June 28, 2016

Tag Archives: hollywood foreign press association

Final Golden Globe predictions

A big day is coming, ladies and gentlemen. Yes, on Sunday night, we’ll have in some ways what amounts to a test run for Oscar in the Golden Globe Awards. Yes, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (or HFPA for short) has basically no overlap, voter wise, with the Academy, but to some degree what happens at the Globes still affects what happens with Oscar. Mostly, it makes a difference in terms of potential winners, especially since voting by Academy members for nominations will be over before Sunday, but still…they’ll be watching. As such, it makes it all the more important to keep an eye on what happens here. In that regard, I’ve got one last set of predictions for the Golden Globes, in an effort to see what the members of the HFPA are going to do this weekend.
As far as I can tell, Spotlight is still in a position to do pretty well here, but the big change I’ve gone ahead to predict is both Mad Max: Fury Road becoming its main challenger in some categories, but also that The Big Short seems to have overtaken The Martian in some other categories. Those four, give or take Carol, are the main players for Sunday night, but surprises could very well be in store here. Globe voters are a peculiar bunch, and while you can sometimes guess what’s in store, oftentimes there’s at least one or two things you didn’t see coming. Potentially, we could see a huge split between the various players, only making things more confusing for pundits like myself. Regardless, it’s going to be an interesting ceremony to close out the weekend, that’s for sure. Sit tight until we see who wins, and check back on Monday for some analysis of what did go down…

Here now is my final set of Golden Globe predictions, in advance of Sunday’s awards ceremony:
Best Picture (Drama)
1. Spotlight
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Carol
4. The Revenant
5. Room
Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)
1. The Big Short
2. The Martian
3. Trainwreck
4. Joy
5. Spy
Best Actor (Drama)
1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
3. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
4. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
5. Will Smith – Concussion
Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)
1. Steve Carell – The Big Short
2. Matt Damon – The Martian
3. Christian Bale – The Big Short
4. Mark Ruffalo – Infinitely Polar Bear
5. Al Pacino – Danny Collins
Best Actress (Drama)
1. Brie Larson – Room
2. […]

Updated Golden Globe predictions

Believe it or not, the Golden Globe awards are coming, sooner than you think. Yes, it seems like just yesterday the nominations were announced, but now the actually ceremony is only a few weeks away (less than three weeks now, in fact). As such, it’s definitely time to update my predictions, reflecting for the first time the actual nominees. I’m not sure anything is obvious just yet with the Globes, though some potential frontrunners have definitely emerged. With the early date for the ceremony, we’ll possibly get to see new frontrunners put forward, or else the strongest contenders will just get stronger. Either way, it’ll most certainly contribute something to the awards season.
It seems like it’ll be Spotlight and The Martian emerging with big wins, though Mad Max: Fury Road and The Big Short could prove to be party poopers. My hunch is that both wind up with the Best Picture prizes here, with either Spotlight’s Tom McCarthy or The Martian’s Ridley Scott taking Best Director, though George Miller is a possible spoiler for Mad Max: Fury Road. Acting wise, things are less set in stone, though the Actor prizes potentially seem wrapped up for Leonardo DiCaprio in The Revenant and Matt Damon in The Martian. That being said, the former has competition from Bryan Cranston in Trumbo and the latter has from Steve Carell in The Big Short. Actress wise, I think Brie Larson in Room and Jennifer Lawrence in Joy seem like the safe bets, though neither is locked in. The same goes for Supporting Actor with Mark Rylance in Bridge of Spies and Supporting Actress with Jennifer Jason Leigh in The Hateful Eight, now that I mention it. Essentially, nothing is a sure thing right now, and that’s exciting!
Obviously, the Academy Awards correlation is fairly limited here since it’s a completely different group of voters. Also, ballots are due a few days before the Globes have their show, with the Oscar nominations being announced a couple of days later, so if anything, this functions more as a potential barometer for the ultimate winners, not the nominees. Speeches can be tried out and victories are tried on for size by members of the Academy. It’s not nearly as important as the guilds are to the process, but it’s not quite as easy to dismiss as something like the Critics Choice Awards, so there’s that.
Here now is my first […]

