“Birdman” by Alejandro González Iñárritu: A July Oscar Predictions Update

birdman michael keaton 600x375

Now that we’re into July and the second half of 2014, it’s high time that I’m coming to you again with some new and even more up to date Oscar predictions. Hopefully they’ll represent a bit of a change from speculation to educated guesswork now that awards season is not too far away. We still have a very long way to go in the season overall and these new predictions will likely be wrong more than right anyway, but with each passing update I’m getting more and more confident in backing particular horses as opposed to previous ones I’ve mentioned. If that sounds a bit repetitive, well…that’s still kind of the nature of the beast right now. If nothing else, this continues to sort of show where I’m coming from as the months pass and the race begins to change and evolve into something truly competitive and quantifiable, especially when precursor season kicks into gear later on in 2014.

Continuing the trend I’ve had all year, you can see that films like Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken, Bennett Miller’s Foxcatcher, and Christopher Nolan’s Interstellar are the ones that I have pegged to be the biggest winners at this year’s ceremony, though it’s now joined by Alejandro González Iñárritu’s Birdman as well. Overall, my predictions still begin with Foxcatcher dominating at this early point in the season, though Unbroken still should do decently well too, at least in terms of nominations. Birdman is one of the year’s potential X factors though, so I wanted to make sure it got a bit of an extra mention here. A lot can and will still change, but if you’re looking for an early horse to bet on, it’s really either Foxcatcher or Unbroken right now in my mind, though evolutions are coming. There are some small changes elsewhere in most categories, but in the grand scheme of things, it’s still about those two contenders here for me.

I could go on about the more substantial changes that I’ve made (there’s again a noticeable change in a number of big categories) this time around, but I know at this point you mostly just want to see actual predictions, so here now is how I see the Academy Awards shaping up to look like at this midway juncture in the year:

BEST PICTURE

1. Foxcatcher
2. Unbroken
3. Men, Women, & Children
4. Gone Girl
5. Birdman
6. Rosewater
7. Big Eyes
8. Interstellar
9. Fury
10. Inherent Vice

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher
2. Angelina Jolie – Unbroken
3. David Fincher – Gone Girl
4. Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman
5. Jason Reitman – Men, Women, & Children

BEST ACTOR

1. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
2. Joaquin Phoenix – Inherent Vice
3. Michael Keaton – Birdman
4. Ben Affleck – Gone Girl
5. Channing Tatum – Foxcatcher

BEST ACTRESS

1. Amy Adams – Big Eyes
2. Jessica Chastain – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
3. Michelle Williams – Suite française
4. Reese Witherspoon – Wild
5. Kristen Stewart – Camp X-Ray

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
2. J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
3. Christoph Waltz – Big Eyes
4. Edward Norton – Birdman
5. Logan Lerman – Fury

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
2. Jena Malone – Inherent Vice
3. Julianne Moore – Maps to the Stars
4. Rosemarie DeWitt – Men, Women, & Children
5. Patricia Arquette – Boyhood

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Foxcatcher
2. Birdman
3. Mr. Turner
4. A Most Violent Year
5. Boyhood

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Unbroken
2. Inherent Vice
3. Rosewater
4. Men, Women, & Children
5. Gone Girl

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Lego Movie
2. How to Train Your Dragon 2
3. The Boxtrolls
4. Big Hero 6
5. Rio 2

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Unbroken
2. Into the Woods
3. The Grand Budapest Hotel
4. Interstellar
5. Big Eyes

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Unbroken
2. Interstellar
3. Foxcatcher
4. Gone Girl
5. Birdman

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Into the Woods
2. Exodus: Gods and Kings
3. Maleficent
4. Unbroken
5. MacBeth

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Foxcatcher
2. Unbroken
3. Gone Girl
4. Interstellar
5. Birdman

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Foxcatcher
2. Into the Woods
3. Maleficent

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Interstellar
2. Godzilla
3. Into the Woods
4. Transformers: Age of Extinction
5. Guardians of the Galaxy

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Interstellar
2. Godzilla
3. Into the Woods
4. Exodus: Gods and Kings
5. Fury

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Interstellar
2. Godzilla
3. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
4. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
5. Noah

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Unbroken
2. Interstellar
3. Big Eyes
4. Foxcatcher
5. Birdman

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Into the Woods
2. The Lego Movie
3. Begin Again
4. Muppets Most Wanted
5. Joe

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Life Itself
2. Ivory Tower
3. The Unknown Known
4. Finding Vivian Maier
5. Alive Inside

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Winter Sleep
2. Blue is the Warmest Color
3. The Assassin
4. Leviathan
5. The Raid 2: Berendal

Next month I’ll have more brand new predictions up, so stay tuned as usual for those!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

Follow us

Breaking Hollywood News   


UPDATES BY EMAIL

Comments are closed.