Hollywood Contenders – An Early Oscar Predictions Update for April

80th Annual Academy Awards - "Parade of the Oscars"

I know, it’s only April, and not even the end of the month either. The Academy Awards are way off in the distance, but as you all know by now, I make it a point to always keep it up with early predictions. That’s the case even now, so while it may be a ways away from precursor season, we press on anyway with advance predix. Today will be my second update for the upcoming race, so it’s still a situation that’s very much in its infancy. Things will start to form in some way during the end of the summer, but that’s still months off, so take all of this with a big grain of salt.

What you’ll see below, in terms of my new set of predictions, is very much more of the same. To a small degree, I’ve made room for some of the things that have hit early on this year, like Everybody Wants Some, but we’re still basically feeling around in the dark. Again, that’ll change, but without any reason to go in another direction, I’m backing Kenneth Lonergan’s Manchester by the Sea as a major Academy player. Perhaps I’m nuts, but I have a feeling that this one will stick around right up until the end. Time will tell, obviously, but I have a hunch that it’s one of the big ones for 2016…

Here now are my current early Oscar predictions, at least for the moment:

BEST PICTURE

1. Manchester by the Sea
2. Silence
3. La La Land
4. The Birth of a Nation
5. Loving
6. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
7. Lion
8. The Light Between Oceans
9. The Founder
10. Passengers

Next in line: 11. War Machine 12. Sully 13. Collateral Beauty 14. Story of Your Life 15. A United Kingdom 16. The Zookeeper’s Wife 17. Snowden 18. Nocturnal Animals 19. Everybody Wants Some 20. Allied 21. The Lost City of Z 22. The Nice Guys 23. LBJ 24. The Circle 25. Café Society

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
2. Martin Scorsese – Silence
3. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
4. Nate Parker – The Birth of a Nation
5. Jeff Nichols – Loving

Next in line: 6. Ang Lee – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 7. Derek Cianfrance – The Light Between Oceans 8. Clint Eastwood – Sully 9. John Lee Hancock – The Founder 10. Morten Tyldum – Passengers

BEST ACTOR

1. Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2. Ryan Gosling – La La Land (or The Nice Guys)
3. Michael Keaton – The Founder
4. Will Smith – Collateral Beauty
5. Michael Fassbender – The Light Between Oceans

Next in line: 6. Tom Hanks – Sully 7. Andrew Garfield – Silence 8. Chris Pratt – Passengers 9. Joseph Gordon-Levitt – Snowden 10. Dev Patel – Lion

BEST ACTRESS

1. Amy Adams – Nocturnal Animals (or Story of Your Life)
2. Emma Stone – La La Land
3. Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers
4. Ruth Negga – Loving
5. Emily Blunt – The Girl on the Train

Next in line: 6. Jessica Chastain – The Zookeeper’s Wife 7. Emma Watson – The Circle 8. Alicia Vikander – The Light Between Oceans 9. Felicity Jones – Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 10. Rosamund Pike – A United Kingdom

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Liam Neeson – Silence
2. Steve Martin – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
3. Michael Shannon – Loving
4. Kyle Chandler – Manchester by the Sea
5. Oscar Isaac – The Promise

Next in line: 6. Jeremy Renner – Story of Your Life 7. Adam Driver – Silence 8. Aaron Eckhart – Sully 9. J.K. Simmons – La La Land 10. Glen Powell – Everybody Wants Some

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Laura Dern – The Founder
2. Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
3. Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
4. Naomi Harris – Collateral Beauty
5. Shailene Woodley – Snowden

Next in line: 6. Rachel Weisz – The Light Between Oceans 7. Jennifer Jason Leigh – LBJ 8. Laura Linney – Sully 9. Gretchen Mol – Manchester by the Sea 10. Kate Winslet – Collateral Beauty

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Manchester by the Sea
2. La La Land
3. Passengers
4. Loving
5. The Birth of a Nation

Next in line: 6. The Nice Guys 7. Café Society 8. The Founder 9. Collateral Beauty 10. Everybody Wants Some

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Light Between Oceans
2. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
3. Silence
4. War Machine
5. Sully

Next in line: 6. The Zookeeper’s Wife 7. Story of Your Life 8. Nocturnal Animals 9. The Lost City of Z 10. Snowden

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Zootopia
2. Finding Dory
3. The Secret Life of Pets
4. Moana
5. Storks

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Silence
2. The Lost City of Z
3. Passengers
4. La La Land
5. The Light Between Oceans

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Silence
2. La La Land
3. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
4. Manchester by the Sea
5. The Circle

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Silence
2. The Light Between Oceans
3. Alice Through the Looking Glass
4. The Birth of a Nation
5. The Zookeeper’s Wife

BEST FILM EDITING

1. La La Land
2. Manchester by the Sea
3. Silence
4. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
5. Jason Bourne

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Alice Through the Looking Glass
2. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
3. Silence

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
2. La La Land
3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
4. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
5. Jason Bourne

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
2. La La Land
3. Independence Day: Resurgence
4. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
5. Jason Bourne

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
2. The BFG
3. Captain America: Civil War
4. The Jungle Book
5. Independence Day: Resurgence

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Story of Your Life
2. The Light Between Oceans
3. Finding Dory
4. Silence
5. The Birth of a Nation

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. La La Land
2. Sing Street
3. Moana
4. Sing Street
5. Tumbledown

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

?

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

?

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

?

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

?

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

?

Stay tuned for another update to my predictions next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

Follow us

Breaking Hollywood News   


UPDATES BY EMAIL

Comments are closed.