“Eighth Grade” vs “First Reformed” vs “If Beale Street Could Talk”: Final Independent Spirit Award Predictions                "Wrestle" Is An Engrossing Documentary About Poverty, Sports, And More                Breaking Down The Most Up In The Air Best Picture Race Ever                “Hearts Beat Loud” – Kiersey Clemons, Brett Haley, and Nick Offerman: Hollywood Film Tribute                What Can We Learn From An Academy Member's Ballot?                Could We Be In Line For The Worst Oscar Telecast Ever?                WGA Shocks With Wins For "Can You Ever Forgive Me?" And "Eighth Grade"                “Won't You Be My Neighbor” – Morgan Neville: Hollywood Film Tribute                Box Office Report for February 15-17                Cinema Audio Society As Well As Makeup Artists and Hair Stylists Guild Hand Out Awards                "Donnybrook" Is Deadly Serious About Its Violent Nature                The Academy Comes To Their Senses: All 24 Categories Will Be Presented During The Oscars                Updated Academy Award Predictions As Voters Cast Their Ballots                “Searching” – John Cho: Hollywood Film Tribute                Could Spike Lee Be On The Verge Of Finally Winning An Oscar?        

Tag Archives: Mathematics of bookmaking

Oscar Forecast: And the Odds are…

How about the movie awards? Below the numbers based on Ben Zauzmer’s algorithm: -Odds that Best Picture and Best Director go to the same movie: 8% -Odds that Argo becomes the second film ever to win Best Picture and nothing else: 7% -Odds that Silver Linings Playbook becomes the fourth film ever to[...]

Bookies like “A Dangerous Method” to win Venice’s Golden Lion – AWARDS ALLEY

By Sean O’Connell Hollywoodnews.com: Film festivals aren’t sporting events. You can’t bet on Telluride the way you can bet on the Super Bowl or the NBA Championships. But that doesn’t stop bookies from placing odds on films they think are “favorites” to emerge victorious from celebrated festivals, and as Venice prepares[...]