Hollywood Contenders – “Steve Jobs”: Oscar predictions for November

steve jobs Fassbender
Maybe I was just distracted by watching the New York Mets in the playoffs this fall, but I think the time is flying folks. It’s already November, which is getting to be late in the game. A couple of precursors have already announced their nominees, we only really have four unseen major contenders left (The Big Short, The Hateful Eight, Joy, and The Revenant), and some presumed frontrunners in a couple of categories have emerged. At the same time though, we’re almost done with the year and no category is locked up yet (yes, not even Best Animated Feature…the closest one would be Best Foreign Language Feature). Simply put, it’s an exciting time and a perfect moment to update my Academy Award predictions yet again.

The big thing people have been debating (besides if The Martian can actually win in the big categories, but I’ll be tackling that in an article early next week) is how much Steve Jobs is hurt by the lack of a strong box office. Some think it’s barely been affected, some think it’s dead in the water. Me? I think the truth is somewhere in between. I’m of the opinion that wins might be a struggle now without the public interest that was expected, and even a few down the line nominations might be tougher to get, but the majority of its campaign should remain the same. Voters don’t consider box office like analysts do, so this is more perception than actual reality. Steve Jobs was hurt by bombing financially, but it’s still very much in the race. It’s certainly something to keep in mind though, moving forward…

Here now is how I see the Oscar nominations, as of the beginning of November:

BEST PICTURE

1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. Room
4. The Revenant
5. Joy
6. The Hateful Eight
7. Steve Jobs
8. Brooklyn
9. The Big Short
10. Carol

Next in line: 11. The Danish Girl 12. Bridge of Spies 13. Inside Out 14. Son of Saul 15. Sicario 16. In the Heart of the Sea 17. Concussion 18. Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release) 19. Beasts of No Nation 20. Macbeth 21. Mad Max: Fury Road 22. Black Mass 23. 45 Years 24. 45 By the Sea 25. Suffragette 26. Truth 27. Straight Outta Compton 28. Our Brand is Crisis 29. Anomalisa 30. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
2. Ridley Scott – The Martian
3. David O. Russell – Joy
4. Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight
5. Lenny Abrahamson – Room

Next in line: 6. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant 7. Danny Boyle – Steve Jobs 8. John Crowley – Brooklyn 9. Steven Spielberg – Bridge of Spies 10. Todd Haynes – Carol 11. Tom Hooper – The Danish Girl 12. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road 13. Adam McKay – The Big Short 14. Denis Villenueve – Sicario 15. László Nemes – Son of Saul 16. Cary Fukunaga – Beasts of No Nation 17. Don Cheadle – Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release) 18. Angelina Jolie Pitt – By the Sea 19. David Gordon Green – Our Brand is Crisis 20. J.J. Abrams – Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST ACTOR

1. Will Smith – Concussion
2. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
3. Matt Damon – The Martian
4. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
5. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

Next in line: 6. Johnny Depp – Black Mass 7. Steve Carell – The Big Short 8. Jake Gyllenhaal – Southpaw 9. Tom Hanks – Bridge of Spies 10. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo 11. Michael Caine – Youth 12. John Cusack – Love & Mercy 13. Don Cheadle – Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release) 14. Tom Courtenay – 45 Years 15. Joseph Gordon-Levitt – The Walk 16. Robert Redford – Truth (Could go Supporting) 17. Abraham Atta – Beasts of No Nation 18. Christian Bale – The Big Short (Could go Supporting) 19. Géza Röhrig – Son of Saul 20. Brad Pitt – By the Sea

BEST ACTRESS

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
2. Brie Larson – Room
3. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
4. Lily Tomlin – Grandma
5. Cate Blanchett – Carol

Next in line: 6. Carey Mulligan – Suffragette 7. Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years 8. Blythe Danner – I’ll See You in My Dreams 9. Emily Blunt – Sicario 10. Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis 11. Marion Cotillard – MacBeth 12. Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van 13. Julianne Moore – Freehold 14. Angelina Jolie Pitt – By the Sea 15. Meryl Streep – Ricki and the Flash 16. Amy Schumer – Trainwreck 17. Juliette Binoche – Clouds of Sils Maria 18. Olivia Wilde – Meadowland 19. Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road 20. Melissa McCarthy – Spy

