"The Sisters Brothers" spins a unique Western yarn                "Colette" is another period piece showcase for Kiera Knightley                John C. Reilly looks like a late breaking Academy Award player in the Trailer for "Stan & Ollie"                Brie Larson saves the day in the First Trailer for "Captain Marvel"                The Toronto International Film Festival boosts "Green Book" with its Top Prize                Updated Academy Award predictions for early September                "White Boy Rick" is a compelling character study and period piece                Taking a look at potential Best Supporting Actress contenders                Shane Black gives "The Predator" his signature clever spin                Venice Film Festival award winners include "The Favourite" and "Roma"                Taking a look at potential Best Supporting Actor contenders                Watch out for Ben Foster in Best Supporting Actor for "Leave No Trace"                "The Favourite" releases a new Trailer to build off of its positive festival buzz                "All About Nina" and "Fahrenheit 11/9": Films to look forward to in September                Trailer for "The Front Runner" and Buzz from Telluride suggest another Oscar player for Jason Reitman        

A December Oscar Predictions Update

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Well, the calendar has turned to December folks, so now we’re getting serious here in terms of Oscar predictions. Precursor awards are in full swing now, so expect the Academy Award picture to begin to clear itself up little by little. As I keep saying, that doesn’t mean that from now on we’ll suddenly know how the whole thing will go down, but we’re close to the point where things should make more sense. Without any unseen contenders left, all that’s left is figuring out how these various Oscar hopefuls will do. Well, that’s what I’m here for ladies and gentlemen, so let’s figure it out!

The big new piece of information here is that I’ve now seen and digested Angelina Jolie’s film Unbroken. Honestly, I’m skeptical that it’ll be a major player, which is why I now have it snubbed in the Best Picture category and not going home with a single win. I could be wrong, but I also think that Jolie will fall short in Best Director and Jack O’Connell won’t be able to break through in the Best Actor race. It’s not that I don’t think it’s a good movie, because it is, but it doesn’t feel like something that can stand up to the major players in this race. As such, voters might leave it behind.

This leaves us mostly with a race that’s going to come down to Richard Linklater’s Boyhood, Morten Tyldum’s The Imitation Game, and Ava DuVernay’s Selma in terms of Best Picture as well as Best Director. You can make the case that Alejandro González Iñárritu’s Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance is a potential dark horse, but aside from that, it’s those three. You’ll see what I think will happen below, but get used to seeing those titles a lot, because those are the names that will compete for Oscar glory.

Anyway, it’s time to get down to business, right? Without further delay, here is how I see the Academy Award nominations going at this current juncture, with once again my next in line picks listed for completion/as a bonus. Behold:

BEST PICTURE

1. Boyhood
2. Selma
3. The Imitation Game
4. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
5. Interstellar
6. Gone Girl
7. Whiplash
8. The Theory of Everything
9. Foxcatcher
10. A Most Violent Year

Next in line: 11. Unbroken 12. American Sniper 13. Into the Woods 14. Fury 15. Rosewater 16. Wild 17. Mr. Turner 18. Inherent Vice 19. Nightcrawler 20. Still Alice

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Richard Linklater – Boyhood
2. Ava DuVernay – Selma
3. Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Morten Tyldum – The Imitation Game
5. Christopher Nolan – Interstellar

Next in line: 6. David Fincher – Gone Girl 7. Damien Chazelle – Whiplash 8. J.C. Chandor – A Most Violent Year 9. Angelina Jolie – Unbroken 10. Clint Eastwood – American Sniper

BEST ACTOR

1. David Oyelowo – Selma
2. Michael Keaton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game
4. Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything
5. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher

Next in line: 6. Bradley Cooper – American Sniper 7. Oscar Isaac – A Most Violent Year 8. Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler 9. Jack O’Connell – Unbroken 10. Kevin Costner – Black or White

BEST ACTRESS

1. Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything
2. Julianne Moore – Still Alice
3. Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
4. Reese Witherspoon – Wild
5. Shailene Woodley – The Fault in Our Stars

Next in line: 6. Jennifer Aniston – Cake 7. Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night 8. Jessica Chastain – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby 9. Hilary Swank – The Homesman 10. Amy Adams – Big Eyes

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
2. Ethan Hawke – Boyhood
3. Edward Norton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
5. Tom Wilkinson – Selma

Next in line: 6. Robert Duvall – The Judge 7. Josh Brolin – Inherent Vice 8. Miyavi – Unbroken 9. Christoph Waltz – Big Eyes 10. Chris Pine – Into the Woods

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
2. Jessica Chastain – A Most Violent Year
3. Emma Stone – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game
5. Meryl Streep – Into the Woods

Next in line: 6. Laura Dern – Wild 7. Carrie Coon – Gone Girl 8. Kristen Stewart – Still Alice 9. Rene Russo – Nightcrawler 10. Carmen Ejogo – Selma

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Interstellar
4. Selma
5. Whiplash

Next in line: 6. A Most Violent Year 7. Foxcatcher 8. Mr. Turner 9. The Grand Budapest Hotel 10. Begin Again

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Gone Girl
2. The Imitation Game
3. The Theory of Everything
4. Unbroken
5. Rosewater

Next in line: 6. Wild 7. American Sniper 8. Inherent Vice 9. The Fault in Our Stars 10. Men, Women & Children

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Lego Movie
2. Big Hero 6
3. How to Train Your Dragon 2
4. The Boxtrolls
5. The Tale of Princess Kaguya

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Interstellar
2. The Grand Budapest Hotel
3. Into the Woods
4. Mr. Turner
5. Big Eyes

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Interstellar
3. Unbroken
4. A Most Violent Year
5. Gone Girl

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Into the Woods
2. Exodus: Gods and Kings
3. Fury
4. Mr. Turner
5. Noah

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Gone Girl
4. Interstellar
5. The Imitation Game

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Foxcatcher
2. Into the Woods
3. Tusk

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Interstellar
2. Into the Woods
3. Godzilla
4. Fury
5. Transformers: Age of Extinction

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Interstellar
2. Into the Woods
3. American Sniper
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. Fury

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Interstellar
2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
3. Guardians of the Galaxy
4. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
5. Godzilla

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Interstellar
2. The Imitation Game
3. Gone Girl
4. The Theory of Everything
5. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Begin Again
2. Boyhood
3. The Lego Movie
4. The Fault in Our Stars
5. Noah

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Citizenfour
2. Life Itself
3. Tales of the Grim Sleeper
4. Last Days in Vietnam
5. Jodorowsky’s Dune

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Mommy
2. Two Days, One Night
3. Ida
4. Wild Tales
5. Leviathan

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Feast
2. The Dam Keeper
3. Symphony No. 42
4. Footprints
5. Duets

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. One Child
2. The Reaper
3. Joanna
4. White Earth
5. Our Curse

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. The Phone Call
2. My Father’s Truck
3. Carry On
4. Baghdad Messi
5. Summer Vacation

I’ll have some brand new predictions up later on this month, so stay tuned for those!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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