BAFTA predictions ahead of the vital precursor


This coming weekend, the British Academy will hand out their honors. BAFTA represents really the last time for Oscar hopefuls to change the game before voting begins. It’s distinctly possible that many sets of voter eyes will be on BAFTA to see what its membership does. The Academy won’t necessarily follow along, but they might. Last year, La La Land won and of course we all know that Moonlight pulled the Oscar upset, so anything is possible. Still, this is our final clue, so it’s worthwhile to pay close attention. After this, nothing else will really have an impact, so voters will make their final choices not long after. Ignore it at your own peril.

This feels like a battle between Darkest Hour, Dunkirk, The Shape of Water, and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. Obviously, that will happen in Best Film, where they’re competing with Call Me By Your Name, and the winner could see a surge towards the Academy Award. Best Picture could mirror this, though that’s no foregone conclusion. In short, if Dunkirk, The Shape of Water, and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri take the big BAFTA prize, they could end up the frontrunner for the Oscar. Other than that, it could be a real good show overall for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. If not, we may have to discount these results and just assume the Academy is going to side with The Shape of Water. We shall see…


Here are my BAFTA predictions:

BEST FILM

1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. Dunkirk
3. The Shape of Water
4. Darkest Hour
5. Call Me By Your Name

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM

1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. Darkest Hour
3. Paddington 2
4. Lady Macbeth
5. The Death of Stalin
6. God’s Own Country

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER

1. Lady Macbeth
2. I Am Not a Witch
3. Jawbone
4. Kingdom of Us
5. The Ghoul

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE

1. The Salesman
2. First They Killed My Father
3. Elle
4. Loveless
5. The Handmaiden

DOCUMENTARY

1. Jane
2. Icarus
3. City of Ghosts
4. I Am Not Your Negro
5. An Inconvenient Sequel

ANIMATED FILM

1. Coco
2. Loving Vincent
3. My Life as a Courgette

DIRECTOR

1. Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)
2. Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
3. Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
4. Denis Villeneuve (Blade Runner 2049)
5. Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. Get Out
3. Lady Bird
4. The Shape of Water
5. I, Tonya

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Call Me By Your Name
2. Molly’s Game
3. Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
4. Paddington 2
5. The Death of Stalin

LEADING ACTRESS

1. Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
2. Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
3. Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
4. Annette Bening (Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool)
5. Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)

LEADING ACTOR

1. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
2. Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
3. Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
4. Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
5. Jamie Bell (Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
2. Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
3. Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)
4. Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour)
5. Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Same Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
2. Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
3. Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World)
4. Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
5. Hugh Grant (Paddington 2)

ORIGINAL MUSIC

1. The Shape of Water
2. Phantom Thread
3. Dunkirk
4. Darkest Hour
5. Blade Runner 2049

CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Blade Runner 2049
2. Dunkirk
3. The Shape of Water
4. Darkest Hour
5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

EDITING

1. Dunkirk
2. Blade Runner 2049
3. The Shape of Water
4. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
5. Baby Driver

PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. The Shape of Water
2. Blade Runner 2049
3. Darkest Hour
4. Beauty and the Beast
5. Dunkirk

COSTUME DESIGN

1. Phantom Thread
2. Beauty and the Beast
3. I, Tonya
4. Darkest Hour
5. The Shape of Water

MAKE UP & HAIR

1. Darkest Hour
2. Victoria & Abdul
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. I, Tonya
5. Wonder

SOUND

1. Dunkirk
2. Blade Runner 2049
3. Baby Driver
4. The Shape of Water
5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS

1. War for the Planet of the Apes
2. Blade Runner 2049
3. Dunkirk
4. The Shape of Water
5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION

1. Have Heart
2. Poles Apart
3. Mamoon

BRITISH SHORT FILM

1. A Drowning Man
2. Work
3. Cowboy Dave
4. Aamir
5. Wren Boys

EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)

1. Timothee Chalamet
2. Daniel Kaluuya
3. Tessa Thompson
4. Florence Pugh
5. Josh O’Connor


Stay tuned to see who and what take home BAFTA awards this Sunday!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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