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Hollywood Contenders: A third crack at Golden Globe predictions for 2016

Ryan Gosling Emma Stone
As you might imagine, when it becomes crunch time for Oscar predictions, the same can be said for ones for the Golden Globe awards. As such, I’ve put out a new set of predictions for the Globes. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (or HFPA) will have their vote, which in turn will help with perception about the Academy Awards. Obviously, it’s more perception than anything else, but occasionally, perception can become reality. For now though, we’re just focusing on what will get nominated. As an added bonus, this year actually features some real musical contenders, which doesn’t always happen. More on that shortly though. I just wanted to set it up for this new update to the predictions.

Below you will see what I think the Globe voters will do this time around. The HFPA usually goes for celebrity over anything else, at least in certain categories, so you have to adjust a bit for that. Still, overt quality does generally shine through. Mostly what is notable with this update is how category placement has shook out for some contenders. That, and we probably can confirm that Fences should find a spot in the Drama categories. La La Land likely is still almost a sure thing in Musical/Comedy, so that remains unchanged. You’ll see what I mean though, starting momentarily…

Here now is my newest set of Golden Globe predictions:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. Fences
2. Lion
3. Jackie
4. Manchester by the Sea
5. Live By Night

If there’s a sixth: Loving

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. La La Land
2. 20th Century Women
3. Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Rules Don’t Apply
5. The Lobster

If there’s a sixth: Captain Fantastic

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Chris Pratt – Passengers
4. Tom Hanks – Sully
5. Joel Edgerton – Loving

If there’s a sixth: Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
2. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
3. Warren Beatty – Rules Don’t Apply
4. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
5. Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool

If there’s a sixth: Colin Farrell – The Lobster

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Natalie Portman – Jackie
2. Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers
3. Amy Adams – Arrival or Nocturnal Animals
4. Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane
5. Ruth Negga – Loving

If there’s a sixth: Isabelle Huppert – Elle

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
3. Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Sally Field – Hello My Name is Doris
5. Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship

If there’s a sixth: Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen

Best Supporting Actor

1. Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
2. Liam Neeson – Silence
3. Peter Sarsgaard – Jackie
4. Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
5. Dev Patel – Lion

If there’s a sixth: John Goodman – 10 Cloverfield Lane

Best Supporting Actress

1. Viola Davis – Fences
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
3. Naomie Harris – Moonlight
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Helen Mirren – Eye in the Sky

If there’s a sixth: Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Best Director

1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Pablo Larrain – Jackie
4. Martin Scorsese – Silence
5. Ben Affleck – Live By Night

If there’s a sixth: Mike Mills – 20th Century Women

Best Screenplay

1. Manchester by the Sea
2. La La Land
3. Jackie
4. 20th Century Women
5. Live By Night

If there’s a sixth: Fences

Best Animated Feature

1. Zootopia
2. Kubo and the Two Strings
3. Moana
4. Sausage Party
5. Finding Dory

If there’s a sixth: The Red Turtle

Best Original Score

1. Arrival
2. Jackie
3. The BFG
4. Silence
5. Live By Night

If there’s a sixth: The Light Between Oceans

Best Original Song

1. La La Land
2. Sing Street
3. Moana
4. Snowden
5. Sausage Party

If there’s a sixth: Audrie & Daisy

Best Foreign Film

1. Toni Erdmann
2. Elle
3. The Salesman
4. Neruda
5. It’s Only the End of the World

If there’s a sixth: Graduation

Stay tuned for another set of Globe predictions next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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