April 25, 2017

“The Post”: Oscar predictions for March

As a general rule, I don’t usually update the initial year in advance predictions so quickly, but this is a special situation. Not only is there a new big time potential contender looking to come our way in 2017 now, it’s also replacing what was formerly seen as a major player. That sort of disruption right at the start is a perfect excuse to tinker a bit with what I’ve initially come up with. It won’t look too different, but there will be some definite switches that you’ll see. Then, we’ll wait a month until updated in April, so this won’t be a weekly occurrence, fear not. For now though, this is just a bonus of sorts.

Below you will see the tinkering in question. Mainly, it was switching out one Steven Spielberg project for another. That would be his Pentagon Papers film The Post coming on to the board and book adaptation The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara being delayed until further notice. That removes the latter from the equation and inserts the former, along with stars Tom Hanks and Meryl Streep, right into the fold. In fact, at this early juncture, Spielberg and The Post seem like potential frontrunners. Christopher Nolan and Dunkirk might have something to say about that, but this is all just speculation right now. It just made sense to do this update so the information out there wasn’t too dated. Anyway, now you know…

Here now are the updated Academy Award predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. The Post
2. Dunkirk
3. Mother!
4. Darkest Hour
5. Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Movie
6. Molly’s Game
7. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
8. Downsizing
9. Battle of the Sexes
10. The Disaster Artist

Next in line: 11. The Current War 12. Call Me By Your Name 13. The Greatest Showman 14. Mudbound 15. Triple Frontier 16. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 17. The Big Sick 18. Stronger 19. Tully 20. Wind River 21. Thank You For Your Service 22. Wonderstruck 23. Chappaquiddick 24. Wonder Wheel 25. Logan

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
2. Steven Spielberg – The Post
3. Darren Aronofsky – Mother!
4. Kathryn Bigelow – Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Movie
5. Joe Wright – Darkest Hour

Next in line: 6. Paul Thomas Anderson – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project 7. Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game 8. Alexander Payne – Downsizing 9. Alfonso Gomez-Rejon – The Current War 10. James Franco – The Disaster Artist

BEST ACTOR

1. Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
2. Daniel Day-Lewis – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
3. Tom Hanks – The Post
4. Matt Damon – Downsizing
5. Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger

Next in line: 6. Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman (or Logan) 7. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War 8. Jason Clarke – Chappaquiddick 9. Liam Neeson – Felt 10. Jeremy Renner – Wind River

BEST ACTRESS

1. Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game
2. Jennifer Lawrence – Mother!
3. Meryl Streep – The Post
4. Charlize Theron – Tully
5. Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes

Next in line: 6. Rooney Mara – Mary Madelene 7. Tatiana Maslany – Stronger 8. Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel 9. Kristen Wiig – Downsizing 10. Elizabeth Olsen – Wind River

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Bruce Dern – Chappaquiddick
2. Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game
3. James Franco – The Disaster Artist
4. Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
5. Ray Romano – The Big Sick

Next in line: 6. Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Madelene 7. Michael Shannon – The Current War 8. Jason Clarke – Mudbound 9. Tom Hanks – The Circle 10. Patrick Stewart – Logan

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Michelle Pfeiffer – Mother!
2. Lily James – Darkest Hour
3. Kate Mara – Chappaquiddick
4. Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel
5. Katherine Waterston – The Current War

Next in line: 6. Rebecca Ferguson – The Greatest Showman 7. Kirsten Dunst – The Beguiled 8. Mary J. Blige – Mudbound 9. Lesley Manville – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project 10. Zoe Kazan – The Big Sick

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Mother!
2. Downsizing
3. The Post
4. Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Movie
5. The Big Sick

Next in line: 6. Darkest Hour 7. Dunkirk 8. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project 9. Wind River 10. Battle of the Sexes

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Molly’s Game
2. The Disaster Artist
3. Call Me By Your Name
4. Thank You For Your Service
5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Next in line: 6. Mudbound 7. The Beguiled 8. Stronger 9. Wonderstruck 10. The Lost City of Z

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Coco
2. The LEGO Batman Movie
3. Cars 3
4. Ferdinand
5. Despicable Me 3

Next in line: 6. The LEGO Ninjago Movie 7. Blazing Samurai 8. Captain Underpants 9. Leap! 10. The Boss Baby

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Beauty and the Beast
4. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
5. Darkest Hour

Next in line: 6. The Lost City of Z 7. The Beguiled 8. Battle of the Sexes 9. The Current War 10. Blade Runner 2046

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
4. Mother!
5. Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Movie

Next in line: 6. Blade Runner 2049 7. Downsizing 8. The Beguiled 9. Triple Frontier 10. Darkest Hour

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
2. Dunkirk
3. The Beguiled
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2

Next in line: 6. Mudbound 7. The Beguiled 8. The Lost City of Z 9. Blade Runner 2046 10. The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Dunkirk
2. The Post
3. Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Movie
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. Mother!

Next in line: 6. Darkest Hour 7. Blade Runner 2046 8. Molly’s Game 9. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project 10. Downsizing

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2
3. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project

Next in line: 4. Logan 5. The Lost City of Z 6. Spider-Man: Homecoming 7. Justice League 8. Thor: Ragnorak

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming
4. Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Movie
5. Blade Runner 2046

Next in line: 6. Justice League 7. Kong: Skull Island 8. Thor: Ragnorak 9. War for the Planet of the Apes 10. Alien: Covenant

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Movie
4. Spider-Man: Homecoming
5. Blade Runner 2046

Next in line: 6. Justice League 7. Kong: Skull Island 8. Thor: Ragnorak 9. War for the Planet of the Apes 10. Alien: Covenant

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
2. Dunkirk
3. War for the Planet of the Apes
4. Downsizing
5. Thor: Ragnorak

Next in line: 6. Blade Runner 2046 7. Kong: Skull Island 8. Justice League 9. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets 10. Alien: Covenant

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Dunkirk
2. Mother!
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
4. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
5. The Post

Next in line: 6. Blade Runner 2046 7. The Current War 8. Downsizing 9. Darkest Hour 10. The Lost City of Z

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

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BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

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BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

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BEST ANIMATED SHORT

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BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

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BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

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Stay tuned for an update to these early Oscar predictions at the beginning of next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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