Updated Academy Award Predictions After ACE Eddie, ADG, Annie, and DGA Results


We’re careening towards the Oscars, ladies and gentlemen. A little over two weeks from now, Academy Award winners will be crowned and we’ll be on to next season. Seems crazy, doesn’t it? Well, with almost every precursor having chimed in by now, that’s where we stand. As such, it’s time for a weekly updated to my predictions. We still have a largely up in the air race for Best Picture, which you’ll see below, and that’s exciting. That’s not the only category, either. For a change, only a select few are wrapped up by now. There’s a genuine sense of uncertainty heading into Oscar night.

What follows is Academy Award predictions that are factoring in a number of the recent precursor results. With DGA backing Alfonso Cuaron and Roma, PGA going for Green Book, and SAG choosing Black Panther, there’s the distinct possibility that those are the three titles that Oscar voters are choosing between. BlacKkklansman or The Favourite has a chance to come up the middle and pull an upset, but they’ll need BAFTA to help out soon. It all remains very much in flux, and that’s a good thing. Embrace the chaos here in 2019, that’s what I say. A little suspense never hurt anyone, right?

Updated predictions, headed your way right now:

BEST PICTURE

1. Roma
2. Green Book
3. Black Panther
4. The Favourite
5. BlacKkKlansman
6. A Star Is Born
7. Bohemian Rhapsody
8. Vice

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
2. Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
3. Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
4. Adam McKay – Vice
5. Paweł Pawlikowski – Cold War

BEST ACTOR

1. Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
2. Christian Bale – Vice
3. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
4. Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
5. Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate

BEST ACTRESS

1. Glenn Close – The Wife
2. Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
3. Olivia Colman – The Favourite
4. Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
5. Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Mahershala Ali – Green Book
2. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
3. Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
4. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
5. Sam Rockwell – Vice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
2. Amy Adams – Vice
3. Marina de Tavira – Roma
4. Emma Stone – The Favourite
5. Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. The Favourite
2. Roma
3. Green Book
4. First Reformed
5. Vice

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. BlacKkKlansman
2. A Star Is Born
3. If Beale Street Could Talk
4. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
2. Incredibles 2
3. Isle of Dogs
4. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck It Ralph 2
5. Mirai

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. The Favourite
2. Black Panther
3. Roma
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. First Man

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Roma
2. A Star Is Born
3. The Favourite
4. Cold War
5. Never Look Away

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Black Panther
2. The Favourite
3. Mary Poppins Returns
4. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
5. Mary Queen of Scots

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Bohemian Rhapsody
2. The Favourite
3. BlacKkKlansman
4. Vice
5. Green Book

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Vice
2. Mary Queen of Scots
3. Border

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Black Panther
2. A Star Is Born
3. Bohemian Rhapsody
4. Roma
5. First Man

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Black Panther
2. Bohemian Rhapsody
3. Roma
4. First Man
5. A Quiet Place

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. First Man
2. Avengers: Infinity War
3. Ready Player One
4. Christopher Robin
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Black Panther
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. BlacKkKlansman
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. Isle of Dogs

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. A Star Is Born (Shallow)
2. Black Panther (All the Stars)
3. Mary Poppins Returns (Where The Lost Things Go)
4. RBG (I’ll Fight)
5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. RBG
2. Free Solo
3. Minding the Gap
4. Hale County This Morning, This Evening
5. Of Fathers And Sons

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Roma
2. Cold War
3. Never Look Away
4. Capernaum
5. Shoplifters

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Bao
2. Weekends
3. One Small Step
4. Late Afternoon
5. Animal Behaviour

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. Period. End Of Sentence.
2. A Night at the Garden
3. End Game
4. Lifeboat
5. Black Sheep

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Skin
2. Detainment
3. Fauve
4. Marguerite
5. Mother


Stay tuned for an update next week!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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