A second stab at Golden Globe predictions

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I was originally planning on waiting to take another look at the Golden Globe awards and my predictions for that precursor until the summer was over, but with the festival announcements in full swing, it seems like a nice time to approach these again. Next week brings new Oscar predictions on my part (also informed by the New York and Toronto Film Festival announcements), so this is a good way to bide our time until then. There’s certainly a bit of a separation between the two, so it’s a far cry from the same sort of predictions, as you’ve probably already gathered by now. The Globes and the Oscars are very different animals, to say the least. You can argue about the actual impact that the former has on the latter, but at the very bare minimum, it influences perception, so it must be reckoned with to some degree.

Once again, the big difference you’ll see here between the Academy and the Hollywood Foreign Press Association is that they sometimes tend to go for the bigger names or the bigger productions. As such, I’ve got Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken and David Fincher’s Gone Girl ahead of Bennett Miller’s Foxcatcher here, even though I won’t have the same sort of lineup when you see my Oscar predictions at the start of August (stay tuned for that, obviously). You also potentially lose certain indie players, as you’ll see evidenced by much smaller nomination totals (or even shutouts) for Richard Linklater’s Boyhood, just as one example, though others could be movies like J.C. Chandor’s A Most Violent Year. On the flip side though, the inclusion of comedies and musicals allows longer shot work like John Carney’s Begin Again, Clint Eastwood’s Jersey Boys, Rob Marshall’s Into the Woods, and maybe even Woody Allen’s Magic in the Moonlight or Zach Braff’s Wish I Was Here to have a shot at not just contention for nods, but actual noms, as well as wins. Nominations that would have been wishful thinking with the Academy and AMPAS are very much in play with the categories that the HFPA deals in. That’s just the nature of the beast here folks.

Here now though, without any further delay on my part, are a brand spanking new set of Golden Globe predictions:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. Unbroken
2. Gone Girl
3. Foxcatcher
4. Interstellar
5. Rosewater

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. Inherent Vice
2. Into the Woods
3. Men, Women, & Children
4. Birdman or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
5. Begin Again

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
2. Timothy Spall – Mr. Turner
3. Gael Garcia Bernal – Rosewater
4. Ben Affleck – Gone Girl
5. Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Joaquin Phoenix – Inherent Vice
2. Michael Keaton – Birdman or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Mark Ruffalo – Begin Again
4. John Lloyd Young – Jersey Boys
5. Adam Sandler – Men, Women, & Children

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Amy Adams – Big Eyes
2. Reese Witherspoon – Wild
3. Michelle Williams – Suite française
4. Jessica Chastain – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
5. Shailene Woodley – The Fault in Our Stars

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Keira Knightley – Begin Again
2. Meryl Streep – Into the Woods
3. Rosemarie DeWitt – Men, Women, & Children
4. Emily Blunt – Into the Woods
5. Emma Stone – Magic in the Moonlight

Best Supporting Actor

1. Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
2. Christoph Waltz – Big Eyes
3. J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
4. Edward Norton – Birdman or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
5. Johnny Depp – Into the Woods

Best Supporting Actress

1. Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
2. Naomi Watts – Birdman or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
4. Jennifer Garner – Men, Women, & Children
5. Anna Kendrick – Into the Woods

Best Director

1. David Fincher – Gone Girl
2. Angelina Jolie – Unbroken
3. Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher
4. Paul Thomas Anderson – Inherent Vice
5. Christopher Nolan – Interstellar

Best Screenplay

1. Unbroken
2. Foxcatcher
3. Gone Girl
4. Rosewater
5. Birdman or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance

Best Animated Feature

1. The Lego Movie
2. How to Train Your Dragon 2
3. The Boxtrolls
4. Book of Life
5. Rio 2

Best Original Score

1. Unbroken
2. Interstellar
3. Gone Girl
4. Big Eyes
5. Foxcatcher

Best Original Song

1. Begin Again
2. The Lego Movie
3. Muppets Most Wanted
4. Rio 2
5. Wish I Was Here

Best Foreign Film

1. Winter Sleep
2. The Assassin
3. Leviathan
4. Borgman
5. The Raid 2

Stay tuned for more Oscar predictions next week (once the calendar turns to August) and another Golden Globe predictions update later on next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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