New Oscar Predictions for the new year

Steve Carell The Big Short

Happy New Year everybody and welcome to 2016! With a whole new year (366 days, with the Leap Year) ahead of us, what better way to kick things off than with new Academy Award predictions? Well, I’m sure there are better ways, but this is what I’ll be doing today, anyway. Voters are now making use of their ballots, all of the films have been released, and almost everything that’s going to be seen has been seen. The movies still in contention now await the news as to where the Academy is going to cite them or not on nomination morning. With all of that going down currently, it makes perfect sense for a new set of predictions to share with you all. Here goes nothing…

What you’ll notice below (in addition to a tinkering with the three Shorts categories) is that The Big Short has made a big move upwards in Best Picture. Why, you might ask? Well, I think there’s a distinct possibility that it’s ultimately going to emerge as the alternative to Spotlight in Best Picture. That still leaves Spotlight as an almost sure thing winner, but there’s always a back up plan, as it were. I’m not sure it can get enough momentum for more nominations like Adam McKay in Best Director, Steve Carell in Best Actor, Christian Bale in Best Supporting Actor, but it could easily wind up in Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Film Editing in addition to Picture. Would that be enough? Probably not for an upset, but anything is possible, right? Time will tell what happens there, but for now, it remains Spotlight’s awards in the big categories to lose.

Anyway, here now are some new Oscar predictions to kick off the new year:

BEST PICTURE

1. Spotlight
2. The Big Short
3. The Martian
4. Room
5. Carol
6. The Revenant
7. Mad Max: Fury Road
8. The Hateful Eight
9. Brooklyn
10. Trumbo

Next in line: 11. Bridge of Spies 12. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 13. Steve Jobs 14. Beasts of No Nation 15. Sicario 16. Joy 17. Straight Outta Compton 18. Youth 19. Inside Out 20. Love & Mercy 21. Creed 22. Black Mass 23. Son of Saul 24. 45 Years 25. The Danish Girl 26. Concussion 27. Suffragette 28. Anomalisa 29. 99 Homes 30. Ex Machina

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
2. Ridley Scott – The Martian
3. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Lenny Abrahamson – Room
5. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant

Next in line: 6. Todd Haynes – Carol 7. Adam McKay – The Big Short 8. Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight 9. John Crowley – Brooklyn 10. Danny Boyle – Steve Jobs 11. Steven Spielberg – Bridge of Spies 12. Denis Villenueve – Sicario 13. David O. Russell – Joy 14. Cary Fukunaga – Beasts of No Nation 15. J.J. Abrams – Star Wars: The Force Awakens 16. Tom Hooper – The Danish Girl 17. Paolo Sorrentino – Youth 18. Jay Roach – Trumbo 19. Bill Pohlad – Love & Mercy 20. László Nemes – Son of Saul

BEST ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
3. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
3. Will Smith – Concussion
5. Matt Damon – The Martian

Next in line: 6. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl 7. Steve Carell – The Big Short 8. Johnny Depp – Black Mass 9. Michael Caine – Youth 10. Tom Hanks – Bridge of Spies 11. Jake Gyllenhaal – Southpaw 12. Samuel L. Jackson – The Hateful Eight (Could go Supporting) 13. Michael B. Jordan – Creed 14. John Cusack – Love & Mercy 15. Tom Courtenay – 45 Years 16. Ian McKellen – Mr. Holmes 17. Géza Röhrig – Son of Saul 18. Abraham Atta – Beasts of No Nation 19. Chris Hemsworth – In the Heart of the Sea 20. Joseph Gordon-Levitt – The Walk

BEST ACTRESS

1. Brie Larson – Room
2. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
3. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
4. Cate Blanchett – Carol
5. Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years

Next in line: 6. Lily Tomlin – Grandma 7. Helen Mirren – Woman in Gold 8. Blythe Danner – I’ll See You in My Dreams 9. Emily Blunt – Sicario 10. Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van 11. Bel Powley – The Diary of a Teenage Girl 12. Carey Mulligan – Suffragette 13. Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis 14. Meryl Streep – Ricki and the Flash 15. Amy Schumer – Trainwreck 16. Juliette Binoche – Clouds of Sils Maria 17. Sarah Silverman – I Smile Back 18. Julianne Moore – Freehold 19. Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road 20. Olivia Wilde – Meadowland

