A Second November Oscar Predictions Update – 1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant, 2. Matt Damon – The Martian, 3. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs, 4. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl, 5. Michael Caine – Youth

2008 "Meet the Oscars: The 50 Golden Statuettes" New York Press Preview

Somehow, we’re almost done with the month of November. There’s only about six weeks or so left in 2015, which means the awards season is in full swing. As you all know, we’re awaiting the final big three releases of the year in The Hateful Eight, Joy, and The Revenant (which I’ll actually be seeing early next week, though under embargo until December), but the picture is starting to clear up, slowly. Winners are still hard to figure out in many of the categories, but the likely (or at least more likely) nominees are starting to become less and less vague to the trained eye. As such, it’s the perfect time for a new set of my Academy Award predictions, right? Right. So let’s have at it!

I’ll keep it short and sweet here and just reiterate that Spotlight is in the best position right now, as per the article I published earlier today. It seems poised to potentially do very well, though The Martian and Room pose definite threats (and to a lesser extent, Brooklyn) among the already seen contenders. Having recently seen The Big Short, I think it has a clear path to a nomination in the big category, but elsewhere might prove difficult. We shall see though, as it represents something very unique in the race. Other things popping up here and there are some of the cast members of Youth, for example, but you can see what I mean below…

Here now are my most up to date Oscar predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. Room
4. The Revenant
5. Brooklyn
6. Joy
7. The Big Short
8. The Hateful Eight
9. Steve Jobs
10. Bridge of Spies

Next in line: 11. Carol 12. The Danish Girl 13. Inside Out 14. Son of Saul 15. Sicario 16. In the Heart of the Sea 17. Youth 18. Mad Max: Fury Road 19. Beasts of No Nation 20. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 21. Love & Mercy 22. Black Mass 23. 45 Years 24. Concussion 25. Suffragette 26. Trumbo 27. Straight Outta Compton 28. Truth 29. Anomalisa 30. Creed

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
2. Ridley Scott – The Martian
3. Lenny Abrahamson – Room
4. John Crowley – Brooklyn
5. David O. Russell – Joy

Next in line: 6. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant 7. Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight 8. Danny Boyle – Steve Jobs 9. Steven Spielberg – Bridge of Spies 10. Todd Haynes – Carol 11. Adam McKay – The Big Short 12. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road 13. Denis Villenueve – Sicario 14. László Nemes – Son of Saul 15. Tom Hooper – The Danish Girl 16. Cary Fukunaga – Beasts of No Nation 17. Paolo Sorrentino – Youth 18. Ron Howard– In the Heart of the Sea 19. Bill Pohlad – Love & Mercy 20. J.J. Abrams – Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Matt Damon – The Martian
3. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
4. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
5. Michael Caine – Youth

Next in line: 6. Steve Carell – The Big Short 7. Johnny Depp – Black Mass 8. Will Smith – Concussion 9. Tom Hanks – Bridge of Spies 10. Jake Gyllenhaal – Southpaw 11. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo 12. John Cusack – Love & Mercy 13. Samuel L. Jackson – The Hateful Eight (Could go Supporting) 14. Tom Courtenay – 45 Years 15. Ian McKellen – Mr. Holmes 16. Géza Röhrig – Son of Saul 17. Abraham Atta – Beasts of No Nation 18. Michael B. Jordan – Creed 19. Chris Hemsworth – In the Heart of the Sea 20. Joseph Gordon-Levitt – The Walk

BEST ACTRESS

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
2. Brie Larson – Room
3. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
4. Lily Tomlin – Grandma
5. Cate Blanchett – Carol

Next in line: 6. Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years 7. Carey Mulligan – Suffragette 8. Blythe Danner – I’ll See You in My Dreams 9. Emily Blunt – Sicario 10. Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis 11. Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van 12. Marion Cotillard – MacBeth 12. Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van 13. Julianne Moore – Freehold 14. Meryl Streep – Ricki and the Flash 15. Bel Powley – The Diary of a Teenage Girl 16. Amy Schumer – Trainwreck 17. Juliette Binoche – Clouds of Sils Maria 18. Olivia Wilde – Meadowland 19. Julia Roberts – Secret in their Eyes 20. Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
2. Michael Keaton – Spotlight
3. Harvey Keitel – Youth
4. Kurt Russell – The Hateful Eight
5. Paul Dano – Love & Mercy

