Updated Oscar predictions for July


As the weather gets hotter and hotter, thoughts of the Academy Awards begin percolating in my mind. It’s always there, of course, but now, officially in the second half of the year, it feels time to get down to business, as it were. Summer counter programming is out and hoping to catch the eye of voters as they enjoy the months before they get down to awards season business. All this is to say that predictions are in flux. There are always differences from month to month, but from here on out, there could be more than usual. That’s just the name of the game.

As you’ll see below, there’s some definite movement in my predictions. The big question mark for me right now is Christopher Nolan’s Dunkirk. Some have actually seen it, but no full reviews are out yet. That leads you to wonder where it stands in the Oscar race. At the very least, it’ll be a technical player, going by the bits of praise that have been allowed out into the world. Beyond that, we don’t know yet. The Academy will surely see it either way, but in my mind, it’s a real X factor. As such, I’ve moved it down some rankings, at least until I lay eyes on it in a couple of days. Pair that with Darkest Hour getting a Trailer yesterday and the World War II epics are starting to make their cases. Anyway, on to the update…

Here now are the newest Oscar predictions, tailor made for this month that is July:

BEST PICTURE

1. The Papers
2. Downsizing
3. Darkest Hour
4. Phantom Thread
5. Molly’s Game
6. Wonder Wheel
7. The Greatest Showman
8. Last Flag Flying
9. Dunkirk
10. The Disaster Artist

Next in line: 11. Suburbicon 12. Battle of the Sexes 13. Call Me By Your Name 14. Wonderstruck 15. Mother! 16. The Beguiled 17. Detroit 18. The Big Sick 19. Mudbound 20. Stronger 21. The Glass Castle 23. Wind River 23. Thank You For Your Service 24. Blade Runner 2049 25. The Hero 26. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 27. The Current War 28. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 29. The Florida Project 30. War for the Planet of the Apes

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Alexander Payne – Downsizing
2. Steven Spielberg – The Papers
3. Joe Wright – Darkest Hour
4. Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread
5. Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk

Next in line: 6. Woody Allen – Wonder Wheel 7. George Clooney – Suburbicon 8. Darren Aronofsky – Mother! 9. Kathryn Bigelow – Detroit 10. Sofia Coppola – The Beguiled 11. Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game 12. Richard Linklater – Last Flag Flying 13. Todd Haynes – Wonderstruck 14. Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name 15. Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman

BEST ACTOR

1. Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
2. Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
3. Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger
4. Tom Hanks – The Papers
5. Sam Elliott – The Hero

Next in line: 6. Matt Damon – Downsizing 7. Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman (or Logan) 8. Liam Neeson – The Silent Man 9. Chadwick Boseman – Marshall 10. Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here 11. Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name 12. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War 13. Domhnall Gleeson – Goodbye Christopher Robin 14. Jeremy Renner – Wind River 15. Miles Teller – Thank You For Your Service

BEST ACTRESS

1. Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game
2. Jennifer Lawrence – Mother!
3. Meryl Streep – The Papers
4. Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
5. Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes

Next in line: 6. Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul 7. Carey Mulligan – Mudbound 8. Rooney Mara – Mary Madelene 9. Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel 10. Brie Larson – The Glass Castle 11. Kristen Wiig – Downsizing 12. Sally Hawkins – Maudie 13. Diane Kruger – In the Fade 14. Cynthia Nixon – A Quiet Passion 15. Gal Gadot – Wonder Woman

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Bruce Dern – Chappaquiddick
2. Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle
3. Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes (or Last Flag Flying)
4. Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
5. James Franco – The Disaster Artist

Next in line: 6. Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game 7. Ray Romano – The Big Sick 8. Michael Shannon – The Current War 9. Jason Mitchell – Mudbound 10. Oscar Isaac – Suburbicon 11. Ed Harris – Mother! 12. Justin Timberlake – Wonder Wheel 13. Patrick Stewart – Logan 14. Ethan Hawke – Maudie 15. Mark Hamill – Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Michelle Pfeiffer – Mother!
2. Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman (or Wonderstruck)
3. Margot Robbie – Goodbye Christopher Robin
4. Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel
5. Kate Mara – Chappaquiddick

Next in line: 6. Hong Chau – Downsizing 7. Kirsten Dunst – The Beguiled 8. Mary J. Blige – Mudbound 9. Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled (or The Killing of a Sacred Deer) 10. Tatiana Maslany – Stronger 11. Carrie Fisher – Star Wars: The Last Jedi 12. Zoe Kazan – The Big Sick 13. Katherine Waterston – The Current War 14. Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle 15. Maika Monroe – The Silent Man

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Mother!
2. Downsizing
3. The Papers
4. Detroit
5. The Big Sick

Next in line: 6. Darkest Hour 7. Dunkirk 8. Phantom Thread 9. Wind River 10. Suburbicon 11. Battle of the Sexes 12. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 13. The Killing of a Sacred Deer 14. Goodbye Christopher Robin 15. Get Out

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Molly’s Game
2. The Disaster Artist
3. Last Flag Flying
4. Call Me By Your Name
5. Mudbound