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
2. Sylvester Stallone – Creed
3. Paul Dano – Love & Mercy
4. Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation
5. Michael Shannon – 99 Homes

Next in line: 6. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight 7. Jacob Tremblay – Room 8. Michael Keaton – Spotlight 9. Christian Bale – The Big Short 10. Tom Hardy – The Revenant 11. Benicio del Toro – Sicario 12. Harvey Keitel – Youth 13. Jason Segel – The End of the Tour 14. Kurt Russell – The Hateful Eight 15. Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs 16. Sam Elliot – Grandma 17. Joel Edgerton – Black Mass 18. Emory Cohen – Brooklyn 19. Ryan Gosling – The Big Short 20. Jason Mitchell – Straight Outta Compton

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Rooney Mara – Carol
2. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
3. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
4. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
5. Helen Mirren – Trumbo

Next in line: 6. Rachel McAdams – Spotlight 7. Kristen Stewart – Clouds of Sils Maria 8. Alicia Vikander – Ex Machina 9. Elizabeth Banks – Love & Mercy 10. Jane Fonda – Youth 11. Joan Allen – Room 12. Julie Walters – Brooklyn 13. Cynthia Nixon – James White 14. Sarah Paulson – Carol 15. Marion Cotillard – Macbeth 16. Ellen Page – Freeheld 17. Luara Linney – Mr. Holmes 18. Jessica Chastain – The Martian 19. Olivia Cooke – Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 20. Rose Byrne – Spy

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Spotlight
2. The Hateful Eight
3. Bridge of Spies
4. Love & Mercy
5. Ex Machina

Next in line: 6. Sicario 7. Inside Out 8. Trainwreck 9. Grandma 10. Joy 11. Youth 12. I’ll See You in My Dreams 13. Straight Outta Compton 14. Suffragette 15. Ricki and the Flash 16. 99 Homes 17. The Lady in the Van 18. Dope 19. The Good Dinosaur 20. By the Sea

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Room
2. The Big Short
3. Brooklyn
4. The Martian
5. Carol

Next in line: 6. Steve Jobs 7. Anomalisa 8. The Revenant 9. Trumbo 10. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 11. The Danish Girl 12. Beasts of No Nation 13. The End of the Tour 14. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 15. 45 Years 16. Black Mass 17. Mad Max: Fury Road 18. The Diary of a Teenage Girl 19. The Walk 20. In the Heart of the Sea

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
5. The Peanuts Movie

Next in line: 6. Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet 7. Minions 8. When Marnie Was There 9. Home 10. Boy and the World

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Carol
2. The Danish Girl
3. Cinderella
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Revenant
2. Sicario
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. The Martian

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Danish Girl
2. Carol
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Trumbo
5. Cinderella

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Big Short
5. Steve Jobs

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Black Mass
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Mr. Holmes

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Sicario
5. Jurassic World

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Sicario
5. The Revenant

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. The Walk
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Avengers: Age of Ultron

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Carol
4. The Danish Girl
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. The Hunting Ground (Til It Happens to You)
2. Furious 7 (See You Again)
3. Youth (Simple Song #3)
4. Spectre (Writing’s on the Wall)
5. Fifty Shades of Grey (Love Me Like You Do)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Amy
2. Where To Invade Next
3. The Look of Silence
4. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
5. The Hunting Ground

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. Labyrinth of Lies
4. A War
5. Theeb

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Sanjay’s Super Team
2. If I Was God
3. An Object at Rest
4. World of Tomorrow
5. Prologue

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. Body Team 12
2. 50 Feet from Syria
3. Claude Lanzmann: Specters of the Shoah
4. Last Day of Freedom
5. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Ave Maria
2. Day One
3. Shok
4. Winter Light
5. Stutterer

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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