Nominations announced for the 73rd annual Golden Globe Awards

Well now, another domino in the 2015 awards season has fallen. A few minutes ago, the Golden Globe nominations were announced, getting us closer to the end of the line in the race for Academy Award nominations. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (or HFPA) aren’t a guild, but they function as a notable juncture in the season. The Globes this year will be chiming in on a slate of contenders without many frontrunners, so they may very well have a chance to impact the choices of Oscar voters. It may not end up mattering much to members of the Academy, but the folks from the HFPA never cease to give it a shot. This time around though, they have a more respectable slate to present than usual, which is a real plus.
My immediate takeaway here is that the list of nominees is pretty solid, though with some pretty big snubs, not unlike the Screen Actors Guild nominations yesterday. In the two Best Picture categories, we saw Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, Grandma, The Hateful Eight, and Steve Jobs miss out. Best Director is lacking Steven Spielberg or Quentin Tarantino, Johnny Depp wasn’t nominated for Black Mass in Best Actor (Drama), both Michael Keaton and Mark Ruffalo weren’t cited in Best Supporting Actor for Spotlight, and The Martian wasn’t mentioned in Best Screenplay, just to name a few. There were plenty of excellent citations as well, including Paul Dano for Love & Mercy and Sylvester Stallone for Creed in Best Supporting Actor, while many will rejoice at Mad Max: Fury Road getting not just a nod in Best Picture (Drama) but one for George Miller in Best Director as well. For those wondering how I did, in terms of predictions…if you include my alternate picks, I went 56 out of 70 (I didn’t do the TV side). Pretty solid numbers there, I must say.

Interestingly enough, Carol is what led the field on the film side, getting five nominations. Next in line was The Big Short, The Revenant, and Steve Jobs with four each, while The Danish Girl, The Hateful Eight, The Martian, Room, and Spotlight received three apiece. Mad Max: Fury Road received those two big citations, as did Joy, Spy, Trainwreck, Trumbo, and Youth (in terms of number, if not in how noteworthy the noms were), with Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, Creed, and Grandma among the titles settling for a […]

Final Golden Globe predictions

Believe it or not folks, tomorrow the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will announce their nominees for the Golden Globe awards. Bright and early we’ll know what the HFPA feels about cinema in 2015, and perhaps even a bit about what the Oscar nominations could wind up looking like. As such, I’m putting out my final predictions, ones that I’ll have to stick with for the rest of the day, even if, knowing me, I’ll immediately want to switch them up. That’s the nature of the beast though, and I’ve long since accepted it. The Globes aren’t the biggest precursor in relation to the Academy Awards, of course, but they’re hardly the smallest either. Keeping that in mind, below you’ll see my best guess for the Golden Globes, which will no doubt have a surprise or two in store for us.
This time out, it’s do or die, prediction wise. There’s no more category confusion and the earlier precursors have clued us in to which films might be the most lovingly received all season long. Here with the Globes, what you want to look out for is how well Spotlight does, if The Martian has as good a showing, and if the late breaking contenders like The Hateful Eight, Joy, and The Revenant manage to get more than token bits of love (one other thing is to watch for if Mad Max: Fury Road is shut out or not). I suspect that the HFPA will spread the attention around, though one of those above titles will likely lead the field. Watch out for Brooklyn and Carol though, as they could be surprises tomorrow morning. Sit tight…
Here you go ladies and gentlemen, my final look at how the Golden Globe awards could shape up in under 24 hours:
Best Picture (Drama)
1. Spotlight
2. The Hateful Eight
3. Brooklyn
4. The Revenant
5. Carol
If there’s a sixth: Mad Max: Fury Road
If there’s a seventh: Room
Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)
1. The Martian
2. The Big Short
3. Joy
4. Trainwreck
5. Grandma
If there’s a sixth: Spy
If there’s a seventh: I’ll See You in My Dreams
Best Actor (Drama)
1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
3. Johnny Depp – Black Mass
4. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
5. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
If there’s a sixth: Will Smith – Concussion
If there’s a seventh: Jake Gyllenhaal – Southpaw
Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)
1. Matt Damon – The Martian
2. Steve Carell – The Big Short
3. Bill Hader – […]