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
2. Michael Keaton – Spotlight
3. Kurt Russell – The Hateful Eight
4. Ryan Gosling – The Big Short
5. Paul Dano – Love & Mercy

Next in line: 6. Tom Hardy – The Revenant 7. Joel Edgerton – Black Mass 8. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies 9. Sam Elliot – Grandma 10. Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs 11. Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation 12. Jason Segel – The End of the Tour 13. Benicio del Toro – Sicario 14. Samuel L. Jackson – The Hateful Eight 15. Bradley Cooper – Joy 16. Harvey Keitel – Youth 17. Jacob Tremblay – Room 18. Bruce Dern – The Hateful Eight 19. Emory Cohen – Brooklyn 20. Jeff Daniels – Steve Jobs

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Rooney Mara – Carol
2. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
3. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
4. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
5. Rachel McAdams – Spotlight

Next in line: 6. Jane Fonda – Youth 7. Julie Walters – Brooklyn 8. Jessica Chastain – The Martian 9. Kristen Stewart – Clouds of Sils Maria 10. Joan Allen – Room 11. Elizabeth Banks – Love & Mercy 12. Helena Bonham Carter – Suffragette 13. Sarah Paulson – Carol 14. Cynthia Nixon – James White 15. Diane Ladd – Joy 16. Ellen Page – Freeheld 17. Melissa Leo – The Big Short 18. Melanie Laurent – By the Sea 19. Rose Byrne – Spy 20. Katherine Waterston – Steve Jobs

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. Joy
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Trainwreck

Next in line: 6. Grandma 7. Bridge of Spies 8. Sicario 9. Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release) 10. Love & Mercy 11. Ex Machina 12. By the Sea 13. Our Brand is Crisis 14. Suffragette 15. Ricki and the Flash 16. 99 Homes 17. I’ll See You in My Dreams 18. Straight Outta Compton 19. The Good Dinosaur 20. Irrational Man

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Martian
2. Room
3. Brooklyn
4. Steve Jobs
5. The Big Short

Next in line: 6. Carol 7. The Revenant 8. Anomalisa 9. The Danish Girl 10. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 11. Beasts of No Nation 12. Truth 13. The End of the Tour 14. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 15. In the Heart of the Sea 16. Black Mass 17. Macbeth 18. The Walk 19. Trumbo 20. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. The Peanuts Movie
5. Shaun the Sheep Movie

Next in line: 6. Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet 7. Minions 8. When Marnie Was There 9. Home 10. Boy and the World

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Carol
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Cinderella
4. The Danish Girl
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Revenant
2. Sicario
3. The Martian
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Cinderella
3. The Danish Girl
4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
5. Far from the Maddening Crowd

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Spotlight
2. Steve Jobs
3. The Revenant
4. The Hateful Eight
5. The Martian

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. The Danish Girl
2. Black Mass
3. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Spectre
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. The Martian
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Jurassic World

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Spectre
5. Sicario

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. The Walk
4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
5. Ant-Man

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Bridge of Spies
2. Inside Out
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. Steve Jobs
5. Brooklyn

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Ricki and the Flash (Cold One)
2. Spectre (Writing’s on the Wall)
3. Love & Mercy (One Kind of Love)
4. I’ll See You in My Dreams (I’ll See You in My Dreams)
5. Furious 7 (See You Again)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
2. Where To Invade Next
3. Amy
4. Racing Extinction
5. The Look of Silence

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. The Assassin
3. The Second Mother
4. Labyrinth of Lies
5. A War

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

? (Still to come)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. 50 Feet from Syria
2. Last Day of Freedom
3. Body Team 12
4. The Testimony
5. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

? (Still to come)

Stay tuned for another set of Oscar predictions later on this month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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