Updated Oscar Predictions For Early October


Believe it or not, nearly every single Academy Award hopeful has screened by now. Think about it for a second. Martin Scorsese’s The Irishman screened two weeks ago at the New York Film Festival. That left only Greta Gerwig’s Little Women, Todd Haynes’ Dark Waters, Tom Hooper’s Cats, Sam Mendes’ 1917, Jay Roach’s Bombshell, plus now the news that Clint Eastwood will see Richard Jewell hit theaters this year. Not all of those will even come close to contention in 2019. So, we more or less know the state of the race. As such, today is a perfect time for some updated Oscar predictions.

This time around, we can factor in the aforementioned Eastwood joining the race with Richard Jewell, the potential impact of Joaquin Phoenix and Joker, as well as more concrete information about 1917. Factoring in that, along with having seen Marriage Story last week at NYFF (as well as Jojo Rabbit as you’re reading this), things are coming into focus. Now, nothing will be set in stone until the precursors begin and we get a sense of who and what are being cited, but there’s a sense that we’re just waiting for that now. Read on below to see what I think Oscar will end up doing this year…

Here now are some brand spanking new predictions:

BEST PICTURE

1. The Irishman
2. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
3. Marriage Story
4. Jojo Rabbit
5. Parasite
6. Ford v. Ferrari
7. The Two Popes
8. 1917
9. The Farewell
10. Judy

Next in line: 11. Waves 12. Joker 13. Richard Jewell 14. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 15. Knives Out 16. Bombshell 17. Dark Waters 18. Ad Astra 19. A Hidden Life 20. Just Mercy 21. Cats 22. Dolemite Is My Name 23. Little Women 24. Harriet 25. Rocketman 26. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 27. Us 28. The Peanut Butter Falcon 29. Booksmart 30. Avengers: Endgame

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
2. Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
3. Bong Joon-Ho – Parasite
4. Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story
5. Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit

Next in line: 6. Sam Mendes – 1917 7. James Mangold – Ford v. Ferrari 8. Lulu Wang – The Farewell 9. Trey Edward Shults – Waves 10. Fernando Meirelles – The Two Popes

BEST ACTOR

1. Adam Driver – Marriage Story
2. Jonathan Pryce – The Two Popes
3. Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
4. Joaquin Phoenix – Joker
5. Robert De Niro – The Irishman

Next in line: 6. Antonio Banderas – Pain and Glory 7. Christian Bale – Ford v. Ferrari (Could Go Supporting) 8. Eddie Murphy – Dolemite Is My Name 9. Adam Sandler – Uncut Gems 10. Paul Walter Hauser – Richard Jewell

BEST ACTRESS

1. Renée Zellweger – Judy
2. Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story
3. Cynthia Erivo – Harriet
4. Alfre Woodard – Clemency
5. Awkwafina – The Farewell

Next in line: 6. Saoirse Ronan – Little Women 7. Lupita Nyong’o – Us 8. Charlize Theron – Bombshell 9. Kristin Stewart – Seberg 10. Meryl Streep – The Laundromat (Could Go Supporting)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
2. Al Pacino – The Irishman
3. Anthony Hopkins – The Two Popes
4. Joe Pesci – The Irishman
5. Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Next in line: 6. Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit 7. Alan Alda – Marriage Story 8. Jamie Foxx – Just Mercy 9. Tracy Letts – Ford v. Ferrari 10. Willem Dafoe – The Lighthouse

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Laura Dern – Marriage Story
2. Jennifer Lopez – Hustlers
3. Annette Bening – The Report
4. Margot Robbie – Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood (or Bombshell)
5. Thomasin McKenzie – Jojo Rabbit

Next in line: 6. Da’Vine Joy Randolph – Dolemite Is My Name 7. Nicole Kidman – Bombshell (Could Go Lead) 8. Florence Pugh – Little Women 9. Anne Hathaway – Dark Waters 10. Emma Watson – Little Women

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Marriage Story
2. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
3. Parasite
4. The Farewell
5. Booksmart

Next in line: 6. Knives Out 7. Waves 8. Dolemite Is My Name 9. Us 10. 1917

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Jojo Rabbit
2. The Two Popes
3. The Irishman
4. Ford v. Ferrari
5. Judy

Next in line: 6. Little Women 7. Richard Jewell 8. Dark Waters 9. The Laundromat 10. Just Mercy

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Toy Story 4
2. Frozen 2
3. I Lost My Body
4. Missing Link
5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

Next in line: 6. Klaus 7. Abominable 8. The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part 9. The Secret Life of Pets 2 10. Shaun the Sheep 2

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
2. Ford v. Ferrari
3. The Irishman
4. Dolemite Is My Name
5. Ad Astra

Next in line: 6. Cats 7. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 8. 1917 9. Parasite 10. Avengers: Endgame

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. 1917
2. The Irishman
3. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
4. Ad Astra
5. Parasite

Next in line: 6. Ford v. Ferrari 7. A Hidden Life 8. The Two Popes 9. Marriage Story 10. Jojo Rabbit

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
2. Downton Abbey
3. Dolemite Is My Name
4. Rocketman
5. Little Women

Next in line: 6. The Irishman 7. Harriet 8. Aladdin 9. The King 10. Dumbo

BEST FILM EDITING

1. The Irishman
2. Ford v. Ferrari
3. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
4. Marriage Story
5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Next in line: 6. Parasite 7. 1917 8. Avengers: Endgame 9. Jojo Rabbit 10. Richard Jewell

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Rocketman
2. Cats
3. Dolemite Is My Name
4. Joker
5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Next in line: 6. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 7. Gemini Man 8. 1917 9. Avengers: Endgame 10. Downton Abbey

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Rocketman
2. Avengers: Endgame
3. Cats
4. Ad Astra
5. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood

Next in line: 6. 1917 7. Ford v. Ferrari 8. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 9. The Irishman 10. The Lion King

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Avengers: Endgame
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
3. Ad Astra
4. Ford v. Ferrari
5. 1917

Next in line: 6. Cats 7. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood 8. Rocketman 9. The Irishman 10. Gemini Man

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. The Lion King
2. The Irishman
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. Avengers: Endgame
5. Ad Astra

Next in line: 6. Spider-Man: Far From Home 7. Gemini Man 8. The Aeronauts 9. Aladdin 10. Captain Marvel

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Ad Astra
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
3. Marriage Story
4. The Irishman
5. 1917

Next in line: 6. Harriet 7. Ford v. Ferrari 8. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 9. Avengers: Endgame 10. Toy Story 4

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Frozen 2
2. Rocketman
3. Aladdin
4. The Lion King
5. Toy Story 4

Next in line: 6. Motherless Brooklyn 7. Cats 8. Her Smell 9. Wild Rose 10. Teen Spirit

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Knock Down the House
2. Apollo 11
3. American Factory
4. Cold Case Hammarskjöld
5. Ask Dr. Ruth

Next in line: 6. Wrestle 7. Maiden 8. Marianne & Leonard: Words Of Love 9. Love, Antosha 10. Hail Satan?

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1. Parasite
2. Pain and Glory
3. Les Miserables
4. Atlantics
5. Monos

Next in line: 6. The Whistlers 7. Beanpole 8. The Chambermaid 9. The Traitor 10. Invisible Life

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

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BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

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BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

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Stay tuned for another update later on this month!

About Joey Magidson

A graduate of Stony Brook University (where he studied Cinema and Cultural Studies), resides in Brooklyn, New York. He contributes to several other film-related websites and is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association.

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