January 17, 2017

A new set of Golden Globe predictions

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The time for constantly updating predictions is upon us! (Also, Happy Holidays to you and yours) Today, taking a quick break from Academy Award predictions, I’m turning my attention to the Golden Globes. A notable precursor, Globe picks can sometimes mean a lot or a little, depending on the year. Predicting them can often be an exercise in futility, but we press on, regardless. Personally, I kind of enjoy their unpredictability, when it happens, as least. This year could go either way, and that’s part of the fun. Some analysis will be up first, but then…predictions will be coming your way, as per the usual.

Below you will see how I think the Globes will go down. Currently, it looks to me like things will remain a battle between Damien Chazelle’s La La Land and Barry Jenkins’ Moonlight for the most wins, with Kenneth Lonergan’s Manchester by the Sea hoping to pull out an overall upset. There appear to be obvious frontrunners in each category, so the surprise victories will be what to watch out for. Other precursors might impact this somewhat, but the HFPA seem to have a narrative already in front of them. What they do is anyone’s guess, but you can see my guesses next. Enjoy!

Here now is my new set of Golden Globe predictions:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. Moonlight
2. Manchester by the Sea
3. Lion
4. Hell or High Water
5. Hacksaw Ridge

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. La La Land
2. Florence Foster Jenkins
3. Deadpool
4. 20th Century Women
5. Sing Street

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Viggo Mortensen – Captatin Fantastic
4. Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
5. Joel Edgerton – Loving

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
2. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
3. Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool
4. Colin Farrell – The Lobster
5. Jonah Hill – War Dogs

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Natalie Portman – Jackie
2. Amy Adams – Arrival
3. Isabelle Huppert – Elle
4. Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane
5. Ruth Negga – Loving

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
3. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
4. Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen
5. Lily Collins – Rules Don’t Apply

Best Supporting Actor

1. Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
2. Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
3. Dev Patel – Lion
4. Simon Helberg – Florence Foster Jenkins
5. Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Nocturnal Animals

Best Supporting Actress

1. Viola Davis – Fences
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
3. Naomie Harris – Moonlight
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures

Best Director

1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
3. Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
4. Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge
5. Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals

Best Screenplay

1. Manchester by the Sea
2. Moonlight
3. La La Land
4. Hell or High Water
5. Nocturnal Animals

Best Animated Feature

1. Zootopia
2. Kubo and the Two Strings
3. Moana
4. My Life as a Zucchini
5. Sing

Best Original Score

1. La La Land
2. Arrival
3. Moonlight
4. Lion
5. Hidden Figures

Best Original Song

1. La La Land (City of Stars)
2. Moana (How Far I’ll Go)
3. Trolls (Can’t Stop The Feeling)
4. Sing (Faith)
5. Gold (Gold)

Best Foreign Film

1. Toni Erdmann
2. Elle
3. The Salesman
4. Neruda
5. Devine

One thing to keep in mind here (perhaps more than anything else) is that there isn’t a true competition going on between main frontrunners La La Land, Manchester by the Sea, and Moonlight. La La Land has its own category to potentially dominate, while Manchester by the Sea and Moonlight could split in their category. What will matter is how they do in the couple of categories where they go head to head to head. For now, it seems safe to predict big wins for all three, but we shall see what ultimately happens. Sit tight to see how that goes down…

Stay tuned for another update to these predictions next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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