A first crack at Golden Globe predictions

golden globes stage 600x420
Now that we’re well into the fall months and about to enter the tail end of the 2015 movie release season, I wanted to take my first crack at some Golden Globe predictions. I’ll be mixing these in with Oscar predictions going forward, but early Globe picks are always interesting to me, especially since sometimes you’re still guessing category placement and just what the tastes of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will look like at the time. They’re almost impossible to accurately guess off the bat the first time around, but that little factoid has yet to stop me from trying all the same. Here goes nothing!

What you’ll notice below is that things more or less reflect how I see the Academy Awards going, but with some slight changes. Obviously, the Comedy or Musical categories open things up to some other contenders, though we won’t know for a bit still how certain contenders will decide to compete. We know that Joy is likely to go Drama, but The Big Short and The Martian, for example, are two that could go the Comedy route. I have pretty much the same winners here as with Oscar, with the exception of Ridley Scott winning Best Director, on the potential strength of The Martian going Comedy and winning Best Picture in that area and getting Matt Damon that Best Actor win as well. The Drama category at the Globes still is where the Best Picture winner for Oscar likely will come from, with Spotlight and Steve Jobs facing off for now, though The Revenant is an X factor spoiler here. We’ll have more HFPA analysis coming soon, but these predictions should suffice for now…

Here you go folks, my initial look at how the Golden Globe awards could shape up:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. Spotlight
2. The Revenant
3. Steve Jobs
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Joy

If there’s a sixth: Brooklyn

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. The Martian
2. Trainwreck
3. The Big Short
4. Love & Mercy
5. Our Brand is Crisis

If there’s a sixth: Grandma

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
2. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
3. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
4. Johnny Depp – Black Mass
5. Jake Gyllenhaal – Southpaw

If there’s a sixth: Tom Hanks – Bridge of Spies

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Matt Damon – The Martian
2. Paul Dano – Love & Mercy
3. Bill Murray – Rock the Kasbah
4. John Cusack – Love & Mercy
5. Bill Hader – Trainwreck

If there’s a sixth: Joaquin Phoenix – Irrational Man

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
2. Brie Larson – Room
3. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
4. Cate Blanchett – Carol
5. Carey Mulligan – Suffragette

If there’s a sixth: Emily Blunt – Sicario

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Lily Tomlin – Grandma
2. Amy Schumer – Trainwreck
3. Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis
4. Meryl Streep – Ricki and the Flash
5. Melissa McCarthy – Spy

If there’s a sixth: Emma Stone – Irrational Man

Best Supporting Actor

1. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
2. Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation
3. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
4. Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs
5. Jason Segel – The End of the Tour

If there’s a sixth: Benicio del Toro – Sicario

Best Supporting Actress

1. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
2. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
2. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
4. Rooney Mara – Carol
5. Kristen Stewart – Clouds of Sils Maria

If there’s a sixth: Rachel McAdams – Spotlight

Best Director

1. Ridley Scott – The Martian
2. Danny Boyle – Steve Jobs
3. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
4. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant
5. Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight

If there’s a sixth: David O. Russell – Joy

Best Screenplay

1. Steve Jobs
2. The Martian
3. Spotlight
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Trainwreck

If there’s a sixth: Joy

Best Animated Feature

1. Inside Out
2. Anamolisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. The Little Prince
5. Shaun the Sheep Movie

Best Original Score

1. Spectre
2. Bridge of Spies
3. Inside Out
4. Steve Jobs
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Original Song

1. Ricki and the Flash
2. Spectre
3. Love & Mercy
4. Furious 7
5. Southpaw

Best Foreign Film

1. Son of Saul
2. The Assassin
3. The Second Mother
4. Labyrinth of Lies
5. A War

Stay tuned for a new set of Oscar predictions later on this month as well as another update to these Golden Globe predictions sometime next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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