Updated Oscar Predictions as BAFTA and the Writers Guild Awards near

80th Annual Academy Awards - "Parade of the Oscars"
If it’s Friday, it must be time for some new predictions. Yes, we’re nearing the finish line for the Academy Awards, with the ceremony only a few short weeks away. This is a pretty huge precursor weekend though, with the British Academy of Film and Television Arts (or BAFTA) handing out their awards, along with the American Society of Cinematographers (or ASC), and the Writers Guild of America (or WGA). We can look to BAFTA for help in figuring out if The Revenant is going to more or less sweep the Oscars, while ASC will likely confirm the Best Cinematography category to be in its favor. As for the WGA, it’s probably going to be split between The Big Short and Spotlight. We could finally get some answers in the next few days, but we also might just wind up with more questions…

First up, take a look at my picks for the WGA awards:

wgaawards258x110
Original

Prediction – Spotlight (Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer)
Alternate – Bridge of Spies (Matt Charman, Ethan Coen, and Joel Coen)
Dark Horse – Straight Outta Compton (Andrea Berloff, Jonathan Herman, S. Leigh Savidge, and Alan Wenkus)
Shocker – Trainwreck (Amy Schumer)

Adapted

Prediction – The Big Short (Adam McKay and Charles Randolph)
Alternate – The Martian (Drew Goddard)
Dark Horse – Carol (Phyllis Nagy)
Shocker – Steve Jobs (Aaron Sorkin)

Documentary

Prediction – Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief (Alex Gibney)


Leo DiCaprio the revenant
Also, this is my ASC pick:

Prediction – The Revenant (Emmanuel Lubezki)
Alternate – Carol (Ed Lachman)
Dark Horse – Mad Max: Fury Road (John Seale)
Shocker – Sicario (Roger Deakins)


BAFTA logo 600x377
As for BAFTA, that’s basically what could tip the Academy Awards to either The Big Short, The Revenant, or Spotlight. We have The Revenant peaking at the perfect time, so it’s easy to see this group citing it and essentially ending the race, though there’s still a definite shock for the other two contenders. Now that it appears like Mad Max: Fury Road is out of the running, it’s a three horse race that could very well go down to the wire with Oscar voters. I’m not giving BAFTA predictions today, for fear of being very wrong, but look to The Revenant as the frontrunner there. If it loses, anything goes…

Here now is my as of the moment current Oscar predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. The Revenant
2. The Big Short
3. Spotlight
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. The Martian
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Room
8. Brooklyn

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant
2. Adam McKay – The Big Short
3. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
4. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Lenny Abrahamson – Room

BEST ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Matt Damon – The Martian
3. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
4. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
5. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

BEST ACTRESS

1. Brie Larson – Room
2. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
3. Cate Blanchett – Carol
4. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
5. Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Sylvester Stallone – Creed
2. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
3. Christian Bale – The Big Short
4. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
5. Tom Hardy – The Revenant

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
2. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
3. Rooney Mara – Carol
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
5. Rachel McAdams – Spotlight

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Spotlight
2. Ex Machina
3. Inside Out
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Straight Outta Compton

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Big Short
2. The Martian
3. Room
4. Brooklyn
5. Carol

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. When Marnie Was There
4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
5. Boy and the World

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. The Danish Girl
4. The Martian
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Revenant
2. Carol
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Sicario
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Carol
2. The Danish Girl
3. The Revenant
4. Cinderella
5. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST FILM EDITING

1. The Revenant
2. The Big Short
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Spotlight
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. The Revenant
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. The Martian
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. The Martian
5. Sicario

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The Revenant
4. Ex Machina
5. The Martian

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Carol
4. Sicario
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Spectre (Writing’s on the Wall)
2. The Hunting Ground (Til It Happens to You)
3. Youth (Simple Song #3)
4. Racing Extinction (Manta Ray)
5. Fifty Shades of Grey (Earned It)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Amy
2. Cartel Land
3. The Look of Silence
4. Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom
5. What Happened, Miss Simone?

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. A War
4. Embrace of the Serpent
5. Theeb

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Sanjay’s Super Team
2. World of Tomorrow
3. Prologue
4. We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
5. Bear Story

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. Body Team 12
2. Claude Lanzmann: Specters of the Shoah
3. Last Day of Freedom
4. Chau, Beyond the Lines
5. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Ave Maria
2. Shok
3. Day One
4. Stutterer
5. Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)

The Revenant Leo DiCaprio
Stay tuned for a new set of predictions next week!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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