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Hollywood Contenders: A second crack at Golden Globe predictions for 2016

Natalie Portman in Jackie
Oh the irony. I’m updating these Golden Globe predictions mere hours before I see Ang Lee’s film Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk. The Globes are always an inexact science, just more so today for me. Still, we press on, since I’m due for an update. What might the Hollywood Foreign Press Association be thinking this year? Will they fall in line and anoint Damien Chazelle’s La La Land? Will they go in a completely different direction? We’re closing in on the time where the first precursors will begin to chime in and set the tone. As such, I thought it was apt to speculate on the thoughts of the HFPA and update these Globe predictions.

What you’ll potentially be able to see below is that I’ve begun to factor Ben Affleck’s Live By Night back into the race. Essentially, it’s either that or Clint Eastwood’s Sully as the Warner Brothers horse, so we’ll have to wait and see which one gets the real push. Aside from the impending Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk reveal, we’re still waiting on Fences, Live By Night, and Silence to screen for the first time. Other than that, everything has pretty much been seen. La La Land appears to be the big juggernaut, though watch out for Jackie, which is beginning to come on really strong. There’s some tinkering with my predictions to be seen below, so take a look…

Here now are my current Golden Globe predictions:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. Fences
2. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
3. Lion
4. Jackie
5. Manchester by the Sea

If there’s a sixth: Live By Night

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. La La Land
2. 20th Century Women
3. Florence Foster Jenkins
4. The Nice Guys
5. The Lobster

If there’s a sixth: Captain Fantastic

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Chris Pratt – Passengers
4. Tom Hanks – Sully
5. Dev Patel – Lion

If there’s a sixth: Ben Affleck – Live By Night

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
2. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
3. Colin Farrell – The Lobster
4. Russell Crowe – The Nice Guys
5. Robert De Niro – The Comedian

If there’s a sixth: Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Natalie Portman – Jackie
2. Viola Davis – Fences
3. Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers
4. Amy Adams – Arrival or Nocturnal Animals
5. Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane

If there’s a sixth: Ruth Negga – Loving

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
3. Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Sally Field – Hello My Name is Doris
5. Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship

If there’s a sixth: Tina Fey – Whiskey Tango Foxtrot

Best Supporting Actor

1. Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
2. Liam Neeson – Silence
3. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
5. John Goodman – 10 Cloverfield Lane

If there’s a sixth: Steve Martin – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Best Supporting Actress

1. Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
2. Elle Fanning – 20th Century Women or Live By Night
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Laura Linney – Nocturnal Animals

If there’s a sixth: Naomie Harris – Moonlight

Best Director

1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Ang Lee – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
4. Martin Scorsese – Silence
5. Pablo Larrain – Jackie

If there’s a sixth: Ben Affleck – Live By Night

Best Screenplay

1. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
2. La La Land
3. Manchester by the Sea
4. Jackie
5. Live By Night

If there’s a sixth: 20th Century Women

Best Animated Feature

1. Zootopia
2. Kubo and the Two Strings
3. Finding Dory
4. Sausage Party
5. Moana

If there’s a sixth: The Red Turtle

Best Original Score

1. Arrival
2. Jackie
3. The BFG
4. Silence
5. Live By Night

If there’s a sixth: The Light Between Oceans

Best Original Song

1. La La Land
2. Sing Street
3. Sausage Party
4. Snowden
5. Audrie & Daisy

If there’s a sixth: Moana

Best Foreign Film

1. Toni Erdmann
2. The Salesman
3. Elle
4. Neruda
5. It’s Only the End of the World

If there’s a sixth: Graduation

Stay tuned for an update to my Oscar predictions next week and another Globe update next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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