Updated Academy Award and Screen Actors Guild Predictions

80th Annual Academy Awards - "Parade of the Oscars"
Folks, we have another huge weekend ahead of us. This one, frankly, may very well decide the Oscar race. Yes, the Screen Actors Guild (or SAG) will be having their awards show tomorrow night, with the acting races, as well as Best Picture, potentially set to be decided. With really one exception, I have a strong hunch that what wins at SAG will go on to win with the Academy next month. As such, not only will you see what I think SAG will do, but also what I feel are the current Academy Award results (it is Friday, after all). Busy day, I know.

SAG really will decide if The Big Short is running away with the Academy Awards ceremony or not. Also, it will likely solidify impeding Oscar wins for Leonardo DiCpario in Best Actor and Brie Larson in Best Actress. Furthermore, it could finally provide a Best Supporting Actress frontrunner. The only place it won’t really tell the full story is Best Supporting Actor, where Sylvester Stallone was snubbed. He probably still remains the favorite with the Academy, however. The big category though, is of course Best Ensemble, which is SAG’s version of Best Picture. There, The Big Short could wrap things up with a win, while this could be Spotlight’s last stand. Essentially, if Spotlight doesn’t win here, it can’t win with Oscar, and if The Big Short does win, statistically it’s a done deal. We shall see what happens, but below you can see my advance predictions…

Updated_SAG_Logo_Color
This is how I see the Screen Actors Guild Awards going down:

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Prediction – Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
Alternate – Bryan Cranston for Trumbo
Dark Horse – Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Prediction – Brie Larson for Room
Alternate – Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn
Dark Horse – Cate Blanchett for Carol

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Prediction – Christian Bale for The Big Short
Alternate – Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies
Dark Horse – Jacob Tremblay for Room

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Prediction – Rooney Mara for Carol
Alternate – Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl
Dark Horse – Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

Prediction – The Big Short
Alternate – Spotlight
Dark Horse – Trumbo

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

Prediction – Mad Max: Fury Road
Alternate – Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation
Dark Horse – Furious 7

Here now are my updated Oscar predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. The Big Short
2. Spotlight
3. The Revenant
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. The Martian
6. Room
7. Bridge of Spies
8. Brooklyn

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Adam McKay – The Big Short
2. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
4. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant
5. Lenny Abrahamson – Room

BEST ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Matt Damon – The Martian
3. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
4. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
5. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

BEST ACTRESS

1. Brie Larson – Room
2. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
3. Cate Blanchett – Carol
4. Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
5. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Sylvester Stallone – Creed
2. Christian Bale – The Big Short
3. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
4. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
5. Tom Hardy – The Revenant

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Rooney Mara – Carol
2. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
3. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
5. Rachel McAdams – Spotlight

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. Ex Machina
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Straight Outta Compton

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Big Short
2. The Martian
3. Room
4. Brooklyn
5. Carol

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. Shaun the Sheep Movie
4. When Marnie Was There
5. Boy and the World

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Martian
3. The Danish Girl
4. Bridge of Spies
5. The Revenant

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Revenant
2. Sicario
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Carol
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Carol
2. The Danish Girl
3. The Revenant
4. Cinderella
5. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST FILM EDITING

1. The Big Short
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Spotlight
4. The Revenant
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Revenant
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Sicario
5. The Revenant

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The Martian
4. The Revenant
5. Ex Machina

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Carol
4. Sicario
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. The Hunting Ground (Til It Happens to You)
2. Spectre (Writing’s on the Wall)
3. Youth (Simple Song #3)
4. Racing Extinction (Manta Ray)
5. Fifty Shades of Grey (Earned It)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Amy
2. The Look of Silence
3. Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom
4. Cartel Land
5. What Happened, Miss Simone?

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. A War
4. Theeb
5. Embrace of the Serpent

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Sanjay’s Super Team
2. World of Tomorrow
3. We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
4. Prologue
5. Bear Story

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. Body Team 12
2. Claude Lanzmann: Specters of the Shoah
3. Last Day of Freedom
4. Chau, Beyond the Lines
5. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Ave Maria
2. Day One
3. Shok
4. Stutterer
5. Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)

Stay tuned for a new set of predictions next week and to see what happens with SAG tomorrow!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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