Updated Oscar Predictions For Late October
Before you know it, the Academy Award nominations will be upon us. Now, I’m aware that precursors have only barely begun, mainly with the Gotham Awards announcing their nominees yesterday, but time is moving quickly. Especially when you factor in how short this season is going to be, every second counts. So, in short order, we’ll be up to weekly Oscar prediction updates. For the moment, we’re not there yet, but we’ve still got fairly consistent new looks at what the Academy might do, including this brand spanking new one today…
Below, you’ll see changes across the board, especially in the technical categories. Yes, the below the line fields have gotten a much needed facelift. In addition to the tech category movement, there’s also top end tinkering, including with the ten films making up Best Picture. Give it a look and sit tight for another update soon, as I’ll have seen Bombshell, Harriet, A Hidden Life, Little Women, and more by then, with really only 1917, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Cats, Dark Waters, Knives Out, Queen & Slim, and Richard Jewell still to go for me.
Here now are brand new Oscar predictions to pour over:
BEST PICTURE
1. The Irishman
2. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
3. Marriage Story
4. Parasite
5. The Two Popes
6. Bombshell
7. Jojo Rabbit
8. 1917
9. Ford v Ferrari
10. Waves
Next in line: 11. The Farewell 12. Little Women 13. Joker 14. Richard Jewell 15. Knives Out 16. Judy 17. Just Mercy 18. Dark Waters 19. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 20. A Hidden Life 21. Rocketman 22. Dolemite Is My Name 23. Cats 24. Harriet 25. Us 26. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 27. Booksmart 28. The Peanut Butter Falcon 29. Ad Astra 30. Avengers: Endgame
BEST DIRECTOR
1. Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
2. Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
3. Bong Joon-Ho – Parasite
4. Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story
5. Sam Mendes – 1917
Next in line: 6. James Mangold – Ford v Ferrari 7. Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit 8. Lulu Wang – The Farewell 9. Trey Edward Shults – Waves 10. Fernando Meirelles – The Two Popes
BEST ACTOR
1. Adam Driver – Marriage Story
2. Jonathan Pryce – The Two Popes
3. Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
4. Joaquin Phoenix – Joker
5. Robert De Niro – The Irishman
Next in line: 6. Antonio Banderas – Pain and Glory 7. Christian Bale – Ford v Ferrari 8. Eddie Murphy – Dolemite Is My Name 9. Adam Sandler – Uncut Gems 10. Mark Ruffalo – Dark Waters
BEST ACTRESS
1. Renée Zellweger – Judy
2. Charlize Theron – Bombshell
3. Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story
4. Saoirse Ronan – Little Women
5. Lupita Nyong’o – Us
Next in line: 6. Alfre Woodard – Clemency 7. Cynthia Erivo – Harriet 8. Awkwafina – The Farewell 9. Jodie Turner-Smith – Queen & Slim 10. Beanie Feldstein – Booksmart
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
2. Al Pacino – The Irishman
3. Anthony Hopkins – The Two Popes
4. Joe Pesci – The Irishman
5. Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Next in line: 6. Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit 7. Jamie Foxx – Just Mercy 8. John Lithgow – Bombshell 9. Alan Alda – Marriage Story 10. Rob Morgan – Just Mercy
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Laura Dern – Marriage Story
2. Jennifer Lopez – Hustlers
3. Margot Robbie – Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood (or Bombshell)
4. Florence Pugh – Little Women
5. Annette Bening – Downton Abbey
Next in line: 6. Thomasin McKenzie – Jojo Rabbit 7. Annette Bening – The Report 8. Da’Vine Joy Randolph – Dolemite Is My Name 9. Nicole Kidman – Bombshell 10. Scarlett Johansson – Jojo Rabbit
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Marriage Story
2. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
3. Parasite
4. Bombshell
5. Knives Out
Next in line: 6. The Farewell 7. Waves 8. Dolemite Is My Name 9. Us 10. Booksmart
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. The Two Popes
2. Jojo Rabbit
3. The Irishman
4. Little Women
5. Just Mercy
Next in line: 6. Ford v Ferrari 7. Judy 8. Dark Waters 9. Richard Jewell 10. Joker
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1. Toy Story 4
2. Frozen 2
3. I Lost My Body
4. Missing Link
5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Next in line: 6. Klaus 7. Missing Link 8. The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part 9. Abominable 10. The Secret Life of Pets 2
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
1. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
3. Downton Abbey
4. Parasite
5. Cats
Next in line: 6. Little Women 7. Ad Astra 8. The Two Popes 9. 1917 10. Dolemite Is My Name
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1. The Irishman
2. 1917
3. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
4. Ad Astra
5. Parasite
Next in line: 6. Ford v Ferrari 7. A Hidden Life 8. Waves 9. Marriage Story 10. Jojo Rabbit
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
2. Downton Abbey
3. Dolemite Is My Name
4. Rocketman
5. Little Women
Next in line: 6. Judy 7. Harriet 8. Aladdin 9. Dumbo 10. The Irishman
BEST FILM EDITING
1. The Irishman
2. Parasite
3. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
4. Marriage Story
5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Next in line: 6. Ford v Ferrari 7. Waves 8. Avengers: Endgame 9. 1917 10. Jojo Rabbit
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
1. Rocketman
2. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
3. Judy
4. Joker
5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Next in line: 6. Dolemite Is My Name 7. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 8. 1917 9. Avengers: Endgame 10. Downton Abbey
BEST SOUND MIXING
1. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
2. Avengers: Endgame
3. Ford v Ferrari
4. Ad Astra
5. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
Next in line: 6. 1917 7. Cats 8. Rocletman 9. The Irishman 10. The Lion King
BEST SOUND EDITING
1. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
2. Avengers: Endgame
3. Ford v Ferrari
4. Ad Astra
5. 1917
Next in line: 6. Cats 7. Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood 8. Rocketman 9. The Irishman 10. Spider-Man: Far From Home
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1. The Irishman
2. The Lion King
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. Avengers: Endgame
5. Ad Astra
Next in line: 6. The Aeronauts 7. Gemini Man 8. Spider-Man: Far From Home 9. Aladdin 10. Captain Marvel
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
2. Waves
3. Marriage Story
4. Ad Astra
5. Little Women
Next in line: 6. Ford v Ferrari 7. The Aeronauts 8. 1917 9. Harriet 10. Avengers: Endgame
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1. Frozen 2
2. Rocketman
3. Aladdin
4. The Lion King
5. Toy Story 4
Next in line: 6. Motherless Brooklyn 7. Cats 8. Her Smell 9. Wild Rose 10. Teen Spirit
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1. American Factory
2. Apollo 11
3. Knock Down the House
4. The Cave
5. The Biggest Little Farm
Next in line: 6. Ask Dr. Ruth 7. One Child Nation 8. Maiden 9. Cold Case Hammarskjöld 10. Western Stars
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
1. Parasite
2. Pain and Glory
3. Les Miserables
4. Atlantics
5. Monos
Next in line: 6. The Whistlers 7. Beanpole 8. The Chambermaid 9. The Traitor 10. Invisible Life
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
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BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
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BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
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Stay tuned for an update next month!