Updated Academy Award Predictions As February Begins


In a few weeks, the Oscar telecast will be upon us. In the next day or so, I’ll be detailing why it may be the worst ceremony (show wise) ever, but for the moment, we can just focus on who and what might be taking home statues. The Academy Awards are coming and there’s still a large sense that a lot is currently in flux or undecided. That makes for a fun sense of unpredictability, though it does make my job harder. I’m up for the challenge though, that much goes without saying. So, time to dive in with a new set of predictions.

What you’ll see below are my current Oscar picks. It still seems like Roma is in a great position to take home both Best Picture and Best Director (for Alfonso Cuaron). It’s hard to figure out how Green Book is going to factor into Picture, so it doesn’t make sense to predict it for the win right now. Black Panther is surging after its Screen Actors Guild win in Best Ensemble, moving past BlacKkKlansman for the moment. A lot still has to be decided, as we have Guild awards coming up, in addition to BAFTA. That will help tell the tale more so than anything, at this point. Stay tuned there…

Here now are some new Academy Award predictions for February:

BEST PICTURE

1. Roma
2. Green Book
3. Black Panther
4. BlacKkKlansman
5. A Star Is Born
6. The Favourite
7. Bohemian Rhapsody
8. Vice

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
2. Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
3. Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
4. Adam McKay – Vice
5. Paweł Pawlikowski – Cold War

BEST ACTOR

1. Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
2. Christian Bale – Vice
3. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
4. Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
5. Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate

BEST ACTRESS

1. Glenn Close – The Wife
2. Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
3. Olivia Colman – The Favourite
4. Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. Yalitza Aparicio – Roma

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Mahershala Ali – Green Book
2. Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
3. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
4. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
5. Sam Rockwell – Vice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
2. Amy Adams – Vice
3. Emma Stone – The Favourite
4. Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
5. Marina de Tavira – Roma

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. The Favourite
2. Roma
3. Green Book
4. Vice
5. First Reformed

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. BlacKkKlansman
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. A Star Is Born
4. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
2. Incredibles 2
3. Isle of Dogs
4. Mirai
5. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck It Ralph 2

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. The Favourite
2. Roma
3. Black Panther
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. First Man

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Roma
2. A Star Is Born
3. The Favourite
4. Cold War
5. Never Look Away

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Favourite
2. Black Panther
3. Mary Poppins Returns
4. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
5. Mary Queen of Scots

BEST FILM EDITING

1. BlacKkKlansman
2. Vice
3. The Favourite
4. Green Book
5. Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Vice
2. Mary Queen of Scots
3. Border

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Black Panther
2. A Star Is Born
3. Bohemian Rhapsody
4. Roma
5. First Man

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Black Panther
2. Bohemian Rhapsody
3. Roma
4. First Man
5. A Quiet Place

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. First Man
2. Avengers: Infinity War
3. Ready Player One
4. Christopher Robin
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. If Beale Street Could Talk
2. BlacKkKlansman
3. Mary Poppins Returns
4. Black Panther
5. Isle of Dogs

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. A Star Is Born (Shallow)
2. Black Panther (All the Stars)
3. Mary Poppins Returns (Where The Lost Things Go)
4. RBG (I’ll Fight)
5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. RBG
2. Free Solo
3. Minding the Gap
4. Hale County This Morning, This Evening
5. Of Fathers And Sons

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Roma
2. Cold War
3. Never Look Away
4. Capernaum
5. Shoplifters

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Bao
2. Weekends
3. One Small Step
4. Late Afternoon
5. Animal Behaviour

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. Period. End Of Sentence.
2. A Night at the Garden
3. End Game
4. Lifeboat
5. Black Sheep

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Detainment
2. Skin
3. Marguerite
4. Mother
5. Fauve


Stay tuned for an update to these Academy Award picks next week!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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