Hollywood Contenders: A first crack at Golden Globe predictions for 2016

Now that we’re getting into the heart of the fall months and about to enter what is essentially the tail end of the 2016 movie release season, I wanted to take my first official crack this season at some Golden Globe predictions. I’ll be mixing these in with Oscar predictions going forward, but early Globe picks are always interesting to me, especially since sometimes you’re still guessing category placement and just what the tastes of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will look like at the time. They’re almost impossible to accurately guess off the bat the first time around, but that little factoid has yet to stop me from trying all the same. Here goes nothing folks!

What you’ll notice below is that things more or less reflect how I see the Academy Awards going, but with some slight changes here and there. Obviously, the Comedy or Musical categories open things up to some other contenders, though we won’t know for a bit still how certain contenders will decide to compete. I’m also opting to still keep The Birth of a Nation on the sidelines until things are resolved there, along with backing off on a qualifying run for Live by Night (which just debuted a very solid Trailer, more on that soon) until something more official is revealed. Silence is a question mark, but for now, I’ll leave it in, since I have it doing pretty well. Enough talk though…

Emma Stone LA LA Land
Here you go folks, my initial look at how the Golden Globe awards could shape up:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. Silence
2. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
3. Manchester by the Sea
4. Loving
5. Sully

If there’s a sixth: Lion

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. La La Land
2. 20th Century Women
3. Florence Foster Jenkins
4. The Nice Guys
5. The Lobster

If there’s a sixth: Everybody Wants Some

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2. Michael Keaton – The Founder
3. Chris Pratt – Passengers
4. Tom Hanks – Sully
5. Denzel Washington – Fences

If there’s a sixth: Dev Patel – Lion

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
2. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
3. Colin Farrell – The Lobster
4. Russell Crowe – The Nice Guys
5. Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool

If there’s a sixth: Ryan Gosling – The Nice Guys

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers
2. Amy Adams – Arrival or Nocturnal Animals
3. Ruth Negga – Loving
4. Viola Davis – Fences
5. Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane

If there’s a sixth: Emily Blunt – The Girl on the Train

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
3. Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Sally Field – Hello My Name is Doris
5. Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship

If there’s a sixth: Tina Fey – Whiskey Tango Foxtrot

Best Supporting Actor

1. Liam Neeson – Silence
2. Steve Martin – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
3. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
5. John Goodman – 10 Cloverfield Lane

If there’s a sixth: Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals

Best Supporting Actress

1. Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
2. Elle Fanning – 20th Century Women
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Laura Linney – Nocturnal Animals

If there’s a sixth: Kate McKinnon – Ghostbusters

Best Director

1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
3, Ang Lee – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
4. Martin Scorsese – Silence
5. Denzel Washington – Fences

If there’s a sixth: Clint Eastwood – Sully

Best Screenplay

1. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
2. La La Land
3. Manchester by the Sea
4. Silence
5. 20th Century Women

If there’s a sixth: Loving

Best Animated Feature

1. Zootopia
2. Kubo and the Two Strings
3. Finding Dory
4. Sausage Party
5. Moana

Best Original Score

1. Arrival
2. Silence
3. The BFG
4. The Light Between Oceans
5. The Founder

Best Original Song

1. La La Land
2. Sing Street
3. Snowden
4. Sausage Party
5. Audrie & Daisy

Best Foreign Film

1. Toni Erdmann
2. The Salesman
3. It’s Only the End of the World
4. Elle
5. Graduation

Ryan Gosling dark shot
Stay tuned for a new set of Oscar predictions later on this month (possibly as soon as next week) as well as another update to these Golden Globe predictions sometime next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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