Palme d’Or predictions For Cannes 2019


This coming weekend, the 2019 Cannes Film Festival will hand out its annual awards, capped by the cover Palme d’Or prize. Taking this award can sometimes set a movie off on a path towards Oscar love. To be fair, Academy Award attention is hardly guaranteed when it comes to feted Cannes titles. Still, some early hardware can never hurt a potential contender. With some high profile filmmakers at the festival this year like Pedro Almodovar, Bong Joon-ho, the Dardenne Brothers, Jim Jarmusch, Terrence Malick, and of course, Quentin Tarantino, A-listers could very well end up with some gold before the weekend is out.

As a reminder, here is what is in competition this year at the Cannes Film Festival:

In Competition
“Pain and Glory,” Pedro Almodovar
“The Traitor,” Marco Bellocchio
“The Wild Goose Lake,” Diao Yinan
“Parasite,” Bong Joon-ho
“Young Ahmed,” Jean-Pierre Dardenne & Luc Dardenne
“Oh Mercy!,” Arnaud Desplechin
“Atlantique,” Mati Diop
“Matthias and Maxime,” Xavier Dolan
“Little Joe,” Jessica Hausner
“The Dead Don’t Die,” Jim Jarmusch
“Mektoub, My Love: Intermezzo,” Abdellatif Kechiche
“Sorry We Missed You,” Ken Loach
“Les Miserables,” Ladj Ly
“A Hidden Life,” Terrence Malick
“Bacurau,” Kleber Mendonça Filho & Juliano Dornelles
“The Whistlers,” Corneliu Porumboiu
“Frankie,” Ira Sachs
“Portrait of a Lady on Fire,” Céline Sciamma
“It Must Be Heaven,” Elia Suleiman
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Quentin Tarantino
“Sibyl,” Justine Triet

And then, this is what the top prize has gone to over the last 18 years:

2000 – “Dancer in the Dark”
2001 – “The Son’s Room”
2002 – “The Pianist”
2003 – “Elephant”
2004 – “Fahrenheit 9/11”
2005 – “The Child”
2006 – “The Wind That Shakes the Barley”
2007 – “4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days”
2008 – “The Class”
2009 – “The White Ribbon”
2010 – “Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives”
2011 – “The Tree of Life”
2012 – “Amour”
2013 – “Blue is the Warmest Colour”
2014 – “Winter Sleep”
2015 – “Dheepan”
2016 – “I, Daniel Blake”
2017 – “The Square”
2018 – “Shoplifters”


Let us get right down to it. Here are my 2019 Cannes predictions:

Palme d’Or

Prediction: Pain and Glory
Alternate: Parasite
Dark Horse: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Shocker: Les Misérables

Grand Prix

Prediction: Parasite
Alternate: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Dark Horse: Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Shocker: Sorry We Missed You

Director’s Prize

Prediction: Pedro Almodóvar for Pain and Glory
Alternate: Bong Joon-ho for Parasite
Dark Horse: Quentin Tarantino for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Shocker: Terrence Malick for A Hidden Life

Jury Prize

Prediction: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Alternate: A Hidden Life
Dark Horse: Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Shocker: Young Ahmed

Best Actor

Prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Alternate: Antonio Bandaras for Pain and Glory
Dark Horse: Idir Ben Addi for Young Ahmed
Shocker: Brad Pitt for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Best Actress

Prediction: Noémie Merlant for Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Alternate: Mama Sané for Atlantics
Dark Horse: Adèle Haenel for Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Shocker: Sonia Braga for Bacurau

Best Screenplay

Prediction: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Alternate: Pain and Glory
Dark Horse: Parasite
Shocker: A Hidden Life

My best guess is that Once Upon a Time in Hollywood wins something, while Pain and Glory fights it out for the Palme d’Or with Parasite. There’s also a chance that Les Misérables or Portrait of a Lady on Fire takes it too, lending to the extra air of unpredictability this year. Then, there’s Cannes mainstays who almost always find themselves in the thick of it with the Dardennes and Young Ahmed, not to mention Ken Loach’s Sorry We Missed You. Frankly, prizes could go anywhere and everywhere. The Dead Don’t Die is probably the longest of long shots. Aside from that? Your guess is as good as mine…


Stay tuned to see who and what wins prizes at the 2019 Cannes Film Festival!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He also contributes to several other film-related websites.

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