A First Crack At Post Nomination Predictions For The Academy Awards

With a few days of space in the Oscar nominations were announced on Tuesday, it seems like a perfect time to dive into new predictions, right? Well, that’s just what is happening today. With full knowledge of who and what is in the running for wins, a whole new phase of the season begins. We’ll be seeing how the likes of BlacKkKlansman, Black Panther, Green Book, Roma, and A Star Is Born do up against each other as Best Picture nominees. More on that below, but actually making the lineup now has the titles plotting their next move, all in an effort to achieve Oscar glory.

For this first crack at picking what the Academy will do, it comes full well knowing that the Screen Actors Guild could switch things up this weekend. SAG has a chance to upend the race in a big way. Their version of Best Picture won’t have presumed front runner Roma in competition, so could a win for BlacKkKlansman or A Star Is Born set them up as the primary alternative for voters? What happens if Black Panther wins? Is it a bigger threat than expected? These are the things I’m pondering right now. This initial update is kind of a shot in the dark, so next week’s predictions should be at least slightly more rooted in fact. Until then…

Here now are my updated Oscar predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. Roma
2. BlacKkKlansman
3. Green Book
4. A Star Is Born
5. Black Panther
6. The Favourite
7. Vice
8. Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
2. Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
3. Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
4. Adam McKay – Vice
5. Paweł Pawlikowski – Cold War

BEST ACTOR

1. Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
2. Christian Bale – Vice
3. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
4. Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
5. Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate

BEST ACTRESS

1. Glenn Close – The Wife
2. Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
3. Olivia Colman – The Favourite
4. Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. Yalitza Aparicio – Roma

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Mahershala Ali – Green Book
2. Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
3. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
4. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
5. Sam Rockwell – Vice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
2. Amy Adams – Vice
3. Emma Stone – The Favourite
4. Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
5. Marina de Tavira – Roma

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. The Favourite
2. Roma
3. First Reformed
4. Vice
5. Green Book

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. BlacKkKlansman
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. A Star Is Born
4. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
2. Incredibles 2
3. Isle of Dogs
4. Mirai
5. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck It Ralph 2

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. The Favourite
2. Roma
3. Black Panther
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. First Man

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Roma
2. A Star Is Born
3. The Favourite
4. Cold War
5. Never Look Away

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Favourite
2. Black Panther
3. Mary Poppins Returns
4. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
5. Mary Queen of Scots

BEST FILM EDITING

1. BlacKkKlansman
2. Vice
3. The Favourite
4. Green Book
5. Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Vice
2. Mary Queen of Scots
3. Border

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. First Man
2. Black Panther
3. A Star Is Born
4. Roma
5. Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. First Man
2. Black Panther
3. Roma
4. A Quiet Place
5. Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Avengers: Infinity War
2. First Man
3. Ready Player One
4. Christopher Robin
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. If Beale Street Could Talk
2. BlacKkKlansman
3. Mary Poppins Returns
4. Black Panther
5. Isle of Dogs

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. A Star Is Born (Shallow)
2. Black Panther (All the Stars)
3. Mary Poppins Returns (Where The Lost Things Go)
4. RBG (I’ll Fight)
5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. RBG
2. Minding the Gap
3. Hale County This Morning, This Evening
4. Free Solo
5. Of Fathers And Sons

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Roma
2. Cold War
3. Capernaum
4. Never Look Away
5. Shoplifters

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Bao
2. Weekends
3. One Small Step
4. Late Afternoon
5. Animal Behaviour

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. End Game
2. Lifeboat
3. Black Sheep
4. A Night at the Garden
5. Period. End Of Sentence.

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Detainment
2. Skin
3. Mother
4. Marguerite
5. Fauve

Stay tuned for an update to these Academy Award picks next week!