Oscar predictions: A bonus June update

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Yes folks, I’m diving back into bi-monthly Oscar predictions! At the very least, I wanted to sort of wrap up the first half of the year with a slightly different set of predictions. The Academy Awards are still a ways off in the distance, but without question we have things changing the potential contenders here and there. For example, the impetus of this extra update is to see where Pixar’s Inside Out could fit into things. I’m sticking with a big push for Ridley Scott’s The Martian, just like last time, but I wanted to take into account what the animated flick could do. Also, I wanted to fill out the technical categories a bit more, which includes some films that we haven’t talked much about. Obviously, things are still in their infancy, but I felt this was justified. Plus, who doesn’t love an update to Oscar predictions?

I don’t have a ton of updates here, but the main thing to notice is where Pete Doctor’s Inside Out fits with the race right now. The question is obviously if it can crack the Best Picture lineup, since Best Animated Feature is basically a lock. There’s also Best Original Screenplay, Best Original Score, and a few potential techs to take into consideration. You’ll see below where I opted to slot it in, but the possible first animated movie to score in the big category since the rules were changed is a storyline worth following. I know I’ll have a close eye on that all season long!

Here now is an up to the minute look at how I see the Academy Award nominations turning out at the end of the season:

BEST PICTURE

1. The Martian
2. Bridge of Spies
3. Our Brand is Crisis (possible 2016 release)
4. The Light Between Oceans
5. Carol
6. The Revenant
7. Brooklyn
8. Steve Jobs
9. The Hateful Eight
10. Inside Out

Next in line: 11. Joy 12. Ricki and the Flash 13. The End of the Tour 14. Lion 15. MacBeth 16. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 17. By the Sea 18. Demolition 19. Freehold 20. The Walk 21. The Danish Girl 22. Trainwreck 23. Southpaw 24. In the Heart of the Sea 25. Black Mass 26. Sicario 27. Mad Max: Fury Road 28. Ex Machina 29. Suffragette 30. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Ridley Scott – The Martian
2. Steven Spielberg – Bridge of Spies
3. David Gordon Green – Our Brand is Crisis (possible 2016 release)
4. Todd Haynes – Carol
5. Derek Cianfrance – The Light Between Oceans

Next in line: 6. David O. Russell – Joy 7. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant 8. Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight 9. John Crowley – Brooklyn 10. Danny Boyle – Steve Jobs 11. Jonathan Demme – Ricki and the Flash 12. Robert Zemeckis – The Walk 13. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road 14. Ron Howard – In the Heart of the Sea 15. James Ponsoldt – The End of the Tour

BEST ACTOR

1. Jake Gyllenhaal – Demolition or Everest or Southpaw
2. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs or The Light Between Oceans or MacBeth
3. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
4. Matt Damon – The Martian
5. Jason Segel – The End of the Tour (Could go Supporting)

Next in line: 6. Johnny Depp – Black Mass 7. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl 8. Tom Hanks – Bridge of Spies 9. Joseph Gordon-Levitt – Snowden or The Walk 10. Paul Dano – Love & Mercy (Could go Supporting) 11. Ian McKellen – Mr. Holmes 12. Ben Foster – Icon 13. Miles Teller – Bleed for This 14. Jesse Eisenberg – The End of the Tour (Could go Supporting) 15. John Cusack – Love & Mercy (Could go Supporting)

BEST ACTRESS

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
2. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
3. Cate Blanchett – Carol (Could go Supporting)
4. Meryl Streep – Ricki and the Flash
5. Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis (possible 2016 release)

Next in line: 6. Lilly Tomlin – Grandma 7. Marion Cotillard – MacBeth 8. Alicia Vikander – The Light Between Oceans 9. Julianne Moore – Freehold (Could go Supporting) 10. Angelina Jolie – By the Sea 11. Emily Blunt – Sicario 12. Brie Larson – Room 13. Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road (Could go Supporting) 14. Juliette Binoche – Clouds of Sils Maria 15. Rooney Mara – Carol (Currently predicting in Supporting)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Bruce Dern – The Hateful Eight
2. Tom Hardy – The Revenant
3. Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs
4. Bradley Cooper – Joy
5. Kevin Kline – Ricki and the Flash

Next in line: 6. Kurt Russell – The Hateful Eight 7. Edgar Ramirez – Joy 8. Alan Alda – Bridge of Spies 9. Billy Bob Thornton – Our Brand is Crisis (possible 2016 release) 10. Samuel L. Jackson – The Hateful Eight 11. John Cusack – Love & Mercy (Could go Lead) 12. Kyle Chandler – Carol 13. George Clooney – Money Monster 14. Forest Whitaker – Southpaw 15. Emory Cohen – Brooklyn

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Rooney Mara – Carol (Could go Lead)
2. Ellen Page – Freeheld (Could go Lead)
3. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
4. Jessica Chastain – The Martian
5. Zoe Kazan – Our Brand is Crisis (possible 2016 release)

Next in line: 6. Kristen Stewart – Clouds of Sils Maria 7. Naomi Watts – Demolition 8. Katherine Waterston – Steve Jobs 9. Rachel Weisz – The Light Between Oceans 10. Sarah Paulson – Carol 11. Amy Ryan – Bridge of Spies 12. Shailene Woodley – Snowden 13. Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road (Could go Lead) 14. Olivia Cooke – Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 15. Rachel McAdams – Southpaw

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Our Brand is Crisis (possible 2016 release)
2. Bridge of Spies
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Inside Out
5. Trainwreck

Next in line: 6. Ricki and the Flash 7. Joy 8. Demolition 9. Irrational Man 10. Southpaw 11. Grandma 12. Love & Mercy 13. Sleeping with Other People 14. Suffragette 15. By the Sea

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Martian
2. Brooklyn
3. Steve Jobs
4. The Light Between Oceans
5. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl

Next in line: 6. Carol 7. The End of the Tour 8. The Revenant 9. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 10. Genius 11. Snowden 12. Black Mass 13. Concussion 14. Mad Max: Fury Road 15. Paper Towns

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. The Good Dinosaur
3. Minions
4. The Peanuts Movie
5. Monster Trucks

Next in line: 6. Home 7. Underdogs 8. The Boy and the World 9. Hotel Transylvania 2 10. Strange Magic

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The Martian
4. Carol
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Spectre
2. The Revenant
3. The Martian
4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Carol
4. The Martian
5. The Light Between Oceans

BEST FILM EDITING

1. The Martian
2. Bridge of Spies
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Our Brand is Crisis (possible 2016 release)
5. The Light Between Oceans

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Hateful Eight
3. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Spectre
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. The Martian
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Jurassic World

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Spectre
5. Avengers: Age of Ultron

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Jurassic World
4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
5. Ant-Man

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Spectre
2. Bridge of Spies
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. The Martian
5. The Light Between Oceans

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Pitch Perfect 2
2. Fifty Shades of Grey
3. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part II
4. Southpaw
5. ?

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Cartel Land
2. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
3. The Look of Silence
4. Seymour: An Introduction
5. The Hunting Ground

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. Deephan
3. The Look of Silence
4. A Pigeon Sat On A Branch Reflecting on Existence
5. The Tribe

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

? (Still to come)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

? (Still to come)

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

? (Still to come)

Stay tuned for the true update to these still very early predictions next month folks!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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