"The Sisters Brothers" spins a unique Western yarn                "Colette" is another period piece showcase for Kiera Knightley                John C. Reilly looks like a late breaking Academy Award player in the Trailer for "Stan & Ollie"                Brie Larson saves the day in the First Trailer for "Captain Marvel"                The Toronto International Film Festival boosts "Green Book" with its Top Prize                Updated Academy Award predictions for early September                "White Boy Rick" is a compelling character study and period piece                Taking a look at potential Best Supporting Actress contenders                Shane Black gives "The Predator" his signature clever spin                Venice Film Festival award winners include "The Favourite" and "Roma"                Taking a look at potential Best Supporting Actor contenders                Watch out for Ben Foster in Best Supporting Actor for "Leave No Trace"                "The Favourite" releases a new Trailer to build off of its positive festival buzz                "All About Nina" and "Fahrenheit 11/9": Films to look forward to in September                Trailer for "The Front Runner" and Buzz from Telluride suggest another Oscar player for Jason Reitman        

A Mid-December Oscar Predictions Update

The Grand Budapest Hotel
We’re almost at the point where it’s time for weekly Oscar prediction updates folks. It’s not quite that time, but before long it’ll be bi-weekly at least, with some precursor winner predictions thrown in for good measure. Anyway, since it’s the middle of the month, it’s time for new Academy Award predictions. With the precursors in full swing, there’s no shortage of things to consider, so expect a bit of a change in how a number of my categories look. There’s only a matter of weeks left to nail down who the nominees will wind up being, so the final time to play games is now. Once we hit January, things are far more serious. There’s no way to get things 100% accurate, but I certainly aim to come as close as I can.

What you’ll mainly see here in this latest update is a real swing in the favor of Wes Anderson’s film The Grand Budapest Hotel. What I once had all but getting shut out could now be in line for perhaps a half a dozen nominations. I highly doubt that a total as high as that will actually occur, but the possibility is officially there. If the precursors did one thing (aside from solidifying Richard Linklater’s Boyhood as the current frontrunner/one to beat), it was to give Anderson and his movie a second life. We’ll see if it lasts, but it’s certainly been something that I took notice of. Other new things reflected here include slightly tinkered with Best Original Score and Best Original Song predictions, with the latter showing the actual song now, since the long list has now come out (along with the bake off titles for Best Hairstyling and Makeup having been announced as well). There’s still the Best Foreign Language Feature long list that we need to see, but that could be basically at any moment now, so if it hits soon I’ll just update here and make a notation. (It came out, so that’s reflected here too)

Here now, without any further delay, are my brand spanking new/up to date Academy Award predictions. Behold:

BEST PICTURE

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Selma
4. The Imitation Game
5. The Theory of Everything
6. Whiplash
7. The Grand Budapest Hotel
8. Gone Girl
9. Foxcatcher
10. Interstellar

Next in line: 11. A Most Violent Year 12. Into the Woods 13. Unbroken 14. Wild 15. American Sniper 16. Nightcrawler 17. Mr. Turner 18. Inherent Vice 19. Under the Skin 20. Rosewater

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Richard Linklater – Boyhood
2. Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Ava DuVernay – Selma
4. David Fincher – Gone Girl
5. Wes Anderson – The Grand Budapest Hotel

Next in line: 6. Morten Tyldum – The Imitation Game 7. Damien Chazelle – Whiplash 8. J.C. Chandor – A Most Violent Year 9. Christopher Nolan – Interstellar 10. Clint Eastwood – American Sniper

BEST ACTOR

1. Michael Keaton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything
3. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game
4. Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler
5. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher

Next in line: 6. David Oyelowo – Selma 7. Ralph Fiennes – The Grand Budapest Hotel 8. Bradley Cooper – American Sniper 9. Oscar Isaac – A Most Violent Year 10. Joaquin Phoenix – Inherent Vice

BEST ACTRESS

1. Julianne Moore – Still Alice
2. Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything
3. Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
4. Reese Witherspoon – Wild
5. Jennifer Aniston – Cake

Next in line: 6. Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night 7. Shailene Woodley – The Fault in Our Stars 8. Jessica Chastain – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby 9. Amy Adams – Big Eyes 10. Emily Blunt – Into the Woods

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
2. Edward Norton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Ethan Hawke – Boyhood
4. Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
5. Robert Duvall – The Judge

Next in line: 6. Tom Wilkinson – Selma 7. Josh Brolin – Inherent Vice 8. Christoph Waltz – Big Eyes 9. Miyavi – Unbroken 10. Chris Pine – Into the Woods

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
2. Emma Stone – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Jessica Chastain – A Most Violent Year
4. Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game
5. Meryl Streep – Into the Woods

Next in line: 6. Laura Dern – Wild 7. Carrie Coon – Gone Girl 8. Kristen Stewart – Still Alice 9. Rene Russo – Nightcrawler 10. Anna Kendrick – Into the Woods

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. The Grand Budapest Hotel
4. Whiplash
5. Interstellar

Next in line: 6. A Most Violent Year 7. Selma 8. Mr. Turner 9. Foxcatcher 10. Dear White People

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Gone Girl
2. The Theory of Everything
3. Inherent Vice
4. The Imitation Game
5. Rosewater

Next in line: 6. Wild 7. American Sniper 8. Unbroken 9. The Fault in Our Stars 10. Into the Woods

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Lego Movie
2. Big Hero 6
3. How to Train Your Dragon 2
4. The Boxtrolls
5. The Tale of Princess Kaguya

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Interstellar
2. The Grand Budapest Hotel
3. Into the Woods
4. Mr. Turner
5. Big Eyes

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Interstellar
3. Unbroken
4. Selma
5. Gone Girl

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Into the Woods
2. Exodus: Gods and Kings
3. Fury
4. Mr. Turner
5. Noah

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Gone Girl
4. Interstellar
5. The Grand Budapest Hotel

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Foxcatcher
2. The Theory of Everything
3. Guardians of the Galaxy

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Interstellar
2. Into the Woods
3. Godzilla
4. Fury
5. Transformers: Age of Extinction

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Interstellar
2. Into the Woods
3. American Sniper
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. Fury

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Interstellar
2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
3. Guardians of the Galaxy
4. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
5. Godzilla

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Interstellar
2. The Imitation Game
3. Gone Girl
4. The Theory of Everything
5. Under the Skin

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Lost Stars – Begin Again
2. Split the Difference – Boyhood
3. Everything is Awesome – The Lego Movie
4. Mercy Me – Noah
5. Let Me In – The Fault in Our Stars

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Citizenfour
2. Life Itself
3. Tales of the Grim Sleeper
4. Last Days in Vietnam
5. Jodorowsky’s Dune

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Ida
2. Force Majeure
3. Wild Tales
4. Leviathan
5. Timbuktu

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Feast
2. The Dam Keeper
3. Symphony No. 42
4. Footprints
5. Duets

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. One Child
2. The Reaper
3. Joanna
4. White Earth
5. Our Curse

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. The Phone Call
2. My Father’s Truck
3. Carry On
4. Baghdad Messi
5. Summer Vacation

I’ll have some new (and maybe even improved) predictions up next month, so stay tuned for those!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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