Next in line: 6. Tom Hardy – The Revenant 7. Benicio del Toro – Sicario 8. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies 9. Christian Bale – The Big Short 10. Jacob Tremblay – Room 11. Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation 12. Jason Segel – The End of the Tour 13. Joel Edgerton – Black Mass 14. Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs 15. Sam Elliot – Grandma 16. Ryan Gosling – The Big Short 17. Emory Cohen – Brooklyn 18. Bradley Cooper – Joy 19. Jason Mitchell – Straight Outta Compton 20. Jeff Daniels – Steve Jobs

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Rooney Mara – Carol
2. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
3. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
4. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
5. Rachel McAdams – Spotlight

Next in line: 6. Jane Fonda – Youth 7. Elizabeth Banks – Love & Mercy 8. Julie Walters – Brooklyn 9. Kristen Stewart – Clouds of Sils Maria 10. Joan Allen – Room 11. Jessica Chastain – The Martian 12. Helena Bonham Carter – Suffragette 13. Sarah Paulson – Carol 14. Cynthia Nixon – James White 15. Diane Ladd – Joy 16. Ellen Page – Freeheld 17. Luara Linney – Mr. Holmes 18. Olivia Cooke – Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 19. Helen Mirren – Trumbo 20. Rose Byrne – Spy

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. Joy
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Trainwreck

Next in line: 6. Youth 7. Bridge of Spies 8. Sicario 9. Grandma 10. Love & Mercy 11. Ex Machina 12. I’ll See You in My Dreams 13. Straight Outta Compton 14. Suffragette 15. Ricki and the Flash 16. 99 Homes 17. The Lady in the Van 18. Dope 19. The Good Dinosaur 20. By the Sea

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Martian
2. Room
3. Brooklyn
4. Steve Jobs
5. The Big Short

Next in line: 6. Anomalisa 7. The Revenant 8. Carol 9. The Danish Girl 10. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 11. Trumbo 12. 45 Years 13. The End of the Tour 14. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 15. In the Heart of the Sea 16. Black Mass 17. Beasts of No Nation 18. The Diary of a Teenage Girl 19. The Walk 20. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. The Peanuts Movie
5. Shaun the Sheep Movie

Next in line: 6. Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet 7. Minions 8. When Marnie Was There 9. Home 10. Boy and the World

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Carol
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Cinderella
4. The Danish Girl
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Revenant
2. Sicario
3. The Martian
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Cinderella
3. The Danish Girl
4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
5. Far from the Maddening Crowd

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Spotlight
2. Steve Jobs
3. The Martian
4. The Big Short
5. Room

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. The Danish Girl
2. Black Mass
3. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Spectre
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. The Martian
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Jurassic World

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Spectre
5. Sicario

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. The Walk
4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
5. Ant-Man

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Bridge of Spies
2. Inside Out
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. Steve Jobs
5. Brooklyn

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Ricki and the Flash (Cold One)
2. Spectre (Writing’s on the Wall)
3. Love & Mercy (One Kind of Love)
4. I’ll See You in My Dreams (I’ll See You in My Dreams)
5. Furious 7 (See You Again)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Where To Invade Next
2. Amy
3. Racing Extinction
4. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
5. The Look of Silence

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. The Assassin
3. The Second Mother
4. Labyrinth of Lies
5. A War

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. My Home
2. Sanjay’s Super Team
3. An Object at Rest
4. Prologue
5. World of Tomorrow

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. Claude Lanzmann: Specters of the Shoah
2. 50 Feet from Syria
3. Body Team 12
4. Last Day of Freedom
5. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Stutterer
2. Day One
3. Winter Light
4. The Free Man
5. Bad Hunter

There you have what I feel the nominations will look like, as of today. Stay tuned for potentially weekly updates starting next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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