Bookies like “A Dangerous Method” to win Venice’s Golden Lion – AWARDS ALLEY

By Sean O’Connell Film festivals aren’t sporting events. You can’t bet on Telluride the way you can bet on the Super Bowl or the NBA Championships. But that doesn’t stop bookies from placing odds on films they think are “favorites” to emerge victorious from celebrated festivals, and as Venice prepares to launch, the oddsmakers like David Cronenberg’s “A Dangerous Method.”

Venice officially kicks off its 68tht annual event today with an Opening Night screening of George Clooney’s “The Ides of March.” But the Guardian reports that bookies at Paddy Power in London have named Cronenberg’s film a 5/1 fave to claim the Golden Lion. His period piece stars Keira Knightley, Michael Fassbender and Viggo Mortensen in a sexually charged study in psychoanalysis.

“Ides” and Tomas Alfredson’s “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy” and both 6/1 faves, while Steve McQueen’s “Shame” (also with Fassbender) has 7/1 odds.

The longest longshot, according to the books, is “Chicken With Plums,” which has a 33/1 shot at winning the Gold Lion.

Looking ahead to the Oscars, the books in London like Steven Spielberg’s “War Horse” (sight unseen), giving it 5/2 odds of claiming the Best Picture trophy.

Let the games begin!

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