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Updated Academy Award Predictions

85th Annual Academy Awards-Foreign Language Film Directors/Producers
Oh boy. Ladies and gentlemen, this is the second to last opportunity for me to figure out what might happen at the Oscars. All of the information is at our fingertips, so it’s just a matter of trying to read the tea leaves as best as possible. On the one hand, I feel like I know more or less what is going to happen at the Academy Awards telecast next Sunday, but on the other, I never trust having confidence this late in the game. A surprise or two is always possible, so that’s something to keep in mind. The odds favor just a solid run by The Revenant, including wins in the three biggest categories, but the film hasn’t quite locked it up yet.

Basically, we’re in a holding pattern here. As I’ll more explicitly say in a piece next week, there’s an argument that one can make in Best Picture for either The Big Short, The Revenant, or Spotlight. I think The Revenant is in the lead, with only a small chance for an upset by The Big Short, but it can happen. Other than that, what you’ll see below is more of the same, basically. A few movies might still have shots to pull ahead at the last minute in the technical categories (see my article yesterday for more on that), but don’t expect these predictions to be too different from my final ones a week from today…

Here now are those penultimate Oscar predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. The Revenant
2. The Big Short
3. Spotlight
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Bridge of Spies
6. The Martian
7. Room
8. Brooklyn

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant
2. Adam McKay – The Big Short
3. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
5. Lenny Abrahamson – Room

BEST ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
3. Matt Damon – The Martian
4. Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
5. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

BEST ACTRESS

1. Brie Larson – Room
2. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
3. Cate Blanchett – Carol
4. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
5. Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Sylvester Stallone – Creed
2. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
3. Tom Hardy – The Revenant
4. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
5. Christian Bale – The Big Short

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
2. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
3. Rachel McAdams – Spotlight
4. Rooney Mara – Carol
5. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. Ex Machina
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Straight Outta Compton

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Big Short
2. The Martian
3. Room
4. Carol
5. Brooklyn

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. When Marnie Was There
4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
5. Boy and the World

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. The Danish Girl
4. The Martian
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Revenant
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Carol
4. Sicario
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. Cinderella
4. The Danish Girl
5. Carol

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. The Big Short
4. Spotlight
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Revenant
3. The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. The Revenant
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. The Martian
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. The Revenant
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. The Martian
5. Sicario

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Revenant
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Martian
5. Ex Machina

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Carol
4. Sicario
5. Bridge of Spies

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Spectre (Writing’s on the Wall)
2. The Hunting Ground (Til It Happens to You)
3. Youth (Simple Song #3)
4. Racing Extinction (Manta Ray)
5. Fifty Shades of Grey (Earned It)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Amy
2. Cartel Land
3. The Look of Silence
4. Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom
5. What Happened, Miss Simone?

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. A War
4. Theeb
5. Embrace of the Serpent

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Sanjay’s Super Team
2. World of Tomorrow
3. Prologue
4. We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
5. Bear Story

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. Body Team 12
2. Claude Lanzmann: Specters of the Shoah
3. Last Day of Freedom
4. Chau, Beyond the Lines
5. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Ave Maria
2. Shok
3. Day One
4. Stutterer
5. Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)

Stay tuned for my final set of Academy Award predictions next week!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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