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A second crack at Golden Globe predictions

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Here in the heart of the month of November, I think it’s high time to take my second crack at some Golden Globe predictions. As previously mentioned last month, I’ll be mixing these in with Oscar predictions somewhat consistently going forward, but early Globe picks are always really interesting to me, especially since sometimes you’re still guessing category placement (which is slowly being reported in the trades this week) and just what the tastes of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will look like at the current time. They’re almost impossible to accurately guess off the bat the first couple of times around, but that little factoid has yet to stop me from trying all the same. Here goes nothing once again!

What you’ll notice below this time around with the predictions is that we have some noticeable changes as well as some films/contenders that are settling in for a long awards run. Category swaps have come and affected Joy, Love & Mercy, and Trumbo, for example (not to mention confirmation of where The Martian is competing), but we still have the major players in Spotlight and such to look at. My hunch right now is that Spotlight is still able to do very well with the HFPA in advance of Oscar, with The Martian not far behind. This would set up the narrative that the two of those are going head to head for the big Academy Award statues. That can certainly change, especially if one of The Hateful Eight, Joy, or The Revenant really blows voters away, but there’s no reason not back that pair right now. As a bonus, I’m including a seventh potential slot in predictions for now, just to open the race up a bit. I may or may not keep it going forward (if so, it’ll likely only be as we get closer to nominations, not initially), but it’s there at the current moment, as you’ll see below…

Here you go ladies and gentlemen, my latest look at how the Golden Globe awards could shape up:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. Spotlight
2. The Revenant
3. Brooklyn
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Room

If there’s a sixth: The Danish Girl
If there’s a seventh: Bridge of Spies

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. The Martian
2. Joy
3. The Big Short
4. Trainwreck
5. Grandma

If there’s a sixth: Our Brand is Crisis
If there’s a seventh: Spy

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
3. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
4. Johnny Depp – Black Mass
5. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo

If there’s a sixth: Jake Gyllenhaal – Southpaw
If there’s a seventh: Will Smith – Concussion

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Matt Damon – The Martian
2. Steve Carell – The Big Short
3. Bill Hader – Trainwreck
4. Joaquin Phoenix – Irrational Man
5. Bill Murray – Rock the Kasbah

If there’s a sixth: Bradley Cooper – Burnt
If there’s a seventh: Al Pacino – Danny Collins

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Brie Larson – Room
2. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
3. Cate Blanchett – Carol
4. Carey Mulligan – Suffragette
5. Emily Blunt – Sicario

If there’s a sixth: Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
If there’s a seventh: Marion Cotillard – Macbeth

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
2. Lily Tomlin – Grandma
3. Amy Schumer – Trainwreck
4. Meryl Streep – Ricki and the Flash
5. Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis

If there’s a sixth: Melissa McCarthy – Spy
If there’s a seventh: Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van

Best Supporting Actor

1. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
2. Michael Keaton – Spotlight
3. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
4. Benicio del Toro – Sicario
5. Paul Dano – Love & Mercy

If there’s a sixth: Jason Segel – The End of the Tour
If there’s a seventh: LeBron James – Trainwreck

Best Supporting Actress

1. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
2. Rooney Mara – Carol
2. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
5. Jane Fonda – Youth

If there’s a sixth: Rachel McAdams – Spotlight
If there’s a seventh: Tilda Swinton – Trainwreck

Best Director

1. Ridley Scott – The Martian
2. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
3. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant
4. Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight
5. David O. Russell – Joy

If there’s a sixth: Adam McKay – The Big Short
If there’s a seventh: Steve Spielberg – Bridge of Spies

Best Screenplay

1. The Martian
2. Spotlight
3. Joy
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Steve Jobs

If there’s a sixth: Trainwreck
If there’s a seventh: The Revenant

Best Animated Feature

1. Inside Out
2. Anamolisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. The Peanuts Movie
5. Shaun the Sheep Movie

Best Original Score

1. Bridge of Spies
2. Inside Out
3. Brooklyn
4. Sicario
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Original Song

1. Ricki and the Flash
2. Spectre
3. Love & Mercy
4. Furious 7
5. Southpaw

Best Foreign Film

1. Son of Saul
2. The Assassin
3. Mustang
4. Labyrinth of Lies
5. A War

Stay tuned for a new set of Oscar predictions coming later on this month as well as another update to these Golden Globe predictions at some point next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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