contend for Best Foreign Language Feature this year                "First Man" is another stunning achievement for Damien Chazelle and Ryan Gosling                Updated Academy Award predictions for early October                Bradley Cooper makes a stunning directorial debut with the Oscar frontrunner "A Star Is Born"        

A Mid-September Oscar Predictions Update

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Oscar predictions are a funny thing. Sometimes you have to just update them wholesale, and sometimes they only require a small bit of tinkering. That’s the nature of this beast, one where a single new contender can upend the race, one way or another. With a week to go until David Fincher’s Gone Girl is seen, we’re waiting for that new contender to change the landscape, but enough has happened since my last update that I wanted to make sure I brought this new one to you now. By the end of September, a lot more will be known. Exciting, right?

If you look at what I have in this particular update, you’ll mainly see some category placement confirmation and the inclusion of Julianne Moore for Still Alice. In regards to the former concept, especially in Best Actress/Best Supporting Actress, contenders like Felicity Jones are going to be campaigned Lead, not Supporting, so there’s some clarity there. Also, until the aforementioned Gone Girl screens, I’m keeping it as a major victor, though time will tell if I’m on to something or not. It’s getting a new press from the likes of The Imitation Game as well as The Theory of Everything, which have boosted themselves in the past week or so. Next week I’ll have seen Gone Girl as well as Whiplash, so that’ll evolve the race a bit more as well. Until then, the educated guesswork will just have to continue a bit more.

Well, enough talk. I know you just want to see how the predictions have changed, so let me oblige you. Here now are my most up to date Academy Award predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. Gone Girl
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Foxcatcher
4. The Imitation Game
5. Boyhood
6. The Theory of Everything
7. Whiplash
8. Unbroken
9. Men, Women & Children
10. Rosewater

BEST DIRECTOR

1. David Fincher – Gone Girl
2. Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher
4. Richard Linklater – Boyhood
5. James Marsh – The Theory of Everything

BEST ACTOR

1. Michael Keaton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game
3. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
4. Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything
5. Ben Affleck – Gone Girl

BEST ACTRESS

1. Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything
2. Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
3. Julianne Moore – Still Alice
4. Amy Adams – Big Eyes
5. Reese Witherspoon – Wild

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
2. Edward Norton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
4. Ethan Hawke – Boyhood
5. Josh Brolin – Inherent Vice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
2. Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game
3. Emma Stone – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Laura Dern – Wild
5. Katherine Waterston – Inherent Vice

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Boyhood
2. Foxcatcher
3. Mr. Turner
4. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
5. Whiplash

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Gone Girl
2. Men, Women, & Children
3. The Theory of Everything
4. Rosewater
5. Unbroken

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Lego Movie
2. How to Train Your Dragon 2
3. The Boxtrolls
4. Big Hero 6
5. The Tale of Princess Kaguya

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Interstellar
2. Unbroken
3. Into the Woods
4. The Grand Budapest Hotel
5. Mr. Turner

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Gone Girl
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Unbroken
4. Interstellar
5. Foxcatcher

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Exodus: Gods and Kings
2. Into the Woods
3. Unbroken
4. Fury
5. Noah

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Gone Girl
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Foxcatcher
4. Boyhood
5. Interstellar

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Foxcatcher
2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
3. Tusk

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Into the Woods
2. Interstellar
3. Godzilla
4. Fury
5. Transformers: Age of Extinction

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Into the Woods
2. Interstellar
3. Godzilla
4. Exodus: Gods and Kings
5. Fury

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
2. Interstellar
3. Guardians of the Galaxy
4. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
5. Snowpiercer

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Gone Girl
2. Unbroken
3. Interstellar
4. The Theory of Everything
5. Fury

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Begin Again
2. The Lego Movie
3. Muppets Most Wanted
4. The Fault in Our Stars
5. Joe

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Life Itself
2. Alive Inside
3. The Unknown Known
4. Ivory Tower
5. Mala Mala

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Blue is the Warmest Color
2. Mommy
3. Two Days, One Night
4. Leviathan
5. Ida

Next month I’ll have some brand new predictions up, so stay tuned as usual for those!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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