Updated Oscar Predictions For July

We’re knee deep in the summer now, my friends. With that, the blockbusters are almost all churned out, so the upcoming prestige pictures of the fall and winter are on the horizon. With the upcoming fall film festival lineups more or less set (more on that tomorrow), the movies looking for major Academy Award play seem to be positioning themselves for acclaim. Most remain to be seen, aside from one that opened today by a certain rebel auteur, but that’s part of the excitement. These predictions don’t have a ton of changes to them, but they hint at all of the possibilities to come.

This time around, there’s already a delay to report. The Woman in the Window has moved to 2020, taking Amy Adams out of the race. Plus, we have now seen Quentin Tarantino’s Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. Throw that into the hopper with Trailers having been released for all manner of contenders, from A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Ford v. Ferrari, Harriet, and Knives Out (not to mention Cats), and we have a race evolving. Right now, Tarantino’s epic seems like it could play well with voters, though of course Martin Scorsese’s The Irishman looms large for Netflix, along with Noah Baumbach’s Marriage Story, which the streaming giant is incredibly confident in. It’s going to be a fun awards season folks, I know that for sure…

Here now are my newest Oscar predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. The Irishman
3. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
4. Marriage Story
5. 1917
6. The Report
7. Lucy In The Sky
8. The Goldfinch
9. Ad Astra
10. Ford v. Ferrari

Next in line: 11. Knives Out 12. Harriet 13. The Laundromat 14. Untitled Roger Ailes Project 15. Untitled Todd Haynes Project 16. A Hidden Life 17. Little Women 18. Dolemite Is My Name 19. Rocketman 20. Jojo Rabbit 21. Parasite 22. Cats 23. Us 24. The King 25. The Two Popes 26. The Good Liar 27. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 28. Avengers: Endgame 29. Joker 30. Frozen 2

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
3. Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story
4. Sam Mendes – 1917
5. Marielle Heller – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Next in line: 6. James Mangold – Ford v. Ferrari 7. Rian Johnson – Knives Out 8. John Crowley – The Goldfinch 9. James Gray – Ad Astra 10. Scott Z. Burns – The Report

BEST ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Adam Driver – Marriage Story (or The Report)
3. Timothée Chalamet – The King
4. Eddie Murphy – Dolemite Is My Name
5. Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Next in line: 6. Robert De Niro – The Irishman 7. Taron Egerton – Rocketman 8. Antonio Banderas – Pain and Glory 9. Mark Ruffalo – Untitled Todd Haynes Project 10. Jonathan Pryce – The Two Popes

BEST ACTRESS

1. Cynthia Erivo – Harriet
2. Natalie Portman – Lucy In The Sky
3. Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story
4. Alfre Woodard – Clemency
5. Meryl Streep – The Laundromat

Next in line: 6. Cate Blanchett – Where’d You Go Bernadette? 7. Saoirse Ronan – Little Women 8. Helen Mirren – The Good Liar 9. Lupita Nyong’o – Us 10. Anne Hathaway – The Last Thing He Wanted

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Could Go Lead)
2. Al Pacino – The Irishman
3. John Lithgow – Untitled Roger Ailes Project
4. Matthew Rhys – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
5. Ben Mendelsohn – The King

Next in line: 6. Joe Pesci – The Irishman 7. Wesley Snipes – Dolemite Is My Name 8. John Hamm – Lucy In The Sky 9. Willem Dafoe – The Last Thing He Wanted 10. Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Annette Bening – The Report
2. Laura Dern – Marriage Story
3. Nicole Kidman – The Goldfinch
4. Charlize Theron – Untitled Roger Ailes Project
5. Jennifer Hudson – Cats

Next in line: 6. Margot Robbie – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 7. Zazie Beetz – Lucy In The Sky 8. Emma Watson – Little Women 9. Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey 10. Janelle Monae – Harriet

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Marriage Story
2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
3. The Report
4. Knives Out
5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Next in line: 6. Dolemite Is My Name 7. The Farewell 8. The Pope 9. Lucy In The Sky 10. Ad Astra

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Irishman
2. The Goldfinch
3. Little Women
4. Jojo Rabbit
5. The Laundromat

Next in line: 6. Toy Story 4 7. Cats 8. Where’d You Go, Bernadette? 9. The Last Thing He Wanted 10. Avengers: Endgame

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Toy Story 4
2. Frozen 2
3. Klaus
4. Missing Link
5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

Next in line: 6. I Lost My Body 7. The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part 8. The Addams Family 9. The Secret Life of Pets 2 10. Shaun the Sheep 2

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. The Irishman
3. Dolemite Is My Name
4. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
5. Ad Astra

Next in line: 6. Ford v. Ferrari 7. Cats 8. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 9. The Goldfinch 10. Avengers: Endgame

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. 1917
3. Ad Astra
4. The Irishman
5. The Goldfinch

Next in line: 6. A Hidden Life 7. Knives Out 8. Ford v. Ferrari 9. Harriet 10. Cats

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Rocketman
3. Downton Abbey
4. The Irishman
5. Dolemite Is My Name

Next in line: 6. Harriet 7. Little Women 8. Aladdin 9. The King 10. Dumbo

BEST FILM EDITING

1. The Irishman
2. Marriage Story
3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
4. Ford v. Ferrari
5. Star Wars Episode IX

Next in line: 6. 1917 7. Ad Astra 8. Avengers: Endgame 9. The Goldfinch 10. Knives Out

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Rocketman
2. Cats
3. Dolemite Is My Name

Next in line: 4. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 6. Gemini Man 7. Avengers: Endgame 8. The Dead Don’t Die

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Rocketman
2. Avengers: Endgame
3. Cats
4. Ad Astra
5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Next in line: 6. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 7. Ford v. Ferrari 8. 1917 9. Toy Story 4 10. The Lion King

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Avengers: Endgame
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
3. Ad Astra
4. Ford v. Ferrari
5. Rocketman

Next in line: 6. Cats 7. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 8. Spider-Man: Far From Home 9. 1917 10. Captain Marvel

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. The Lion King
2. The Irishman
3. Star Wars Episode IX
4. Avengers: Endgame
5. Ad Astra

Next in line: 6. Spider-Man: Far From Home 7. Gemini Man 8. Captain Marvel 9. The Aeronauts 10. Aladdin

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Ad Astra
2. Star Wars Episode IX
3. The Irishman
4. 1917
5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Next in line: 6. Harriet 7. The Goldfinch 8. Toy Story 4 9. Ford v. Ferrari 10. Avengers: Endgame

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Frozen 2
2. Cats
3. Toy Story 4
4. Aladdin
5. The Lion King

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BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Knock Down the House
2. Apollo 11
3. Cold Case Hammarskjöld
4. Ask Dr. Ruth
5. Wrestle

Next in line: 6. Maiden 7. Love, Antosha 8. Marianne & Leonard: Words Of Love 9. Hail Satan? 10. Memory: The Origins of Alien

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Parasite
2. Pain and Glory
3. Young Ahmed
4. Portrait of a Lady on Fire
5. Atlantique

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BEST ANIMATED SHORT

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BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

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Stay tuned for another update early on next month!