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Updated Academy Award and Producers Guild of America Predictions

87th Annual Academy Awards Set Up
Yes, I’m continuing to update Oscar predictions weekly here, even if it seems like things are in a bit of stasis right now. Well, that’s not the case, as the Producers Guild of America (or PGA) are giving out their award tomorrow night. The PGA award is more or less the best barometer for what the Academy will do, so all eyes are on that. The Academy Award predictions will be below, but I’m mainly focusing on PGA here, since that’s what will ultimately impact Oscar was much as anything else. I haven’t changed much in terms of my predictions, but they’re different enough to be worth taking a look at today…

Since it’s PGA eve, let’s discuss a bit. Essentially, I think that it really comes down to Mad Max: Fury Road, The Revenant, and Spotlight for the big prize. There’s also the potential for a shocking win by The Big Short or The Martian (or maybe even a protest win for Straight Outta Compton), but I ultimately doubt it. The odds favor either The Revenant or Spotlight, though a Mad Max: Fury Road upset could certainly be in the cards. If Spotlight wins (and I’m loosely predicting that to happen), that basically wraps things up for the film, while if one of the other movies takes this prize, it could really upend the race. It’s going to be a big moment in the season, so be sure to keep an eye out for a PGA announcement tomorrow night. It’s going to be noteworthy, that’s for sure!

directors guild of america logo 600x338
This is what I see for the Producers Guild of America prize being given out tomorrow:

Prediction – Spotlight
Alternate – The Revenant
Dark Horse – Mad Max: Fury Road
Win No One Sees Coming – The Big Short

As for Oscar, these are basically placeholder predictions for the moment. What do I mean by that? Well, PGA is clearly going to change up the order in Best Picture, at the very least. There’s also the growing feeling that we’ll see a split with Best Director and Picture, so I still need to ponder that more as well. Basically, these are a snapshot of the race today, but not necessarily a look at what the race will be within the next 24 hours. In that sense, we’ll just have to sit tight and wait on PGA to potentially clear things up a bit…

Now, here now are some updated Academy Award predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. Spotlight
2. The Revenant
3. The Big Short
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. The Martian
6. Room
7. Bridge of Spies
8. Brooklyn

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
2. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant
4. Adam McKay – The Big Short
5. Lenny Abrahamson – Room

BEST ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Matt Damon – The Martian
3. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
4. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
5. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

BEST ACTRESS

1. Brie Larson – Room
2. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
3. Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
4. Cate Blanchett – Carol
5. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Sylvester Stallone – Creed
2. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
3. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
4. Christian Bale – The Big Short
5. Tom Hardy – The Revenant

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Rooney Mara – Carol
2. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
3. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
5. Rachel McAdams – Spotlight

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. Ex Machina
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Straight Outta Compton

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Big Short
2. The Martian
3. Room
4. Brooklyn
5. Carol

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. Shaun the Sheep Movie
4. When Marnie Was There
5. Boy and the World

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Martian
3. The Danish Girl
4. Bridge of Spies
5. The Revenant

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Revenant
2. Sicario
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Carol
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Carol
2. The Danish Girl
3. The Revenant
4. Cinderella
5. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Spotlight
2. The Big Short
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Revenant
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Revenant
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Sicario
5. The Revenant

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The Martian
4. The Revenant
5. Ex Machina

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Carol
4. Sicario
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. The Hunting Ground (Til It Happens to You)
2. Youth (Simple Song #3)
3. Spectre (Writing’s on the Wall)
4. Racing Extinction (Manta Ray)
5. Fifty Shades of Grey (Earned It)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Amy
2. The Look of Silence
3. Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom
4. Cartel Land
5. What Happened, Miss Simone?

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. A War
4. Theeb
5. Embrace of the Serpent

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Sanjay’s Super Team
2. World of Tomorrow
3. Bear Story
4. We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
5. Prologue

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. Body Team 12
2. Claude Lanzmann: Specters of the Shoah
3. Last Day of Freedom
4. Chau, Beyond the Lines
5. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Ave Maria
2. Day One
3. Shok
4. Stutterer
5. Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)

spotlight michael keaton mark ruffalo
Stay tuned for a new set of Academy Award predictions next week and to see who wins with PGA tomorrow night!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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