“First Man” by Damien Chazelle: Ryan Gosling, Claire Foy - Hollywood Film Tribute                Natalie Portman shines in the otherwise confounding "Vox Lux"                Golden Globe nominations announced! "Vice" leads the charge!                “Green Book” - Viggo Mortensen, Mahershala Ali: Hollywood Film Tribute                "Mary Queen of Scots" can't live up to its royal lineage                "Ben Is Back" sees father and filmmaker Peter Hedges direct his son Lucas Hedges to a brilliant performance                Hollywood Film Tribute: GLENN CLOSE for her excellent performances                A final crack at Golden Globe nominations before Thursday's announcement                “Mary Poppins Returns” and “Once Upon a Deadpool”: Films to see in December                Review Round-Up: "Elliot: The Littlest Reindeer" and "The Mercy"                National Board of Review goes big for "Green Book" and "A Star Is Born"                "Amazing Grace" pays tribute to Aretha Franklin                Could "Vice" be this year's late breaking party crasher for awards season?                A new update to Academy Award predictions for November                Olivia Colman, Emma Stone, and Rachel Weisz are a deliciously dark trio in "The Favourite"        

A new update to Academy Award predictions for November

Howdy folks. Hopefully everyone enjoyed their Thanksgiving feast and are recovering from Tryptophan overload. As a way to move on from Turkey Day (and distract from Black Friday shopping), I’ve got a whole new set of Oscar predictions to share with you! Yes, it’s that time once again. With precursors having begun and only a little over a month left in the year, predictions need to be taken a whole lot more seriously. With each passing week, the race evolves in some new way. Before you know it, it’ll be time to start handing out big prizes, and then…the Oscars won’t be far away.

We now live in a world where only Clint Eastwood’s film The Mule resides as an unseen awards season X factor. Hovering over everything right now is the fact that Adam McKay’s Dick Cheney biopic Vice is something to reckon with. I see it on Sunday, so I won’t be able to chime in personally until next time, but it sounds like a real player. The next update will show more, including Mary Poppins Returns (I see it next week), but you can take notice of movement in almost every category below. We’re in the thick of it, ladies and gentlemen…


Here now is a fresh update to Academy Award predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. A Star Is Born
2. Green Book
3. BlackKklansman
4. The Favourite
5. Roma
6. Vice
7. First Man
8. If Beale Street Could Talk
9. Black Panther
10. Mary Poppins Returns

Next in line: 11. Can You Ever Forgive Me? 12. On the Basis of Sex 13. A Quiet Place 14. Boy Erased 15. Welcome to Marwen 16. Eighth Grade 17. Widows 18. Bohemian Rhapsody 19. First Reformed 20. The Front Runner 21. Crazy Rich Asians 22. Stan & Ollie 23. Mary Queen of Scots 24. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 25. Wildlife 26. The Hate U Give 27. Beautiful Boy 28. Sorry to Bother You 29. Ben is Back 30. The Mule

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
2. Spike Lee – BlackKklansman
3. Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
4. Damien Chazelle – First Man
5. Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite

Next in line: 6. Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk 7. Peter Farrelly – Green Book 8. Ryan Coogler – Black Panther 9. Adam McKay – Vice 10. Rob Marshall – Mary Poppins Returns

BEST ACTOR

1. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
2. Christian Bale – Vice
3. Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
4. Ryan Gosling – First Man
5. Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

Next in line: 6. Lucas Hedges – Ben is Back (or Boy Erased) 7. Clint Eastwood – The Mule 8. Ethan Hawke – First Reformed 9. Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun 10. John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

BEST ACTRESS

1. Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
2. Glenn Close – The Wife
3. Olivia Colman – The Favourite
4. Stefani Germanotta (Lady Gaga) – A Star Is Born
5. Julia Roberts – Ben is Back

Next in line: 6. Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me? 7. Felicity Jones – On the Basis of Sex 8. Carey Mulligan – Wildlife 9. Saoirse Ronan – Mary Queen of Scots 10. Yalitza Aparicio – Roma

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
2. Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
3. Mahershala Ali – Green Book
4. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
5. Robert Forster – What They Had

Next in line: 6. Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther 7. Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy 8. Russell Crowe – Boy Erased 9. Armie Hammer – On the Basis of Sex (or Sorry to Bother You) 10. Sam Rockwell – Vice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Amy Adams – Vice
2. Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
3. Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
4. Emma Stone – The Favourite
5. Claire Foy – First Man