Next in line: 6. Battle of the Sexes 7. Wonderstuck 8. The Beguiled 9. Stronger 10. The Glass Castle 11. Thank You For Your Service 12. Victoria and Abdul 13. You Were Never Really Here 14. Lean on Pete 15. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Coco
2. The LEGO Batman Movie
3. Cars 3
4. Ferdinand
5. The LEGO Ninjago Movie

Next in line: 6. Despicable Me 3 7. Blazing Samurai 8. Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie 9. Leap! 10. The Boss Baby 11. The Breadwinner 12. The Emoji Movie 13. My Little Pony: The Movie 14. The Star 15. My Entire High School Sinking Into the Sea

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Blade Runner 2049
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Beauty and the Beast
4. Phantom Thread
5. Dunkirk

Next in line: 6. The Greatest Showman 7. The Beguiled 8. Battle of the Sexes 9. Downsizing 10. Darkest Hour 11. The Current War 12. Mudbound 13. The Beguiled 14. Wonder Wheel 15. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Blade Runner 2049
2. Dunkirk
3. Phantom Thread
4. Wonderstruck
5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Next in line: 6. Detroit 7. Downsizing 8. Mother! 9. The Greatest Showman 10. Darkest Hour 11. Wonder Wheel 12. The Papers 13. Last Flag Flying 14. Call Me By Your Name 15. The Beguiled

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Phantom Thread
2. Dunkirk
3. The Beguiled
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. The Greatest Showman

Next in line: 6. Mudbound 7. Beauty and the Beast 8. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 9. Blade Runner 2049 10. The Lost City of Z 11. Blade Runner 2046 12. Wonder Wheel 13.The Papers 14. Wonder Woman 15. Victoria and Abdul

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Dunkirk
2. The Papers
3. Downsizing
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. Blade Runner 2049

Next in line: 6. Mother! 7. Detroit 8. Darkest Hour 9. Phantom Thread 10. Wonderstruck 11. Baby Driver 12. Last Flag Flying 13. Molly’s Game 14. The Greatest Showman 15. Suburbicon

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2
3. Phantom Thread

Next in line: 4. Darkest Hour 5. The Lost City of Z 6. Logan 7. Justice League 8. Thor: Ragnorak 9. Wonder Woman 10. Blade Runner 2049 11. Mother! 12. Downsizing 13. Wonder Wheel 14. Victoria and Abdul 15. The Shape of Water

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. The Greatest Showman
5. Baby Driver

Next in line: 6. Spider-Man: Homecoming 7. Kong: Skull Island 8. Detroit 9. War for the Planet of the Apes 10. Wonder Woman 11. Thor: Ragnorak 12. Transformers: The Last Knight 13. War for the Planet of the Apes 14. Justice League 15. Alien: Covenant

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. The Greatest Showman
5. Spider-Man: Homecoming

Next in line: 6. Baby Driver 7. Kong: Skull Island 8. Detroit 9. War for the Planet of the Apes 10. Wonder Woman 11. Thor: Ragnorak 12. Transformers: The Last Knight 13. War for the Planet of the Apes 14. Justice League 15. Alien: Covenant

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
2. Dunkirk
3. War for the Planet of the Apes
4. Downsizing
5. Thor: Ragnorak

Next in line: 6. Blade Runner 2049 7. Wonder Woman 8. Justice League 9. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets 10. Alien: Covenant 11. Murder on the Orient Express 12. Okja 13. Spider-Man: Homecoming 14. Logan 15. Transformers: The Last Knight

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Dunkirk
2. Wonderstruck
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
4. Mother!
5. The Papers

Next in line: 6. Blade Runner 2049 7. Phantom Thread 8. Downsizing 9. Darkest Hour 10. The Greatest Showman 11. The Shape of Water 12. Baby Driver 13. War for the Planet of the Apes 14. The Silent Man 15. Justice League

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. The Greatest Showman
2. The Hero
3. Coco
4. Beauty and the Beast
5. Detroit

Next in line: 6. The Greatest Showman 7. Chasing Coral 8. Fifty Shades Darker 9. Beauty and the Beast 10. A Ghost Story 11. The LEGO Batman Movie 12. ? 13. ? 14. ? 15. ?

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Risk
2. An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power
3. Chasing Coral
4. Icarus
5. Cries from Syria

6. Nobody Speak: Trials of the Free Press 7. Last Men in Aleppo 8. City of Ghosts 9. ? 10. ? 11. ? 12. ? 13. ? 14. ? 15. ?

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. BPM: Beats Per Minute
2. Loveless
3. The Square
4. Happy Ending
5. Nobody’s Watching

6. ? 7. ? 8. ? 9. ? 10. ? 11. ? 12. ? 13. ? 14. ? 15. ?

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Olaf’s Frozen Adventure
2. Lou
3. ???
4. ???
5. ???

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

?

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

?


Stay tuned for an update to early Oscar predictions at the beginning of next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

Follow us

Breaking Hollywood News   


UPDATES BY EMAIL

Comments are closed.