A second crack at Golden Globe predictions

Here in the heart of the month of November, I think it’s high time to take my second crack at some Golden Globe predictions. As previously mentioned last month, I’ll be mixing these in with Oscar predictions somewhat consistently going forward, but early Globe picks are always really interesting to me, especially since sometimes you’re still guessing category placement (which is slowly being reported in the trades this week) and just what the tastes of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will look like at the current time. They’re almost impossible to accurately guess off the bat the first couple of times around, but that little factoid has yet to stop me from trying all the same. Here goes nothing once again!
What you’ll notice below this time around with the predictions is that we have some noticeable changes as well as some films/contenders that are settling in for a long awards run. Category swaps have come and affected Joy, Love & Mercy, and Trumbo, for example (not to mention confirmation of where The Martian is competing), but we still have the major players in Spotlight and such to look at. My hunch right now is that Spotlight is still able to do very well with the HFPA in advance of Oscar, with The Martian not far behind. This would set up the narrative that the two of those are going head to head for the big Academy Award statues. That can certainly change, especially if one of The Hateful Eight, Joy, or The Revenant really blows voters away, but there’s no reason not back that pair right now. As a bonus, I’m including a seventh potential slot in predictions for now, just to open the race up a bit. I may or may not keep it going forward (if so, it’ll likely only be as we get closer to nominations, not initially), but it’s there at the current moment, as you’ll see below…
Here you go ladies and gentlemen, my latest look at how the Golden Globe awards could shape up:
Best Picture (Drama)
1. Spotlight
2. The Revenant
3. Brooklyn
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Room
If there’s a sixth: The Danish Girl
If there’s a seventh: Bridge of Spies
Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)
1. The Martian
2. Joy
3. The Big Short
4. Trainwreck
5. Grandma
If there’s a sixth: Our Brand is Crisis
If there’s a seventh: Spy
Best Actor (Drama)
1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
3. Eddie Redmayne – The […]

A first crack at Golden Globe predictions

Now that we’re well into the fall months and about to enter the tail end of the 2015 movie release season, I wanted to take my first crack at some Golden Globe predictions. I’ll be mixing these in with Oscar predictions going forward, but early Globe picks are always interesting to me, especially since sometimes you’re still guessing category placement and just what the tastes of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will look like at the time. They’re almost impossible to accurately guess off the bat the first time around, but that little factoid has yet to stop me from trying all the same. Here goes nothing!
What you’ll notice below is that things more or less reflect how I see the Academy Awards going, but with some slight changes. Obviously, the Comedy or Musical categories open things up to some other contenders, though we won’t know for a bit still how certain contenders will decide to compete. We know that Joy is likely to go Drama, but The Big Short and The Martian, for example, are two that could go the Comedy route. I have pretty much the same winners here as with Oscar, with the exception of Ridley Scott winning Best Director, on the potential strength of The Martian going Comedy and winning Best Picture in that area and getting Matt Damon that Best Actor win as well. The Drama category at the Globes still is where the Best Picture winner for Oscar likely will come from, with Spotlight and Steve Jobs facing off for now, though The Revenant is an X factor spoiler here. We’ll have more HFPA analysis coming soon, but these predictions should suffice for now…
Here you go folks, my initial look at how the Golden Globe awards could shape up:
Best Picture (Drama)
1. Spotlight
2. The Revenant
3. Steve Jobs
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Joy
If there’s a sixth: Brooklyn
Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)
1. The Martian
2. Trainwreck
3. The Big Short
4. Love & Mercy
5. Our Brand is Crisis
If there’s a sixth: Grandma
Best Actor (Drama)
1. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
2. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
3. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
4. Johnny Depp – Black Mass
5. Jake Gyllenhaal – Southpaw
If there’s a sixth: Tom Hanks – Bridge of Spies
Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)
1. Matt Damon – The Martian
2. Paul Dano – Love & Mercy
3. Bill Murray – Rock the Kasbah
4. John Cusack – Love & Mercy
5. Bill Hader – Trainwreck
If there’s a […]

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) and dick clark productions (dcp) will present the 73rd Annual Golden Globe Awards on Sunday, January 10, 2016.

