Taking A Third Crack At Golden Globe Predictions

As October rolls along, the awards season is kicking into high gear, with most movies having screened, film festivals angling for voters, and a strong sense that the narratives for what will and won’t get nominated are starting. Right in the midst of that, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association and their Golden Globe awards seem poised to again have a say in what happens with Oscar. So, today is a good time to check in on the HFPA with some new Golden Globe predictions, sandwiched in between Academy Award updates…

Some tinkering can be found below, mainly in trying to make sure categories and such are handled properly. There’s still some question about whether certain films and performances will go Comedy/Musical or Drama, but things are largely falling into place. There’s no real sense of where the HFPA seems poised to go yet, but it does seem like Quentin Tarantino’s Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood will do quite well, at least with nominations in the Comedy/Musical categories. Noah Baumbach’s Marriage Story seems like a safe bet as well in the Drama fields. As for anything else? That somewhat remains to be seen.

Here now is a new look at my Golden Globe predictions for 2019:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. The Irishman
2. Marriage Story
3. 1917
4. Ford v. Ferrari
5. Joker

If there’s a sixth: The Two Popes
If there’s a seventh: Waves
One more to consider: Richard Jewell

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
2. Jojo Rabbit
3. Hustlers
4. Rocketman
5. Dolemite Is My Name

If there’s a sixth: Uncut Gems
If there’s a seventh: Cats
One more to consider: Blinded by the Light

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Adam Driver – Marriage Story
2. Joaquin Phoenix – Joker
3. Jonathan Pryce – The Two Popes
4. Antonio Bandaras – Pain and Glory
5. Robert De Niro – The Irishman

If there’s a sixth: Christian Bale – Ford v. Ferrari
If there’s a seventh: Michael B. Jordan – Just Mercy
One more to consider: Matt Damon – Ford v. Ferrari

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Eddie Murphy – Dolemite is My Name
3. Taron Egerton – Rocketman
4. Adam Sandler – Uncut Gems
5. Himesh Patel – Yesterday

If there’s a sixth: Daniel Craig – Knives Out
If there’s a seventh: Will Smith – Aladdin
One more to consider: Seth Rogen – Long Shot

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story
2. Saoirse Ronan – Little Women
3. Awkwafina – The Farewell
4. Alfre Woodard – Clemency
5. Cynthia Erivo – Harriet

If there’s a sixth: Lupita Nyong’o – Us
If there’s a seventh: Felicity Jones – The Aeronauts
One more to consider: Florence Pugh – Midsommar

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Renée Zellweger – Judy
2. Charlize Theron – Long Shot
3. Emma Thompson – Late Night
4. Kaitlyn Dever – Booksmart
5. Beanie Feldstein – Booksmart

If there’s a sixth: Jillian Bell – Brittany Runs a Marathon
If there’s a seventh: Naomi Scott – Aladdin
One more to consider: Cate Blanchett – Where’d You Go, Bernadette

Best Supporting Actor

1. Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Al Pacino – The Irishman
3. Anthony Hopkins – The Two Popes
4. Joe Pesci – The Irishman
5. Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

If there’s a sixth: Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit
If there’s a seventh: Jamie Foxx – Just Mercy
One more to consider: Robert Downey Jr. – Avengers: Endgame

Best Supporting Actress

1. Laura Dern – Marriage Story
2. Jennifer Lopez – Hustlers
3. Annette Bening – The Report
4. Scarlett Johansson – Jojo Rabbit
5. Margot Robbie – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

If there’s a sixth: Charlize Theron – Bombshell
If there’s a seventh: Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey
One more to consider: Thomasin McKenzie – Jojo Rabbit

Best Director

1. Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
3. Bong Joon-Ho – Parasite
4. Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story
5. Sam Mendes – 1917

If there’s a sixth: James Mangold – Ford v. Ferrari
If there’s a seventh: Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit
One more to consider: Todd Phillips – Joker

Best Screenplay

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. The Irishman
3. Jojo Rabbit
4. Marriage Story
5. The Farewell

If there’s a sixth: Knives Out
If there’s a seventh: Parasite
One more to consider: Joker

Best Animated Feature

1. Toy Story 4
2. Frozen 2
3. Missing Link
4. Abominable
5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

One more to consider: Klaus

Best Original Score

1. Ad Astra
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
3. The Irishman
4. 1917
5. Marriage Story

One more to consider: Avengers: Endgame

Best Original Song

1. Frozen 2
2. Cats
3. Toy Story 4
4. Aladdin
5. The Lion King

One more to consider: Motherless Brooklyn

Best Foreign Film

1. Parasite
2. Pain and Glory
3. Portrait of a Lady on Fire
4. Atlantics
5. The Whistlers

One more to consider: Les Miserables

Stay tuned for updated Oscar predictions and another Golden Globe update very soon!