Next in line: 6. Rachel Weisz – The Favourite 7. Natalie Portman – Vox Lux 8. Marina de Tavira – Roma 9. Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place 10. Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Green Book
2. The Favourite
3. Roma
4. Vice
5. Eighth Grade

Next in line: 6. Sorry to Bother You 7. A Quiet Place 8. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 9. On the Basis of Sex 10. Ben is Back

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. BlackKklansman
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. A Star Is Born
4. First Man
5. Boy Erased

Next in line: 6. Can You Ever Forgive Me? 7. Black Panther 8. Wildlife 9. The Hate U Give 10. Widows

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Incredibles 2
2. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck It Ralph 2
3. Isle of Dogs
4. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
5. Mirai

Next in line: 6. The Grinch 7. Smallfoot 8. Early Man 9. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies 10. Sherlock Gnomes

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. The Favourite
2. First Man
3. Black Panther
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. Mary Queen of Scots

Next in line: 6. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald 7. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 8. Bohemian Rhapsody 9. If Beale Street Could Talk 10. A Star Is Born

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. First Man
2. A Star Is Born
3. Roma
4. If Beale Street Could Talk
5. The Favourite

Next in line: 6. Cold War 7. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 8. BlackKklansman 9. Black Panther 10. Widows

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Favourite
2. Black Panther
3. Mary Poppins Returns
4. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
5. Mary Queen of Scots

Next in line: 6. Colette 7. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms 8. A Wrinkle in Time 9. First Man 10. Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST FILM EDITING

1. A Star Is Born
2. First Man
3. Black Panther
4. BlackKklansman
5. Vice

Next in line: 6. The Favourite 7. If Beale Street Could Talk 8. Roma 9. A Quiet Place 10. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Vice
2. Black Panther
3. Mary Queen of Scots

Next in line: 4. Mary Poppins Returns 5. The Favourite 6. A Wrinkle in Time 7. Bohemian Rhapsody 8. A Star Is Born

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. First Man
2. A Star Is Born
3. A Quiet Place
4. Bohemian Rhapsody
5. Black Panther

Next in line: 6. Mission: Impossible – Fallout 7. Ready Player One 8. Aquaman 9. Incredibles 2 10. Ant-Man and the Wasp

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. First Man
2. A Star Is Born
3. A Quiet Place
4. Bohemian Rhapsody
5. Black Panther

Next in line: 6. Mission: Impossible – Fallout 7. Ready Player One 8. Aquaman 9. Incredibles 2 10. Ant-Man and the Wasp

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. First Man
2. Black Panther
3. Annihilation
4. Avengers: Infinity War
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story

Next in line: 6. Ready Player One 7. Ant-Man and the Wasp 8. Aquaman 9. A Wrinkle in Time 10. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. First Man
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. BlackKklansman
4. The Sisters Brothers
5. Mary Poppins Returns

Next in line: 6. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 7. Mary Queen of Scots 8. Boy Erased 9. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald 10. Incredibles 2

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. A Star Is Born (Shallow)
2. A Star Is Born (I’ll Never Love Again)
3. Boy Erased (Revelation)
4. Black Panther (All the Stars)
5. Deadpool 2 (Ashes)

Next in line: 6. A Star Is Born (Always Remember Us This Way) 7. Hearts Beat Loud (Hearts Beat Loud) 8. Dumplin (Girl in the Movies) 9. Mary Poppins Returns (???) 10. Smallfoot (Finally Free)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
2. Three Identical Strangers
3. Minding the Gap
4. RBG
5. Free Solo

Next in line: 6. Amazing Grace 7. Shirkers 8. Fahrenheit 11/9 9. Maria by Callas 10. They’ll Love Me When I’m Dead

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Roma
2. Capernaum
3. Cold War
4. Shoplifters
5. Never Look Away

Next in line: 6. Sunset 7. Burning 8. The Guilty 9. Dogman 10. Birds of Passage

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. ???
2. ???
3. ???
4. ???
5. ???

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. ???
2. ???
3. ???
4. ???
5. ???

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. ???
2. ???
3. ???
4. ???
5. ???


Look for another update to predictions early on in December!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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