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“The Papers” from Steven Spielberg: Updated Oscar predictions for June

As temperatures rise, it may seem a bit silly to be thinking about what the Academy could do in the middle of the winter. Still, that’s what I do, so with the New York Film Festival announcing their Opening Night Selection, now feels like a good point to check in on Oscar. We’re still another month or so away from really having any sense of what the first half of the year has to offer, in terms of Oscars. Honestly, the only thing that so far seems like it could last the rest of the season is Brett Haley’s The Hero, specifically for Sam Elliott’s lead performance. He could certainly score a nomination in Best Actor. Aside from that, it’s looking like 2017 will be a second half sort of year.

This time around, there’s some upward movement for Alexander Payne’s Downsizing, the inclusion of Richard Linklater’s Last Flag Flying, and a few other tinkers. There’s also Steven Spielberg’s Pentagon Papers project going to the new title of The Papers, after having previously been called The Post. My big limb in Best Picture so far continues to be James Franco’s The Disaster Artist, which A24 is going to try to push towards an unconventional nomination. So much is in flux, this is all still very much a shot in the dark. By the end of the summer, hopefully we’ll have a better sense of what’s what. In the meantime, enjoy these new picks for the month…

Here now are some updated Oscar predictions:


1. The Papers
2. Dunkirk
3. Darkest Hour
4. Downsizing
5. Detroit
6. Phantom Thread
7. Molly’s Game
8. The Greatest Showman
9. Last Flag Flying
10. The Disaster Artist

Next in line: 11. Suburbicon 12. Call Me By Your Name 13. Battle of the Sexes 14. The Current War 15. Mother!The Beguiled 16. The Beguiled 17. Mudbound 18. Stronger 19. The Glass Castle 20. Wonder Wheel 21. The Big Sick 22. Thank You For Your Service 23. Wind River 24. 25. The Hero 26. Wonderstruck 27. Marshall 28. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 29. The Silent Man 30. The Florida Project


1. Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
2. Steven Spielberg – The Papers
3. Joe Wright – Darkest Hour
4. Kathryn Bigelow – Detroit
5. Alexander Payne – Downsizing

Next in line: 6. Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread 7. George Clooney – Suburbicon 8. Darren Aronofsky – Mother! 9. Todd Haynes – Wonderstruck 10. Sofia Coppola – The Beguiled


1. Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
2. Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
3. Tom Hanks – The Papers
4. Matt Damon – Downsizing
5. Sam Elliott – The Hero

Next in line: 6. Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman (or Logan) 7. Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger 8. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War 9. Liam Neeson – The Silent Man 10. Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here


1. Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game
2. Jennifer Lawrence – Mother!
3. Meryl Streep – The Papers
4. Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
5. Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes

Next in line: 6. Rooney Mara – Mary Madelene 7. Carey Mulligan – Mudbound 8. Tatiana Maslany – Stronger 9. Kristen Wiig – Downsizing 10. Brie Larson – The Glass Castle


1. Bruce Dern – Chappaquiddick
2. Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
3. James Franco – The Disaster Artist
4. Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes (or Last Flag Flying)
5. Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle

Next in line: 6. Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game 7. Ray Romano – The Big Sick 8. Michael Shannon – The Current War 9. Jason Mitchell – Mudbound 10. Mark Hamill – Star Wars: The Last Jedi


1. Michelle Pfeiffer – Mother!
2. Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman (or Wonderstruck)
3. Kate Mara – Chappaquiddick
4. Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel
5. Katherine Waterston – The Current War

Next in line: 6. Kirsten Dunst – The Beguiled 7. Mary J. Blige – Mudbound 8. Carrie Fisher – Star Wars: The Last Jedi 9. Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled 10. Zoe Kazan – The Big Sick


1. Mother!
2. Downsizing
3. The Papers
4. Detroit
5. The Big Sick

Next in line: 6. Darkest Hour 7. Dunkirk 8. Phantom Thread 9. Wind River 10. Battle of the Sexes


1. Molly’s Game
2. The Disaster Artist
3. Mudbound
4. Call Me By Your Name
5. Thank You For Your Service

Next in line: 6. The Beguiled 7. The Glass Castle 8. Wonderstruck 9. Stronger 10. Last Flag Flying


1. Coco
2. The LEGO Batman Movie
3. Cars 3
4. Ferdinand
5. The LEGO Ninjago Movie

Next in line: 6. Despicable Me 3 7. Blazing Samurai 8. Captain Underpants 9. Leap! 10. The Boss Baby


1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Beauty and the Beast
4. Phantom Thread
5. Darkest Hour

Next in line: 6. The Greatest Showman 7. The Beguiled 8. Battle of the Sexes 9. The Current War 10. Blade Runner 2046


1. Dunkirk
2. Blade Runner 2049
3. Phantom Thread
4. Wonderstruck
5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Next in line: 6. Detroit 7. Downsizing 8. Mother! 9. The Greatest Showman 10. Darkest Hour


1. Phantom Thread
2. Dunkirk
3. The Beguiled
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. The Greatest Showman

Next in line: 6. Mudbound 7. Beauty and the Beast 8. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 9. Blade Runner 2046 10. The Lost City of Z


1. Dunkirk
2. The Papers
3. Detroit
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. Downsizing

Next in line: 6. Darkest Hour 7. Blade Runner 2046 8. Mother! 9. Phantom Thread 10. Wonderstruck


1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2
3. Phantom Thread

Next in line: 4. Logan 5. The Lost City of Z 6. Spider-Man: Homecoming 7. Justice League 8. Thor: Ragnorak


1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming
4. Detroit
5. Blade Runner 2046

Next in line: 6. Justice League 7. Kong: Skull Island 8. Thor: Ragnorak 9. War for the Planet of the Apes 10. Alien: Covenant


1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Detroit
4. Spider-Man: Homecoming
5. Blade Runner 2046

Next in line: 6. Justice League 7. Kong: Skull Island 8. Thor: Ragnorak 9. War for the Planet of the Apes 10. Alien: Covenant


1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
2. Dunkirk
3. War for the Planet of the Apes
4. Downsizing
5. Thor: Ragnorak

Next in line: 6. Blade Runner 2046 7. Wonder Woman 8. Justice League 9. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets 10. Alien: Covenant


1. Dunkirk
2. Wonderstruck
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
4. Mother!
5. The Papers

Next in line: 6. Blade Runner 2046 7. Phantom Thread 8. Downsizing 9. Darkest Hour 10. The Current War


1. The Greatest Showman
2. The Hero
3. Coco
4. Beauty and the Beast
5. Fifty Shades Darker

Next in line: 6. The Greatest Showman 7. The LEGO Batman Movie 8. ? 9. ? 10. ?


1. Risk
2. An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power
3. Cries from Syria
4. Last Men in Aleppo
5. Nobody Speak: Hulk Hogan, Gawker and Trials of a Free Press


1. BPM: Beats Per Minute
2. Loveless
3. The Square
4. Happy Ending
5. Nobody’s Watching


1. Olaf’s Frozen Adventure
2. Lou
3. ???
4. ???
5. ???





Stay tuned for an update to these still rather early Oscar predictions at the beginning of next month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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