Hollywood Contenders: A third crack at Golden Globe predictions for 2016
As you might imagine, when it becomes crunch time for Oscar predictions, the same can be said for ones for the Golden Globe awards. As such, I’ve put out a new set of predictions for the Globes. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (or HFPA) will have their vote, which in turn will help with perception about the Academy Awards. Obviously, it’s more perception than anything else, but occasionally, perception can become reality. For now though, we’re just focusing on what will get nominated. As an added bonus, this year actually features some real musical contenders, which doesn’t always happen. More on that shortly though. I just wanted to set it up for this new update to the predictions.
Below you will see what I think the Globe voters will do this time around. The HFPA usually goes for celebrity over anything else, at least in certain categories, so you have to adjust a bit for that. Still, overt quality does generally shine through. Mostly what is notable with this update is how category placement has shook out for some contenders. That, and we probably can confirm that Fences should find a spot in the Drama categories. La La Land likely is still almost a sure thing in Musical/Comedy, so that remains unchanged. You’ll see what I mean though, starting momentarily…
Here now is my newest set of Golden Globe predictions:
Best Picture (Drama)
1. Fences
2. Lion
3. Jackie
4. Manchester by the Sea
5. Live By Night
If there’s a sixth: Loving
Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)
1. La La Land
2. 20th Century Women
3. Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Rules Don’t Apply
5. The Lobster
If there’s a sixth: Captain Fantastic
Best Actor (Drama)
1. Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Chris Pratt – Passengers
4. Tom Hanks – Sully
5. Joel Edgerton – Loving
If there’s a sixth: Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)
1. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
2. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
3. Warren Beatty – Rules Don’t Apply
4. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
5. Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool
If there’s a sixth: Colin Farrell – The Lobster
Best Actress (Drama)
1. Natalie Portman – Jackie
2. Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers
3. Amy Adams – Arrival or Nocturnal Animals
4. Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane
5. Ruth Negga – Loving
If there’s a sixth: Isabelle Huppert – Elle
Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)
1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
3. Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Sally Field – Hello My Name is Doris
5. Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship
If there’s a sixth: Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen
Best Supporting Actor
1. Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
2. Liam Neeson – Silence
3. Peter Sarsgaard – Jackie
4. Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
5. Dev Patel – Lion
If there’s a sixth: John Goodman – 10 Cloverfield Lane
Best Supporting Actress
1. Viola Davis – Fences
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
3. Naomie Harris – Moonlight
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Helen Mirren – Eye in the Sky
If there’s a sixth: Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Best Director
1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Pablo Larrain – Jackie
4. Martin Scorsese – Silence
5. Ben Affleck – Live By Night
If there’s a sixth: Mike Mills – 20th Century Women
Best Screenplay
1. Manchester by the Sea
2. La La Land
3. Jackie
4. 20th Century Women
5. Live By Night
If there’s a sixth: Fences
Best Animated Feature
1. Zootopia
2. Kubo and the Two Strings
3. Moana
4. Sausage Party
5. Finding Dory
If there’s a sixth: The Red Turtle
Best Original Score
1. Arrival
2. Jackie
3. The BFG
4. Silence
5. Live By Night
If there’s a sixth: The Light Between Oceans
Best Original Song
1. La La Land
2. Sing Street
3. Moana
4. Snowden
5. Sausage Party
If there’s a sixth: Audrie & Daisy
Best Foreign Film
1. Toni Erdmann
2. Elle
3. The Salesman
4. Neruda
5. It’s Only the End of the World
If there’s a sixth: Graduation
Stay tuned for another set of Globe predictions next month!
