Year in advance Oscar Predictions

I know this seems nuts, but here I am with some Academy Award predictions for next season. We’re a long way out, yes…but for me, this is the absolute most fun time of the year, in terms of forming predictions. Why? Simply put, it’s because anything is possible. If you want to see how an odd nominee would look, you need only predict it. Right now, we’re just as likely to see Steven Spielberg’s latest St. James Place take Best Picture as Star Wars: The Force Awakens. It’s kind of a brilliant thing, really. Even so, I’ve tried to be as logical as possible here, foregoing a number of quirkier picks in favor of the contenders I really feel good about, even if it really is only February still.

Which films are in contention? You’ll be able to see below, but the biggest contender right now seem to be the aforementioned St. James Place from Spielberg, David Gordon Green’s Our Brand is Crisis, David O. Russell’s Joy, Quentin Tarantino’s The Hateful Eight, Alejandro G. Inarritu’s The Revenant, and Danny Boyle’s Steve Jobs. Acting wise, all of those movies have contenders, while the big player right now seems to be Jake Gyllenhaal, who could score for either Demolition or Southpaw. An X factor to keep an eye on? Ridley Scott’s The Martian, which is based on an outstanding book and could either fall flat or be a huge player. Sit tight on that one…

Here now is my first set of Oscar predictions for awards season to come:

BEST PICTURE

1. St. James Place
2. Our Brand is Crisis
3. Joy
4. The Hateful Eight
5. The Revenant
6. Steve Jobs
7. Demolition
8. The Martian
9. The Sea of Trees
10. The End of the Tour

Next in line: 11. Carol 12. Irrational Man 13. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 14. Black Mass 15. Snowden 16. Money Monster 17. The Walk 18. Freeheld 19. Southpaw 20. Brooklyn 21. By the Sea 22. MacBeth 23. Bleed for This 24. Aloha 25. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Steven Spielberg – St. James Place
2. David Gordon Green – Our Brand is Crisis
3. David O. Russell – Joy
4. Alejandro G. Inarritu – The Revenant
5. Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight

Next in line: 6. Danny Boyle – Steve Jobs 7. Gus Van Sant – The Sea of Trees 8. Ridley Scott – The Martian 9. Woody Allen – Irrational Man 10. Jean Marc Vallee – Demolition

BEST ACTOR

1. Jake Gyllenhaal – Demolition
2. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
3. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
4. Jason Segel – The End of the Tour
5. Tom Hanks – St. James Place

Next in line: 6. Joseph Gordon-Levitt – The Walk 7. Miles Teller – Bleed for This 8. Matt Damon – The Martian 9. Matthew McConaughey – The Sea of Trees 10. Joaquin Phoenix – Irrational Man

BEST ACTRESS

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
2. Cate Blanchett – Carol
3. Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis
4. Meryl Streep – Ricki and the Flash
5. Amy Schumer – Trainwreck

Next in line: 6. Marion Cotillard – MacBeth 7. Angelina Jolie – By the Sea 8. Julianne Moore – Freehold 9. Juliette Binoche – Clouds of Sils Maria 10. Emma Stone – Irrational Man

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Bruce Dern – The Hateful Eight
2. Tom Hardy – The Revenant
3. Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs
4. Bradley Cooper – Joy
5. Jesse Eisenberg – The End of the Tour

Next in line: 6. Kurt Russell – The Hateful Eight 7. Ken Watanabe – The Sea of Trees 8. George Clooney – Money Monster 9. Billy Bob Thornton – Our Brand is Crisis 10. Samuel L. Jackson – The Hateful Eight

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Sarah Paulson – Carol
2. Ellen Page – Freeheld
3. Katherine Waterston – Steve Jobs
4. Zoe Kazan – Our Brand is Crisis
5. Kristen Stewart – Clouds of Sils Maria

Next in line: 6. Jessica Chastain – The Martian 7. Naomi Watts – Demolition 8. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight 9. Shailene Woodley – Snowden 10. Carey Mulligen – Suffragette

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Our Brand is Crisis
2. Joy
3. The Hateful Eight
4. St. James Place
5. Demolition

Next in line: 6. The Sea of Trees 7. Money Monster 8. Bleed for This 9. By the Sea 10. Irrational Man

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Steve Jobs
2. The Revenant
3. The End of the Tour
4. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
5. The Martian

Next in line: 6. Carol 7. Brooklyn 8. The Walk 9. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 10. Paper Towns

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Good Dinosaur
2. Monster Trucks
3. Inside Out
4. The Peanuts Movie
5. Home

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. The Revenant
4. Carol
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Spectre
2. The Revenant
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. The Hateful Eight
5. St. James Place

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Carol
4. The Martian
5. St. James Place

BEST FILM EDITING

1. The Hateful Eight
2. St. James Place
3. Our Brand is Crisis
4. Joy
5. The Revenant

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Hateful Eight
3. Yoga Hosers

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Spectre
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron
4. The Hateful Eight
5. The Martian

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. Avengers: Age of Ultron
3. The Hateful Eight
4. The Martian
5. St. James Place

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Spectre
4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
5. Tomorrowland

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Spectre
2. St. James Place
3. Tomorrowland
4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
5. It Follows

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

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BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

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BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

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BEST ANIMATED SHORT

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BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

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BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

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Stay tuned for potentially an update to these way too early predictions next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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