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) and dick clark productions (dcp) will present the 73rd Annual Golden Globe Awards on Sunday, January 10, 2016. The ceremony will air on NBC LIVE coast-to-coast from 5-8 p.m (PT) and 8-11 p.m. (ET) from the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills. Produced by dick clark productions in association with the HFPA, the Golden Globe Awards are viewed in more than 160 countries worldwide and are one of the few awards ceremonies to include both motion picture and television achievements.
“We look forward to follow this year’s successful Golden Globe Awards by celebrating what looks like another exceptional year in both film and television” said Theo Kingma, president of the HFPA.
The 2015 “Golden Globe Awards” on NBC averaged a 5.8 rating, 16 share in adults 18-49 and 19.3 million viewers overall in “live plus same day” ratings from Nielsen Media Research on Sunday night, Jan. 11, making it the top-rated primetime entertainment program on the Big 4 networks in 18-49 since ABC’s Academy Awards the prior March. It was also NBC’s highest rated primetime entertainment telecast in 18-49 and total viewers in the year since the 2014 Golden Globes. Versus NBC’s non-sports average in the Sunday 8-11 p.m. time period the prior season, this year’s “Globes” telecast was up 314% in 18-49 rating (5.8 vs. 1.4) and +269% in total viewers (19.3 million vs. 5.2 million).
About the Hollywood Foreign Press Association:
Founded in the 1940s during World War II, the HFPA was originally comprised of a handful of LA based overseas journalists who sought to bridge the international community with Hollywood, and to provide distraction from the hardships of war through film. Seventy years later, members of the HFPA represent 55 countries with a combined readership of 250 million in some of the world’s most respected publications. Each year, the organization holds the third most watched awards show on television, the Golden Globe® Awards, which have enabled the organization to donate more than $20 million to entertainment related charities and scholarship programs. For more information, please visit www.hfpa.org and www.goldenglobes.com and follow us on Twitter (@goldenglobes) and Facebook (www.facebook.com/goldenglobes).
About dick clark productions:
dick clark productions (dcp) is the world’s largest producer and proprietor of televised live event entertainment programming with the “Academy of Country Music Awards,” “American Country Countdown Awards,” “American Music Awards,” “Billboard Music Awards,” “Dick Clark’s New Year’s Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest,” “Golden Globe Awards” […]

“Boyhood” emerges victorious at the Globes

Last night, perhaps the second biggest event of the awards season went down, as the Hollywood Foreign Press Association bestowed their Golden Globes on some lucky films and performances. The Globe Awards don’t have any true significance in terms of the Academy Awards (due in part to a completely different membership, save for one member), but they do work as a sort of test run for Oscar. As such, all eyes are on the choices that the HFPA made, and go figure…their film choices were far more unique than usual. While they mostly went for frontrunners, they did so by selecting small independent titles as opposed to the bigger movies they tend to favor.
The big news of course was Boyhood leading the way with three Globe wins, including the big one of Best Picture (Drama). Richard Linklater also took home Best Director, while Patricia Arquette was victorious in Best Supporting Actress. The film came up short in one expected category, as Ethan Hawke fell to J.K. Simmons (for Whiplash) in Best Supporting Actor, as well as in one hotly contested place…Best Screenplay. There they went Birdman, which also saw Michael Keaton take home Best Actor (Musical or Comedy), though that film was upset in Best Picture (Musical or Comedy) by Wes Anderson’s The Grand Budapest Hotel. I doubt that means anything of note for Alejandro González Iñárritu’s film, but perception obviously puts Boyhood and The Grand Budapest Hotel in front, at least in terms of momentum.
Elsewhere, Best Actor in a Drama went to Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything, Best Actress in a Drama went to Julianne Moore for Still Alice, and Best Actress in a Musical or Comedy went to Amy Adams for Big Eyes, an upset that yours truly actually called. In slightly surprises, Best Animated Feature Film went to How to Train Your Dragon 2 over The Lego Movie, while Leviathan took home Best Foreign Language Film over Ida. Less surprisingly, the tune Glory from Selma was the winner in Best Original Song, along with The Theory of Everything taking home Best Original Score.
As you can see, it was mostly a night of going small, with the bigger budget contenders shut out. Nothing for Gone Girl. Nothing for Interstellar. Nothing for Into the Woods. The HFPA normally goes for big stars whenever possible, so their votes seemingly based this year on quality were a bit novel, […]

