2018 Critics Choice nominations led by Yorgos Lanthimos' "The Favourite"                Nicole Kidman: Boy Erased and Destroyer - Hollywood Film Tribute                “Beautiful Boy” – Timothée Chalamet: Hollywood Film Tribute                “First Man” by Damien Chazelle: Ryan Gosling, Claire Foy - Hollywood Film Tribute                Natalie Portman shines in the otherwise confounding "Vox Lux"                Golden Globe nominations announced! "Vice" leads the charge!                “Green Book” - Viggo Mortensen, Mahershala Ali: Hollywood Film Tribute                "Mary Queen of Scots" can't live up to its royal lineage                "Ben Is Back" sees father and filmmaker Peter Hedges direct his son Lucas Hedges to a brilliant performance                Hollywood Film Tribute: GLENN CLOSE for her excellent performances                A final crack at Golden Globe nominations before Thursday's announcement                “Mary Poppins Returns” and “Once Upon a Deadpool”: Films to see in December                Review Round-Up: "Elliot: The Littlest Reindeer" and "The Mercy"                National Board of Review goes big for "Green Book" and "A Star Is Born"                "Amazing Grace" pays tribute to Aretha Franklin        

Updated Oscar predictions after the Golden Globe and SAG announcements

80th Annual Academy Awards - "Parade of the Oscars"
Happy Friday everyone! With the nominations for the Golden Globe awards and the Screen Actors Guild awards really giving a bit more shape to the Academy Award race, I thought it was time to break in a bit early with some new predictions. Yes, consider this a bonus Oscar prediction update. Enough has changed that I really think it’s apt to begin putting these up a little more often. I’m not sure I’ll do it every week just yet, but we’re closing in on that sort of time period. Obviously we’ve seen certain titles/performances really come on strong this week, while others have really faded. As such, there’s a fair amount of movement in this update.

Most notably, I’ve boosted Birdman, The Grand Budapest Hotel, and Nightcrawler, while backing away from The Imitation Game, Interstellar, and Selma, to one degree or another, not to mention almost completely abandoning Unbroken. The Imitation Game and Selma are still viable Best Picture winners, but Birdman has jumped past them for now. Obviously, everything is in the shadow of Boyhood until further notice, but the jockeying below it is going on hot and heavy. Lots can and still will happen between now and the Oscar nominations being announced, so it’s hardly a set field by any stretch of the imagination.

Here now are my most up to date Academy Award predictions, reflecting the Globe and SAG nomination results (including a quick additional update to reflect the scores and songs deemed eligible by the Academy):

BEST PICTURE

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Selma
4. The Imitation Game
5. Whiplash
6. Gone Girl
7. Foxcatcher
8. The Theory of Everything
9. A Most Violent Year
10. Interstellar

Next in line: 11. Unbroken 12. The Grand Budapest Hotel 13. Into the Woods 14. American Sniper 15. Fury 16. Wild 17. Mr. Turner 18. Inherent Vice 19. Nightcrawler 20. Rosewater

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Richard Linklater – Boyhood
2. Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Ava DuVernay – Selma
4. David Fincher – Gone Girl
5. Damien Chazelle – Whiplash

Next in line: 6. Morten Tyldum – The Imitation Game 7. J.C. Chandor – A Most Violent Year 8. Clint Eastwood – American Sniper 9. Christopher Nolan – Interstellar 10. Wes Anderson – The Grand Budapest Hotel

BEST ACTOR

1. Michael Keaton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything
3. David Oyelowo – Selma
4. Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler
5. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher

Next in line: 6. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game 7. Oscar Isaac – A Most Violent Year 8. Bradley Cooper – American Sniper 9. Ralph Fiennes – The Grand Budapest Hotel 10. Kevin Costner – Black or White

BEST ACTRESS

1. Julianne Moore – Still Alice
2. Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything
3. Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
4. Reese Witherspoon – Wild
5. Jennifer Aniston – Cake

Next in line: 6. Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night 7. Shailene Woodley – The Fault in Our Stars 8. Jessica Chastain – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby 9. Emily Blunt – Into the Woods 10. Amy Adams – Big Eyes

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
2. Edward Norton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Ethan Hawke – Boyhood
4. Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
5. Robert Duvall – The Judge

Next in line: 6. Tom Wilkinson – Selma 7. Josh Brolin – Inherent Vice 8. Miyavi – Unbroken 9. Christoph Waltz – Big Eyes 10. Chris Pine – Into the Woods

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
2. Jessica Chastain – A Most Violent Year
3. Emma Stone – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game
5. Meryl Streep – Into the Woods

Next in line: 6. Laura Dern – Wild 7. Carrie Coon – Gone Girl 8. Kristen Stewart – Still Alice 9. Rene Russo – Nightcrawler 10. Anna Kendrick – Into the Woods

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Interstellar
4. The Grand Budapest Hotel
5. Whiplash

Next in line: 6. A Most Violent Year 7. Selma 8. Mr. Turner 9. Foxcatcher 10. Nightcrawler

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Gone Girl
2. The Imitation Game
3. The Theory of Everything
4. Inherent Vice
5. Rosewater

Next in line: 6. Wild 7. American Sniper 8. Unbroken 9. The Fault in Our Stars 10. Men, Women & Children

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Lego Movie
2. Big Hero 6
3. How to Train Your Dragon 2
4. The Boxtrolls
5. The Tale of Princess Kaguya

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Interstellar
2. The Grand Budapest Hotel
3. Into the Woods
4. Mr. Turner
5. Big Eyes

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Interstellar
3. Unbroken
4. A Most Violent Year
5. Gone Girl

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Into the Woods
2. Exodus: Gods and Kings
3. Fury
4. Mr. Turner
5. Noah

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Gone Girl
4. Interstellar
5. The Imitation Game

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Foxcatcher
2. Into the Woods
3. Tusk

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Interstellar
2. Into the Woods
3. Godzilla
4. Fury
5. Transformers: Age of Extinction

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Interstellar
2. Into the Woods
3. American Sniper
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. Fury

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Interstellar
2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
3. Guardians of the Galaxy
4. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
5. Godzilla

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Interstellar
2. The Imitation Game
3. Gone Girl
4. The Theory of Everything
5. Inherent Vice

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Begin Again
2. Boyhood
3. The Lego Movie
4. Noah
5. The Fault in Our Stars

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Citizenfour
2. Life Itself
3. Tales of the Grim Sleeper
4. Last Days in Vietnam
5. Jodorowsky’s Dune

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Ida
2. Two Days, One Night
3. Mommy
4. Wild Tales
5. Leviathan

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Feast
2. The Dam Keeper
3. Symphony No. 42
4. Footprints
5. Duets

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. One Child
2. The Reaper
3. Joanna
4. White Earth
5. Our Curse

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. The Phone Call
2. My Father’s Truck
3. Carry On
4. Baghdad Messi
5. Summer Vacation

I’ll have some brand new predictions up later on this month (possibly even next Friday), so stay tuned for those!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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