A January Oscar Predictions Update

80th Annual Academy Awards - "Parade of the Oscars"
Can you believe that Oscar nominations are less than two weeks away? Yes, on January 15th the first phase of the awards season ends with the Academy Award nominations. Wow. Time flies once the precursors start. As such, this is the second to last set of Oscar predictions that I’ll be sharing with you before the announcement. So, I better figure this all out in a hurry! The Academy has sent out ballots, members are getting ready to finalize their choices, and precursors are going on all around them. It’s truly the busy season, with all the contenders in release and no excuses left to be made. Time to put up or shut up for the Oscar hopefuls, while voters hopefully do their due diligence with all of the potential players.

Earlier today the ACE Eddie announcement was made, which could give some insight into both the Best Picture and Best Film Editing races, while as we all know, this is another year where Oscar will have to vote without the help of the Directors Guild of America nominations. That lack of DGA info led to some big snubs the last time out in Best Director (Ben Affleck notably missing for Argo when he might otherwise have walked to a victory, along with the likes of Kathryn Bigelow for Zero Dark Thirty, Tom Hooper for Les Miserables, and Quentin Tarantino for Django Unchained), so it’s worth considering if the Director lineup will skew away from some of the bigger names in favor of this year’s versions of Michael Haneke (who was nominated for Amour) and Benh Zeitlin (nominated for Beasts of the Southern Wild). That could favor someone like Damien Chazelle for Whiplash, but we’ll see.

Worth noting quickly is the recent rise of American Sniper to some degree, which could see a surprise nomination or two on the big morning. Currently suffering a bit is Foxcatcher (due to some unforeseen controversy, though I’m not sure if it’ll do much) and Interstellar, which didn’t get an Editing citation from the Eddie announcement today. They’re not out of it yet, but the road might be harder, so consider that. There’s still plenty of unanswered questions, that’s for sure.

Enough talk. Here you go…my up to date Academy Award predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Selma
4. The Imitation Game
5. The Grand Budapest Hotel
6. The Theory of Everything
7. Whiplash
8. Gone Girl
9. Interstellar
10. American Sniper

Next in line: 11. Foxcatcher 12. Nightcrawler 13. Into the Woods 14. Unbroken 15. A Most Violent Year 16. Wild 17. Mr. Turner 18. Inherent Vice 19. Still Alice 20. Rosewater

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Richard Linklater – Boyhood
2. Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Ava DuVernay – Selma
4. David Fincher – Gone Girl
5. Damien Chazelle – Whiplash

Next in line: 6. Morten Tyldum – The Imitation Game 7. Wes Anderson – The Grand Budapest Hotel 8. Clint Eastwood – American Sniper 9. Christopher Nolan – Interstellar 10. J.C. Chandor – A Most Violent Year

BEST ACTOR

1. Michael Keaton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything
3. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game
4. David Oyelowo – Selma
5. Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler

Next in line: 6. Steve Carell – Foxcatcher 7. Bradley Cooper – American Sniper 8. Ralph Fiennes – The Grand Budapest Hotel 9. Oscar Isaac – A Most Violent Year 10. Joaquin Phoenix – Inherent Vice

BEST ACTRESS

1. Julianne Moore – Still Alice
2. Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything
3. Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl
4. Reese Witherspoon – Wild
5. Jennifer Aniston – Cake

Next in line: 6. Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night 7. Amy Adams – Big Eyes 8. Shailene Woodley – The Fault in Our Stars 9. Jessica Chastain – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby 10. Emily Blunt – Into the Woods

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
2. Edward Norton – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Ethan Hawke – Boyhood
4. Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
5. Robert Duvall – The Judge

Next in line: 6. Tom Wilkinson – Selma 7. Josh Brolin – Inherent Vice 8. Christoph Waltz – Big Eyes 9. Miyavi – Unbroken 10. John Goodman – The Gambler

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
2. Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game
3. Emma Stone – Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
4. Jessica Chastain – A Most Violent Year
5. Meryl Streep – Into the Woods

Next in line: 6. Laura Dern – Wild 7. Rene Russo – Nightcrawler 8. Carrie Coon – Gone Girl 9. Kristen Stewart – Still Alice 10. Carmen Ejogo – Selma

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. The Grand Budapest Hotel
4. Whiplash
5. Mr. Turner

Next in line: 6. Selma 7. Foxcatcher 8. A Most Violent Year 9. Interstellar 10. Big Eyes

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Gone Girl
2. The Imitation Game
3. The Theory of Everything
4. American Sniper
5. Wild

Next in line: 6. Inherent Vice 7. Unbroken 8. The Fault in Our Stars 9. Rosewater 10. Into the Woods

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Lego Movie
2. Big Hero 6
3. How to Train Your Dragon 2
4. The Boxtrolls
5. The Tale of Princess Kaguya

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Into the Woods
2. The Grand Budapest Hotel
3. Interstellar
4. Mr. Turner
5. Big Eyes

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
2. Interstellar
3. Unbroken
4. Selma
5. Gone Girl

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Into the Woods
2. Exodus: Gods and Kings
3. Fury
4. Mr. Turner
5. Noah

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Boyhood
2. Birdman or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance
3. Gone Girl
4. The Grand Budapest Hotel
5. The Imitation Game

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Foxcatcher
2. The Theory of Everything
3. Guardians of the Galaxy

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Interstellar
2. Into the Woods
3. Godzilla
4. Fury
5. Transformers: Age of Extinction

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Interstellar
2. Into the Woods
3. American Sniper
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. Fury

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Interstellar
2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
3. Guardians of the Galaxy
4. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
5. Godzilla

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Interstellar
2. The Imitation Game
3. Gone Girl
4. The Theory of Everything
5. Under the Skin

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Lost Stars – Begin Again
2. Split the Difference – Boyhood
3. Glory – Selma
4. Mercy Me – Noah
5. Everything Is Awesome – The Lego Movie

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Citizenfour
2. Life Itself
3. Tales of the Grim Sleeper
4. Last Days in Vietnam
5. Jodorowsky’s Dune

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Ida
2. Force Majeure
3. Wild Tales
4. Leviathan
5. Timbuktu

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Feast
2. The Dam Keeper
3. Symphony No. 42
4. Footprints
5. Duets

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. One Child
2. The Reaper
3. Joanna
4. White Earth
5. Our Curse

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. The Phone Call
2. My Father’s Truck
3. Carry On
4. Baghdad Messi
5. Summer Vacation

Stay tuned for one more update to these predictions before the big announcement later on this month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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