Final Golden Globe Awards Predictions

This weekend, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will announce the winners of their Golden Globe Awards in a big televised event. As you’ve all seen over much of the past year, I’ve been attempting to nail down what the group (HFPA for short) will do on Sunday. Frankly, the nature of the films in competition have me not certain at all what’s going to happen. Still, this is the last chance to get Globe predictions on the record, so I’ve settled on my picks and have them for you below. First, I’ll explain myself, but I’ll keep it short, since you’re here for the good stuff, I know.
Certain categories seem pretty obvious to me, like the Supporting categories. J.K. Simmons seems very likely to win Best Supporting Actor for Whiplash, while Patricia Arquette is the clear favorite in Best Supporting Actress for Boyhood. Similarly, I feel good about The Lego Movie winning Best Animated Feature and Ida winning Best Foreign Language Feature. After that, however…it gets dicey. Sure, Michael Keaton seems set to win Best Actor in a Musical/Comedy for Birdman, while the film itself should take home Best Picture (Musical/Comedy), but I could see upsets occurring. Best Actress in that same Musical/Comedy field is wide open, with Amy Adams, Emily Blunt, and Julianne Moore close together. I have Adams winning for Big Eyes, but Blunt could easily win too for Into the Woods, with Moore’s work in Maps to the Stars a potential spoiler. Best Director and Best Screenplay are both super hard to predict too, with each contender a possibility (Screenplay has my only true upset pick of the night, with Gone Girl winning that category).
Then we have the drama categories. Best Picture (Drama) and Best Actor (Drama) are as tight as can be. I’m leaning towards Boyhood to continue its run to Oscar with some big wins here, but any of the Picture nominees could win, while actor will potentially show us who the prime competition to Keaton at the Academy Awards might be. My hunch is that Picture is between Boyhood and The Imitation Game, but it’s just that…a hunch. Anything can happen this weekend with the Globes. The HFPA have some tough choices to make.
Here now are my final Golden Globe predictions:
Best Picture (Drama)
1. Boyhood
2. The Imitation Game
3. Selma
4. The Theory of Everything
5. Foxcatcher
Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)
1. Birdman or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. […]

Golden Globe post nomination predictions for December

As we move from Phase One to Phase Two of the awards season, things begin to take a new turn. Now, it’s not only predicting who and what is going to be nominated, but also now a focus on potential winners comes into play. In a few categories, the winner has more or less been clear as day, but in the majority of them it’s an open race still. As such, I’m going to take a shot today at attempting to predict the Golden Globe awards. The members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association made their nomination picks recently, so now I get to sort through them and try to figure out how the Globes will turn out…
Before I show you the predictions, I’ll quickly give you my train of thought. Essentially, I tried to split things between Birdman and Boyhood, since I’m not sure how the voters are going to deal with The Imitation Game, Into the Woods, and The Theory of Everything. I don’t think all three will get shut out of wins, but at least one likely will. There are a few safe bets here, with the Globes likely to cite Patricia Arquette in Best Supporting Actress for one of Boyhood’s wins, Julianne Moore in Best Actress (Drama) for Still Alice, and J.K. Simmons in Best Supporting Actor for Whiplash. Those are close to locks. The other categories, give or take Best Animated Feature for The Lego Movie, are certainly up for grabs. As such, for now I’m looking to Birdman to do very well in the Comedy/Musical fields while Boyhood leads the charge in Drama. A lot remains to be seen though, so sit tight. The race is far from over at this still early juncture. Technically it’s not even Phase Two yet! We have a long way to go.
Alright, enough talk. Time for the good stuff, right? Here now is how I currently see the Golden Globe awards going down:
Best Picture (Drama)
1. Boyhood
2. The Theory of Everything
3. The Imitation Game
4. Selma
5. Foxcatcher
Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)
1. Birdman or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. The Grand Budapest Hotel
3. Into the Woods
4. St. Vincent
5. Pride
Best Actor (Drama)
1. Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything
2. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game
3. David Oyelowo – Selma
4. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
5. Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler
Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)
1. Michael Keaton – Birdman or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Bill […]

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