Taking A First Crack At Golden Globe Predictions

I wind up repeating myself every year, but I’m going to start things off for these 2019 predictions in the same way. As you all know, one of the glitziest precursors out there is the Golden Globe Awards. They may not be incredibly influential, Oscar wise, but they definitely factor into the race. This is just a fact of the matter. It’s an interesting situation, one we’ve detailed in the past. As such, the Globes get more than their due, for better or worse. Today, I wanted to take an initial crack at predictions for the award, starting a bit earlier than usual, pairing them soon with my standard Academy Award predictions. A lot of this is even bigger guesswork now than previously, as you’ll see below. Still, it’s always worth a shot, right? Exactly. I knew you’d agree with me. Now, we can move on to the actual Globe picks…

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (or HFPA) do favor celebrities, while following the beat of their own drummer, so it pays to always look at big flashy productions. That could give Martin Scorsese’s The Irishman an edge over Noah Baumbach’s Marriage Story in Best Picture (Drama). That being said, discount James Mangold’s Ford v. Ferrari at your own peril. In the Musical/Comedy section, one assumes that Quentin Tarantino’s Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood will steamroll. If it does, one might assume that it could be setting itself up for a nice haul from the Academy as well. More below, so take a look!

Here now is a first look at my Golden Globe predictions for 2019:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. The Irishman
2. Marriage Story
3. 1917
4. Ford v. Ferrari
5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

If there’s a sixth: The Goldfinch
If there’s a seventh: Joker
One more to consider: The Farewell

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
2. Jojo Rabbit
3. Rocketman
4. Cats
5. Uncut Gems

If there’s a sixth: The Laundromat
If there’s a seventh: Blinded by the Light
One more to consider: The Peanut Butter Falcon

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Adam Driver – Marriage Story
2. Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
3. Eddie Murphy – Dolemite is My Name
4. Antonio Bandaras – Pain and Glory
5. Robert De Niro – The Irishman

If there’s a sixth: Matt Damon – Ford v. Ferrari
If there’s a seventh: Joaquin Phoenix – Joker
One more to consider: Mark Ruffalo – Dark Waters

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Taron Egerton – Rocketman
3. Himesh Patel – Yesterday
4. Will Smith – Aladdin
5. Adam Sandler – Uncut Gems

If there’s a sixth: Daniel Craig – Knives Out
If there’s a seventh: Seth Rogen – Long Shot
One more to consider: Jesse Eisenberg – The Art of Self-Defense

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story
2. Cynthia Erivo – Harriet
3. Natalie Portman – Lucy In The Sky
4. Saoirse Ronan – Little Women
5. Alfre Woodard – Clemency

If there’s a sixth: Awkwafina – The Farewell
If there’s a seventh: Lupita Nyong’o – Us
One more to consider: Florence Pugh – Midsommar

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Renée Zellweger – Judy
2. Charlize Theron – Long Shot
3. Emma Thompson – Late Night
4. Kaitlyn Dever – Booksmart
5. Jillian Bell – Brittany Runs a Marathon

If there’s a sixth: Beanie Feldstein – Booksmart
If there’s a seventh: Naomi Scott – Aladdin
One more to consider: Cate Blanchett – Where’d You Go, Bernadette

Best Supporting Actor

1. Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Al Pacino – The Irishman
3. Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit
4. Christian Bale – Ford v. Ferrari
5. Joe Pesci – The Irishman

If there’s a sixth: John Lithgow – Bombshell
If there’s a seventh: Matthew Rhys – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
One more to consider: Robert Downey Jr. – Avengers: Endgame

Best Supporting Actress

1. Annette Bening – The Report
2. Laura Dern – Marriage Story
3. Nicole Kidman – The Goldfinch
4. Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey
5. Margot Robbie – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

If there’s a sixth: Charlize Theron – Bombshell
If there’s a seventh: Jennifer Hudson – Cats
One more to consider: Anna Paquin – The Irishman

Best Director

1. Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
3. Sam Mendes – 1917
4. Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story
5. James Mangold – Ford v. Ferrari

If there’s a sixth: Marielle Heller – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
If there’s a seventh: John Crowley – The Goldfinch
One more to consider: Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit

Best Screenplay

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. The Irishman
3. Jojo Rabbit
4. Marriage Story
5. The Farewell

If there’s a sixth: Knives Out
If there’s a seventh: The Laundromat
One more to consider: A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Best Animated Feature

1. Toy Story 4
2. Frozen 2
3. Klaus
4. Missing Link
5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

One more to consider: Shaun the Sheep 2

Best Original Score

1. Ad Astra
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
3. The Irishman
4. 1917
5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

One more to consider: Avengers: Endgame

Best Original Song

1. Frozen 2
2. Cats
3. Toy Story 4
4. Aladdin
5. The Lion King

One more to consider: Judy

Best Foreign Film

1. Parasite
2. Pain and Glory
3. Portrait of a Lady on Fire
4. Atlantique
5. Monas

One more to consider: The Projectionist

Stay tuned for updated Oscar predictions and another Golden Globe update very soon!