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A final crack at Golden Globe nominations before Thursday’s announcement

In just a few days, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will clue us all in to the nominees for the 76th annual Golden Globe Awards. The HFPA will put forward their Globe nominees and that will mark an important moment in the early precursor season. Though there isn’t Academy Award crossover, the Golden Globes help establish what a voter should pay extra attention to. In that way, there’s importance, Oscar wise. Knowledge is power, folks, so take the information where you can. We’ve discussed how and when and if the Globes impact Oscar, so that’s nothing new. It’s just something to keep in mind when considering what the nominations will look like.

Below you can see who and what I think the Globe nominees will ultimately be. Look for Bradley Cooper’s A Star Is Born, Peter Farrelly’s Green Book, and Adam McKay’s Vice to be among the most cited things on Thursday morning by the HFPA. Watch out as well for Yorgos Lanthimos’ The Favourite and Rob Marshall’s Mary Poppins Returns to potentially do really well too. Another question to watch out for an answer to will be how much Damien Chazelle’s First Man will suffer, due to its limited box office haul. We’ll find out in a few days, but for now, take a look at my predictions and see what I believe will happen…

Here now is my best guess at what the HFPA will do when Golden Globe nominations are announced on Thursday:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. A Star Is Born
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. BlacKkKlansman
4. First Man
5. Black Panther

If there’s a sixth: A Quiet Place
If there’s a seventh: Can You Ever Forgive Me?
One more to consider: Boy Erased

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. Green Book
2. Vice
3. The Favourite
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. Crazy Rich Asians

If there’s a sixth: Eighth Grade
If there’s a seventh: Stan & Ollie
One more to consider: Tully

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
2. Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
3. Ryan Gosling – First Man
4. John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman
5. Ethan Hawke – First Reformed

If there’s a sixth: Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
If there’s a seventh: Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
One more to consider: Chadwick Boseman – Black Panther

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Christian Bale – Vice
2. Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
3. John C. Reilly – Stan & Ollie
4. Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun
5. Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool 2

If there’s a sixth: Lin Manuel-Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns
If there’s a seventh: Lakeith Stanfield – Sorry to Bother You
One more to consider: Steve Coogen –Stan & Ollie

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
2. Glenn Close – The Wife
3. Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
4. Julia Roberts – Ben is Back
5. Natalie Portman – Vox Lux

If there’s a sixth: Carey Mulligan – Wildlife
If there’s a seventh: Felicity Jones – On the Basis of Sex
One more to consider: Toni Collette – Hereditary

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
2. Olivia Colman – The Favourite
3. Charlize Theron – Tully
4. Constance Wu – Crazy Rich Asians
5. Rachel McAdams – Game Night

If there’s a sixth: Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
If there’s a seventh: Kathryn Hahn – Private Life
One more to consider: Sandra Bullock – Ocean’s Eight

Best Supporting Actor

1. Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
2. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
3. Mahershala Ali – Green Book
4. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
5. Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther

If there’s a sixth: Sam Rockwell – Vice
If there’s a seventh: Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
One more to consider: Nicholas Hoult – The Favourite

Best Supporting Actress

1. Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
2. Amy Adams – Vice
3. Claire Foy – First Man
4. Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
5. Emma Stone – The Favourite

If there’s a sixth: Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
If there’s a seventh: Michelle Yeoh – Crazy Rich Asians
One more to consider: Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place

Best Director

1. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
2. Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
3. Damien Chazelle – First Man
4. Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
5. Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite

If there’s a sixth: Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
If there’s a seventh: Peter Farrelly – Green Book
One more to consider: Rob Marshall – Mary Poppins Returns

Best Screenplay

1. The Favourite
2. Green Book
3. If Beale Street Could Talk
4. A Star Is Born
5. Roma

If there’s a sixth: First Man
If there’s a seventh: Vice
One more to consider: Sorry to Bother You

Best Animated Feature

1. Incredibles 2
2. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
3. Ralph Breaks the Internet
4. Isle of Dogs
5. Ruben Brandt, Collector

One more to consider: Early Man

Best Original Score

1. First Man
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. BlacKkKlansman
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. Suspiria

One more to consider: Widows

Best Original Song

1. A Star Is Born (Shallow)
2. Mary Poppins Returns (Trip a Little Light Fantastic)
3. Boy Erased (Revelation)
4. Black Panther (All The Stars)
5. Hearts Beat Loud (Hearts Beat Loud)

One more to consider: Mary Poppins Returns (Where The Lost Things Go)

Best Foreign Film

1. Roma
2. Cold War
3. Capernaum
4. Never Look Away
5. Shoplifters

One more to consider: Girl

Stay tuned for the Golden Globes to announce on Thursday!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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